YTD RECORD: 25-13 (+13.30 UNITS)
Played one game on Sunday:
FLORIDA -116 (BURNETT VS GLAVINE LISTED)
FLORIDA:
Forget the winning streak by the Mets, I'm going against them today. I think Florida should be a much heavier favorite and that the win streak is the only thing keeping the line as low as it is for Florida. Lot's of media coverage in NY and you turn on sports on TV and that's all you see...Met's, win streak at 6, Met's, win streak at 6! However, in this game the batter/pitching numbers are just overwhelmingly in favor of the Marlins. Mets are a confident team right now, but I think the Marlins might be a little more motivated in this one and look to avoid the sweep, especially after the bad call by the home ump Reliford in Saturday's game.
Burnett is only 1-5 lifetime vs the Mets, but his numbers are pretty good overall when looking at stuff such as the low .209 batting average allowed vs them and the low WHIP of 1.18. Most the hitters in the Mets lineup don't have much experience vs Burnett and this will only help give the advantage to the pitcher. Also, Burnett has pitched well in his 1st 2 starts this season, so I expect that to continue.
The BIGGEST factor in this game is how this Florida lineup just continues to tear up Left-handed pitching. They dominated lefties all of last season and continue to dominate them this season, hitting .338 as a team vs southpaw pitching. The Met's on the other hand will be facing a Righty in Burnett and they continue to struggle vs right-handed pitching this season hitting approximately .230 as a team vs righties.
As stated above, this Marlin lineup loves hitting vs lefties and they absolutely OWN the lefty they will be facing today who happens to be Tom Glavine. Here's the career averages of the Marlins vs Glavine. Only 2 are hitting under .300 vs him:
Miquel Cabrera .308 (4 for 13)
Luis Castillo .359 (23 for 64)
Carlos Delgado .636 (7 for 11)
Juan Encarncion .333 (9 for 27)
Paul Lo Duca .458 (11 for 24)
Mike Lowell .367 (18 for 49)
Juan Pierre .273 (9 for 33)
Alex Gonzalez .279 (12 for 43)
These 8 Marlin starters are a combined 93 for 264 vs Glavine in their combined careers which comes out to an amazing team average of .352 vs him.
Also, in case you were wondering, Tom Glavine made 4 starts vs the Marlins last season and was 0-4 in 4 starts.
I really don't expect Glavine to go more than around 5 innings and then you get to the Met's bullpen which has been decent of late, but which still has an ERA which hovers around 5.00 for the season. Florida's bullpen on the other hand, has been very good this season and has an ERA of right around 1.50 for the season.
The Marlins also are known for some speed on the bases and with the awesome numbers vs Glavine, I expect some baserunners and for them to possibly take advantage of Piazza's weak arm behind the plate.
I absolutely love this play and would maybe consider playing it for 2 units, but I DO hate playing against streaks and that's the only thing keeping me from playing more on this game.
Good luck to all :thumb:
-ndnfan
Played one game on Sunday:
FLORIDA -116 (BURNETT VS GLAVINE LISTED)
FLORIDA:
Forget the winning streak by the Mets, I'm going against them today. I think Florida should be a much heavier favorite and that the win streak is the only thing keeping the line as low as it is for Florida. Lot's of media coverage in NY and you turn on sports on TV and that's all you see...Met's, win streak at 6, Met's, win streak at 6! However, in this game the batter/pitching numbers are just overwhelmingly in favor of the Marlins. Mets are a confident team right now, but I think the Marlins might be a little more motivated in this one and look to avoid the sweep, especially after the bad call by the home ump Reliford in Saturday's game.
Burnett is only 1-5 lifetime vs the Mets, but his numbers are pretty good overall when looking at stuff such as the low .209 batting average allowed vs them and the low WHIP of 1.18. Most the hitters in the Mets lineup don't have much experience vs Burnett and this will only help give the advantage to the pitcher. Also, Burnett has pitched well in his 1st 2 starts this season, so I expect that to continue.
The BIGGEST factor in this game is how this Florida lineup just continues to tear up Left-handed pitching. They dominated lefties all of last season and continue to dominate them this season, hitting .338 as a team vs southpaw pitching. The Met's on the other hand will be facing a Righty in Burnett and they continue to struggle vs right-handed pitching this season hitting approximately .230 as a team vs righties.
As stated above, this Marlin lineup loves hitting vs lefties and they absolutely OWN the lefty they will be facing today who happens to be Tom Glavine. Here's the career averages of the Marlins vs Glavine. Only 2 are hitting under .300 vs him:
Miquel Cabrera .308 (4 for 13)
Luis Castillo .359 (23 for 64)
Carlos Delgado .636 (7 for 11)
Juan Encarncion .333 (9 for 27)
Paul Lo Duca .458 (11 for 24)
Mike Lowell .367 (18 for 49)
Juan Pierre .273 (9 for 33)
Alex Gonzalez .279 (12 for 43)
These 8 Marlin starters are a combined 93 for 264 vs Glavine in their combined careers which comes out to an amazing team average of .352 vs him.
Also, in case you were wondering, Tom Glavine made 4 starts vs the Marlins last season and was 0-4 in 4 starts.
I really don't expect Glavine to go more than around 5 innings and then you get to the Met's bullpen which has been decent of late, but which still has an ERA which hovers around 5.00 for the season. Florida's bullpen on the other hand, has been very good this season and has an ERA of right around 1.50 for the season.
The Marlins also are known for some speed on the bases and with the awesome numbers vs Glavine, I expect some baserunners and for them to possibly take advantage of Piazza's weak arm behind the plate.
I absolutely love this play and would maybe consider playing it for 2 units, but I DO hate playing against streaks and that's the only thing keeping me from playing more on this game.
Good luck to all :thumb:
-ndnfan
