YTD RECORD: 11-5 (+6.50 UNITS)
Going with 2 plays for Saturday so far, but will almost definitely have 1 or 2 more. I will post if I do.
ATLANTA -153 (RAMIREZ VS HEILMAN LISTED)
HOUSTON -115 (BACKE VS WILSON LISTED)
ATLANTA: In this the game, I love the fact that the Brave's starter, Ramirez, is getting a start vs a team that might be pressing a bit. The Mets have not won a game all year, and I'm not quite ready to bet against that streak yet. Ramirez has looked very impressive this spring sporting a 2.14 ERA over 21 innings, while only allowing 14 hits and having 17 strikeouts vs just 3 walks. He also made a start vs minor leaguers on Monday and was very impressive, allowing just 1 run over 5 innings. Ramirez has also pitched well vs the Mets in his young career.
Heilman, I don't feel is ready for the Majors quite yet. I believe he had at least 3 starts vs the Braves the past couple of seasons, and has not been too impressive at all vs them. He's pitching this one because of Benson's injury and that's the only reason he's pitching in the Majors. I'm also not impressed with the Mets bullpen and bottom line in this one, I think the Braves are the only way to go considering the situations.
Houston:
Both starters had non-impressive springs and Cincy's starter, Paul Wilson, had an unimpressive 1st start as well. Going to side with Houston and Brandon Backe who has historically pitched very well vs this Reds team. Backe is 2-0 and has a 2.25 career ERA vs the Reds which includes 2 starts and several relief appearances. He has also pitched 16 innings vs the Reds and has not allowed a home run vs them.
Paul Wilson, on the other hand, starts for the Reds and this is one guy that you historically want to bet against when he pitches on the road. He has pitched in 80 games on the road in his career which includes 71 starts and is just 18-29 with a 5.83 ERA. That ERA is over 2 full runs higher than when he pitches at Home. It's a trend that continues to hold true every year and last year was no different where he had a 5.77 ERA on the Road vs just a 3.32 ERA at Home.
Wilson has also struggled vs Houston his entire career. In 10 career starts, he is just 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA and his numbers are even worse when he pitches at Minute Maid Park in Houston(which you would expect from the above mentioned). At Minute Maid Park, he is 1-2 in 4 career starts with a whopping 9.68 ERA.
Good luck to all :thumb:
-ndnfan
Going with 2 plays for Saturday so far, but will almost definitely have 1 or 2 more. I will post if I do.
ATLANTA -153 (RAMIREZ VS HEILMAN LISTED)
HOUSTON -115 (BACKE VS WILSON LISTED)
ATLANTA: In this the game, I love the fact that the Brave's starter, Ramirez, is getting a start vs a team that might be pressing a bit. The Mets have not won a game all year, and I'm not quite ready to bet against that streak yet. Ramirez has looked very impressive this spring sporting a 2.14 ERA over 21 innings, while only allowing 14 hits and having 17 strikeouts vs just 3 walks. He also made a start vs minor leaguers on Monday and was very impressive, allowing just 1 run over 5 innings. Ramirez has also pitched well vs the Mets in his young career.
Heilman, I don't feel is ready for the Majors quite yet. I believe he had at least 3 starts vs the Braves the past couple of seasons, and has not been too impressive at all vs them. He's pitching this one because of Benson's injury and that's the only reason he's pitching in the Majors. I'm also not impressed with the Mets bullpen and bottom line in this one, I think the Braves are the only way to go considering the situations.
Houston:
Both starters had non-impressive springs and Cincy's starter, Paul Wilson, had an unimpressive 1st start as well. Going to side with Houston and Brandon Backe who has historically pitched very well vs this Reds team. Backe is 2-0 and has a 2.25 career ERA vs the Reds which includes 2 starts and several relief appearances. He has also pitched 16 innings vs the Reds and has not allowed a home run vs them.
Paul Wilson, on the other hand, starts for the Reds and this is one guy that you historically want to bet against when he pitches on the road. He has pitched in 80 games on the road in his career which includes 71 starts and is just 18-29 with a 5.83 ERA. That ERA is over 2 full runs higher than when he pitches at Home. It's a trend that continues to hold true every year and last year was no different where he had a 5.77 ERA on the Road vs just a 3.32 ERA at Home.
Wilson has also struggled vs Houston his entire career. In 10 career starts, he is just 2-5 with a 7.16 ERA and his numbers are even worse when he pitches at Minute Maid Park in Houston(which you would expect from the above mentioned). At Minute Maid Park, he is 1-2 in 4 career starts with a whopping 9.68 ERA.
Good luck to all :thumb:
-ndnfan
