YTD RECORD: 38-19 (+18.94 UNITS)
I went with 3 plays again for Sunday including my 3rd 2-Unit play of the season. Also willing to lay the higher chalk on the Yanks today. Looking to avoid the home sweep and the fact that the Texas hitters have little if any experience facing the Big Unit, I think he has an easy time of it.
NY YANKEES -214 (JOHNSON VS ASTACIO LISTED)
SEATTLE -136 (MOYER VS ELARTON LISTED)(2 UNITS)
OAKLAND +124 (BLANTON VS ESCOBAR LISTED)
SEATTLE:
The Mariners have now lost 3 in a row and the first 2 of the home series with Cleveland but I expect the mini losing skid to end with this game. Betting on the Home team to avoid a sweep by the Road team has been very profitable this season and when most the batter/pitcher matchups favor the Mariners in this game, it's a no brainer to bet the the M's here.
Elarton gets the Road start for Cleveland in this game and that's not a good situation for him. Elarton has not had a winning descision on the Road since the 2001 season. This streak covers at least a span of 17 road starts over the last few seasons.
Elarton has also been scorched his last 2 starts and overall in his 3 starts this season, he has a 7.90 ERA and is allowing batters to hit for a .397 average off him. Elarton has even been worse in pressure situations allowing batters to hit for a .500 average off him when runners are in scoring position.
Elarton does not have a lot of previous experiences facing the current Mariner players, but has not had success in the times he has faced them. In his only career start at Safeco, he got rocked and some of the better players in the Seattle lineup have had success vs him: Adrian Beltre, Bret Boone, Raul Ibanez, Richie Sexson, and Ichiro Suzuki have a combined batting average of .442 vs him (19 hits in 43 at bats including 4 Home Runs).
Moyer gets the start for Seattle in this game and has pitched well this season, going 3-0 in 4 starts with a 3.00 ERA and after pitching the last couple on the Road, I'm sure he'll be happy pitching at home in the pitcher friendly SafeCo Field. Moyer has also had very good success vs most of the current players in the Cleveland lineup. The following group of Indians is hitting for a combined average of just .140 off Moyer with only 7 hits in 50 total at bats:
Ronnie Belliard: 0 for 6 lifetime (.000 average)
Casey Blake: 2 for 11 lifetime (.182 average)
Aaron Boone: 0 for 3 lifetime (.000 average)
Coco Crisp: 2 for 9 lifetime (.222 average)
Travis Hafner: 1 for 10 lifetime (.100 average)
Victor Martinez: 1 for 5 lifetime (.200 average)
Ryan Ludwick: 1 for 6 lifetime (.167 average
Bullpens have been great for both teams for most of this season with both pens having ERA's in the 2's, so the Starters are the main focus when capping out this one. Both teams have just played 12 straight days and I'm sure they are looking on having the off day on Monday but maybe the advantage goes to Seattle in this situation with them already being at home and Cleveland looking forward to getting home after the road trip.
Good luck to all :thumb:
-ndnfan
I went with 3 plays again for Sunday including my 3rd 2-Unit play of the season. Also willing to lay the higher chalk on the Yanks today. Looking to avoid the home sweep and the fact that the Texas hitters have little if any experience facing the Big Unit, I think he has an easy time of it.
NY YANKEES -214 (JOHNSON VS ASTACIO LISTED)
SEATTLE -136 (MOYER VS ELARTON LISTED)(2 UNITS)
OAKLAND +124 (BLANTON VS ESCOBAR LISTED)
SEATTLE:
The Mariners have now lost 3 in a row and the first 2 of the home series with Cleveland but I expect the mini losing skid to end with this game. Betting on the Home team to avoid a sweep by the Road team has been very profitable this season and when most the batter/pitcher matchups favor the Mariners in this game, it's a no brainer to bet the the M's here.
Elarton gets the Road start for Cleveland in this game and that's not a good situation for him. Elarton has not had a winning descision on the Road since the 2001 season. This streak covers at least a span of 17 road starts over the last few seasons.
Elarton has also been scorched his last 2 starts and overall in his 3 starts this season, he has a 7.90 ERA and is allowing batters to hit for a .397 average off him. Elarton has even been worse in pressure situations allowing batters to hit for a .500 average off him when runners are in scoring position.
Elarton does not have a lot of previous experiences facing the current Mariner players, but has not had success in the times he has faced them. In his only career start at Safeco, he got rocked and some of the better players in the Seattle lineup have had success vs him: Adrian Beltre, Bret Boone, Raul Ibanez, Richie Sexson, and Ichiro Suzuki have a combined batting average of .442 vs him (19 hits in 43 at bats including 4 Home Runs).
Moyer gets the start for Seattle in this game and has pitched well this season, going 3-0 in 4 starts with a 3.00 ERA and after pitching the last couple on the Road, I'm sure he'll be happy pitching at home in the pitcher friendly SafeCo Field. Moyer has also had very good success vs most of the current players in the Cleveland lineup. The following group of Indians is hitting for a combined average of just .140 off Moyer with only 7 hits in 50 total at bats:
Ronnie Belliard: 0 for 6 lifetime (.000 average)
Casey Blake: 2 for 11 lifetime (.182 average)
Aaron Boone: 0 for 3 lifetime (.000 average)
Coco Crisp: 2 for 9 lifetime (.222 average)
Travis Hafner: 1 for 10 lifetime (.100 average)
Victor Martinez: 1 for 5 lifetime (.200 average)
Ryan Ludwick: 1 for 6 lifetime (.167 average
Bullpens have been great for both teams for most of this season with both pens having ERA's in the 2's, so the Starters are the main focus when capping out this one. Both teams have just played 12 straight days and I'm sure they are looking on having the off day on Monday but maybe the advantage goes to Seattle in this situation with them already being at home and Cleveland looking forward to getting home after the road trip.
Good luck to all :thumb:
-ndnfan
