Help with Sunday Hedge

[Its Gravy]

I have a series Parlay 230 to win 435
STL
Texas
Baltimore

STL and Texas clinched their series today. Baltimore has split so far.

Sundays Game at Baltimore
Cory Lidle +120
Sidney Ponson -140

how and what advice do you all have for me to get the best bang for my buck.
thanks

 

[wormdog]

where a ponson jersey to bed

 

[Its Gravy]

i think im going to put 150.00 on Philly to win 180.00

 

[Its Gravy]

or is there any better advice out there. No i will not wear a Ponson jersey to bed.

 

[Super Idiota]

The best value in my opinion is to take Lidle with...

Bet $300 To Win $360

If Lidle wins, you net $130

If Lidle loses, you win the parlay and net $135

I usually hedge to maximize my winnings regarless of what happens.

I hope this helps.

 

[Its Gravy]

sounds good. I will wait for my book to post the runline and ill make my final decision

 

[Its Gravy]

Here goes
Baltimore 14-10 at home
Philadelphia 10-14 away

Baltimore hitting .297 vs RH pitchers
Philadelphia hitting .260 vs RH pitchers

Game 3's
Baltimore 7-4
Philadelphia 5-7

Baltimore's record in Day games is 12-3
Philadelphia;s record is 12-8

Baltimore is 7-1 when Ponson pitches
Philadelphia is 4-4 when Lidle pitches

Baltimore is 20-9 vs RHP
Philadelphia is 12-18 vs RHP

 

[Its Gravy]

i think B-more is 7-1 when Ponson pitches b/c he stinks and they know they have to score a ton of runs for his goofy arse.

 

[soul train]

BALTIMORE IS -137

 

[soul train]

GRAVY CHECK THESE STATS OUT AGAINST LIDLE

roberts 9-16 .316
gibbons 9-17 3hr .529
mora 7-15 .467
matos hr .364
tejada 2-6 hr .333
lopez 1-1 1000
bigbie 4-6 .667

 

[Its Gravy]

dang it Soul (lmao)
part of me wants to let it ride and the other part says hedge!
your last post put me into the grey area officially (lol)
Matos wont be playing
Sosa says he is ready to play.
Everytime i let it ride I lose and i think this time if i hedge i wouldnt have needed 2.......i feel like Balt wins tomorrow 8-3 or 8-4

 

[doochuk]

LET IT RIDE

 

[gsp]

You might even consider the rl on Phil. That way you have a shot at winning both ways. I like your Balt play if it wasn't for the winner of game one wins series in inter-league. Of course this isn't etched in stone but the per centages are extremly high. Good luck whatever you do.

 

[Its Gravy]

Play on any AL team allowing 4.8 RPG or less against a NL opponent that allows 4.8 or more RPG. 65-35 (+30.7 units) since 1997.

Balt allows 4.18 rpg
Philly allows 4.75 rpg (close enough to 4.8 eh)
system from british bulldog

 

[LET'S EAT!!!]

im with doochuk....let that sh1t ride.....u got a great offensive team with great stats against the opp starter....u got a 7-1 record when fatboy pitches....u got brit bulldogs system in ur favor....let it ride!!!!!....i know fatboy can stink it up....but he is also very capable of pitching a gem....hes thrown 3 gems so far this yr...against tor,minny,and kc(in 1st series)....coming off a horrible outing last start against kc,i think the chubby fvck comes out dealing....if he gets thrashed like he did against kc going down 8-0 early i dont think the bats can pull him out against philly like they did against kc....that being said i think he'll rebound...let it ride...gl

 

[Its Gravy]

Cory Lidle (3-3, 4.07
ERA), who picked up the win last Tuesday against St. Louis,
yielding just one earned run in six innings in a 7-5 win.

The veteran righthander, who pitched in the American League from
1999-2003, is 3-6 with a 5.17 ERA in 13 games, including nine
starts, against the Orioles. He is 0-4 with a 6.95 ERA in six
career appearances at Camden Yards.