Friday

kcwolf

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Aug 1, 2000
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Iowa City
Every team now has 20 games under their belts as the end of April approaches. It?s time to start playing for real, after playing a few games here and there, early.

After 20 games, some tried and proven situations come into play. Personally, I wouldn?t play against any of them. These situations were developed by a good friend, and have been posted here before. Several situations showed up for tonight and relate to mostly playing dogs.

The 7-11 Theory:

1)Bet on any underdog that has won 7 or more of its last 11 games:
LAA, DET, STL, CHC, ARZ
2)Bet against any favorite that has lost 7 or more of its last 11 games:
WAS, CLE, HOU, SD (CLE would have applied as a play against last night also) Tonight, play NYM, KC, CHC, ARZ

Notice that CHC & ARZ qualify under both.

Plus 2 Runs Theory: Take the average offensive runs scored for the last 3 games. If the dog has a +2 advantage, play the dog: SF, CHC, COL

Played these so far:

NYM +112
SF +108

Back later.

gl!
 

kcwolf

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Aug 1, 2000
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Iowa City
Adding these:

MIL +115 (Home dog off a win vs. fav off loss)
CHC +129
DET +118

All these plays fit under my normal capping also, and I do play favorites, just not so far.

gl!
 

genosays

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Sep 3, 2001
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Kansas City
Thanks kcwolf .... is tomorrow the day Royals break their losing streak?? Batista is definitely capable of shutting down Cleveland bats, so maybe Saturday will do it. Royals of course will be a big fade all year one would think eh?
 
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