Thursday-Nice Morning Total

[Hucklebuck]

Yesterday 3-1 +1.5 Units
Season 6-5 +2.45 Units
Mets/Reds Over 10 -105 1.05 to win 1


Using the same umpire angle that came through with Det/KC under yesterday. Everitt behind the plate and that means double digit runs.

Ishii 0-2 with 7.83 ERA vs Reds. In 12+ innings of work Ishii with 17 BB.

Harang's career daytime ERA is 5.68.

The over is also 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Two good offenses, with poor starting pitching and tired pens make this a good shot for me.

Good Luck
Hucklebuck

 

[CHARLESMANSON]

I love it. Never seen anyone cap a game using umpire stats. That's fawking great Hucklefuk nice job. :clap:

I'm with you on the play. Ishii always gives up early runs and walks and crap. I've NEVER seen him have a 1-2-3 1st. NEVER. lol After he settles down he can be deadly with that wacky hook but with all other factors you mentioned I think you'll be ok. Love the play. I'm gonna parlay Reds to the over I think. good luck

 

[Hucklebuck]

Charley-

gsp was the one who introduced it to me a few years ago. I was a lurker back then. Since then I have tried to keep my own #s and look for good opportunities. I know some like to give umpires 4-5 games at the beginning of the season to see if their trends continue.

If this same situation were to occur after the all-star break I would be looking at a 3 unit play, but this is Everitt's first game behind the plate this year so I will approach with a little less gusto. It's a long season and I am looking to build my bankroll.

 

[Utopia]

Very Good.


I do the same thing, and always try to find enough time...

 

[Hucklebuck]

Adding National +140 1 to win 1.4

Loaiza is simply the better pitcher in this match-up. A very live dog. Both Cormier and Worrell have pitched in the first 2 games of the season. I could see Cormier coming in to face a lefty, but Worrell is most likely on the shelf. I kind of like the Nationals line-up. Guillen is a clubhouse cancer but can flat out hit.

 

[Hucklebuck]

1-1 +1.35 on morning games

Picks for tonight

Hudson +103 2 to win 2.06
Give me Hudson as a dog anyday. Yes I know Estrada and Giles are out and Jordan and Mondesi are both hitless. This is just too much value to pass up. Hudson is one of the best pitchers in baseball. He should have been starting opening day vs Beckett. The bullpens are both worn out, look for Hudson to make a great first impression.

Hudson career in April
2004: 3-0 2.72 ERA .99 WHIP
2003: 2-1 3.67 ERA 1.30 WHIP
2002: 3-2 1.87 ERA 1.06 WHIP


Orioles -121 1.21 to win 1
Plain and simple Haren shouldn't be starting the 3rd game of the season. I don't think this kid is ready. He will have a couple of gems this season because he has that kind of talent, just needs the experience, but no gem tonight.

Bedard will quiet the lefthanded bats of Oak - Kotsay, Hatteberg, Chavez, Durazo.

Good Luck
Hucklebuck