I have not wagered on these "yet" but these 4 underdogs really jumped out at me. Just wanted to throw out my opinion on these 4 games.
#1) E. Loaiza (Nationals) +141 over Glavine (Mets)
Pitching is dead even IMO but Loaiza has lower ERA. +141 is lot of value on a game I think can go either way. Both teams playing well this season.
#2) B. Duckworth (Astros) +180 over J. Marquis (Cardinals)
Yes Marquis has pitched extremely well this year and the Cards have great hitters. However, Marquis IMO is not a pitcher who should be -188 favorite. Duckworth is a very average pitcher but he is worth taking a chance on at +180.
#3) C. Young (Rangers) +159 over K. Brown (Yankees)
This doesn't make sense to me. Brown pitched poorly in spring training. He didn't look good in his last start against the Orioles. Texas has a powerful hitting lineup. Brown won't pitch many innings even if he is on his game. Yankees just used a lot of their bullpen tonight and the Yanks bullpen hasn't been great so far this year. Texas is +159??? Doesn't make sense to me. If Brown is on his game the Yanks should win the game. However, there have been ZERO signs that Brown will pitch well. +159 seems like a lot of value on a game that could go either way if Brown doesn't pitch well. Young is an inexperienced pitcher but this could turn out to be a slugfest. Young has talent as a "young" pitcher. Not saying Texas has advantage in pitching, but Yanks don't have the advantage to be -167 favorites. Yanks bullpen hasn't been great and they were used a lot tonight.
#4) M. Redman (Pirates) + 139 over G. Maddux (Cubs)
Redman 2.33 ERA
Maddux 5.63 ERA
Pirates are +139 underdogs? I know Pirates are not a great hitting club and they may lose even if Redman pitches great. But at +139 its worth the risk.
If you wager on all 4 plays.......
+141
+180
+159
+139
I think in every single one of those bets the price is set WAY too high. Lotta value and decent chance you go 2-2 which gives nice profit. 3-1 would be great day. Only way you get seriously hurt is 0-4 day, thats 4 units.
#1) E. Loaiza (Nationals) +141 over Glavine (Mets)
Pitching is dead even IMO but Loaiza has lower ERA. +141 is lot of value on a game I think can go either way. Both teams playing well this season.
#2) B. Duckworth (Astros) +180 over J. Marquis (Cardinals)
Yes Marquis has pitched extremely well this year and the Cards have great hitters. However, Marquis IMO is not a pitcher who should be -188 favorite. Duckworth is a very average pitcher but he is worth taking a chance on at +180.
#3) C. Young (Rangers) +159 over K. Brown (Yankees)
This doesn't make sense to me. Brown pitched poorly in spring training. He didn't look good in his last start against the Orioles. Texas has a powerful hitting lineup. Brown won't pitch many innings even if he is on his game. Yankees just used a lot of their bullpen tonight and the Yanks bullpen hasn't been great so far this year. Texas is +159??? Doesn't make sense to me. If Brown is on his game the Yanks should win the game. However, there have been ZERO signs that Brown will pitch well. +159 seems like a lot of value on a game that could go either way if Brown doesn't pitch well. Young is an inexperienced pitcher but this could turn out to be a slugfest. Young has talent as a "young" pitcher. Not saying Texas has advantage in pitching, but Yanks don't have the advantage to be -167 favorites. Yanks bullpen hasn't been great and they were used a lot tonight.
#4) M. Redman (Pirates) + 139 over G. Maddux (Cubs)
Redman 2.33 ERA
Maddux 5.63 ERA
Pirates are +139 underdogs? I know Pirates are not a great hitting club and they may lose even if Redman pitches great. But at +139 its worth the risk.
If you wager on all 4 plays.......
+141
+180
+159
+139
I think in every single one of those bets the price is set WAY too high. Lotta value and decent chance you go 2-2 which gives nice profit. 3-1 would be great day. Only way you get seriously hurt is 0-4 day, thats 4 units.
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