Sunday Bases

BleedDodgerBlue

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Feb 12, 2004
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yesterday 2-1 +5.38
season 38-38-2 -6.65

Seattle -136. Jamie Moyer comes into the game sporting a 3-0 record with a 3.00 ERA. He has 18ks and 7 walks. He has faced the Indians 7 times at home going 6-0 with a lone no decision back in 1999. Tribe averaging just 2.57 runs in those 7 starts for the entire game. A lot of the tribe has limited AB's vs. him, but some that have had plenty have had zero success:
Crisp 2 for 9
Blake 2 for 11
Belliard 0 for 6
Boone 0 for 3
Martinez 1 for 5
Haffner 1 for 10

Elarton made 1 start in his career at Safeco and his team dropped a 7-5 decision. Elarton comes into the game as having started 3 games, got no decisions somehow with a robust 7.90 ERA in 13.2 innings and a WHIP of 2.12 :scared Seattles big bats have fared pretty well against him:
Beltre 6 for 17 2 HR's
Boone 6 for 10 1 HR
Sexon 3 for 10 1 HR
Ibanez 2 for 3
Suzuki 2 for 3

Throw in the fact Cleveland averaging just 2.7 runs with a .211 batting averages vs. lefties this year and Seattle trying to avoid a home series sweep. Seattle averagin 4.8 runs vs. righties witha .264 batting average.


Minnesota -107. Joe Mays heads into this tilt with 3 games pitched, 2 starts and a 3.21 ERA and no decisions. Twinkies have made the trip to Detroit with Mays as a starter 5 times and they are 5-0 with Mays getting 4 decisions. Tigers have scored a combined 11 runs in those 5 games total. The batters that have faced Mays haven't done much if anything:
White 0 for 3
Higginson 10 for 41
Inge 1 for 15
Guillen 4 for 14 0 hr
Infante 1 for 7
Pena 2 for 11
to be fair Pudgy is 6 for 16 with 2 jacks

Johnson comes into the game with a 2-1 record and 4.5 ERA. Looked good in his sole home start, but that was against lowly KC. His last start against minnesota 2 weeks ago he lasted 1/3 of an inning giving up 7 hits and 5 ER's recording only one out. He isn't fooling minny hitters. Lifetime he's started 3 games as a Tiger at home vs. the twins and lost all 3. Allowing 5, 3, and 10 runs respectively. Some numbers:
Hunter 8 for 25
Jones 9 for 25
Ford 8 for 16

Probably better to take the under, but I have little faith in Detroit to not give up runs. Twinkies should avoid the mini 2 game sweep.

Cubs -174. Fogg rolls into the game having looked good early going 1-1 with a 2.45 era. But here comes his nemesis the cubs. Career vs. the cubs Fogg is 4-5 but has an ERA over 6. He's started 3 games at Wrigly going 3-5. He's either hit or miss with most cub hitters having easily handled them, or being crushed by them. I'll give you the ones that have hit him:
Barrett 8 for 12 with 2 HRs
Burnitz 4 for 7
Lee 8 for 24
Ramirez 4 for 14, but 3 HRs
Patterson and Ramirez have been a bit troubled by him.

Wood has been an enigma all year. Has 19 k's in 18 innings, but he's a friggin headcase. I truly think he might have a mental problem. Got a 6.38 ERA and an 0-1 record. Just seems to not be able to keep composure on the mound, but hopefully getting to face pitt at home will help a little. Only a 3-5 record vs the pirates, but is 3-2 at home vs them.

More of a play against the Pirates in this spot than on Wood.

5.44/4 Seattle -136
2/3.22 Seattle -1.5 +161
3.21 Twinkies -107
1.74/1 Cubs 174

gl
 

gman2

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Nov 12, 2002
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have seen moyer absolutely baffle tribe hitters for...oh, about five years now. they simply cant hit him. think you guys are right on with the play.
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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Feb 12, 2004
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yea boiler, dodgers getting a big dose of reality after the torrid start. still not worried about them with the rest of the division being garbage so far.

played the cubs earlier after the pitching change, but didn't post so wont include it in my pathetic record. tigers game cancelled. Jamie moyer looks awesome so far, but his bats haen't helped him much. hope he can go 9 and they can hold on.

adding

Anaheim/Oakland over 9 +101.
Joe Blanton comes into the game having looked solid in his first 3 starts, but only showing an 0-1 record with a 2.04 ERA. He had an advantage against his opponents in his first 3 starts because they hadn't seen him before. 6 of the Angels starters have seen him before, although with no great success. Angel hitters besides Guerrero are fairly versed in the strike zone, so I expect them to wait on this kid a bit. He's not much of a strikeout pitcher having only 5 ks in over 17 innings this year.
Escobar makes his first start of the year coming off the DL. Although all signs are that he's healthy, theres no telling how long he can go. He's got a career record of 3-7 vs the A's with a 5.22 ERA in over 70 innings pitched. Plenty of the A's have had success against him:
Byrnes 5 for 15 1 hr. .333
Chavez 6 for 20 .300
Durazo 5 for 15 1h .333
Kotsay 6 for 14 .429

Taking a look at the ump Paul Schreiber dons the mask tonight. Although 1-4 O/U this year, in the past hes been a fairly successful over ump going 25-8 for the over last year. The key to Schreiber for some reason is the number 9. With the exception of 1999, he's a goldmine for an O/U of 9
Here are his years O/U with the total at 9:
2005 1-0
2004 3-0
2003 5-1
2002 4-0
2001 6-1
2000 3-0

So with a helpful ump, a pitcher coming off a dl, and a rookie on the road, and don't forget +money, I think a shot at over 9 is worthwhile.

3/3.03 Ana/Oak Over 9 +101

gl
 
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