That's a pretty big fav your biting into. First, I won't be playing the side on this game but will play the total. I don't usually do this but let me explain why I feel the help calls for the Mets.
You have Nauert behind the plate. The roadteam is 5-3, the dog is 5-3. Not too bad so far. In Mets games the ht is 6-1 but the Mets won 4 of them. 2 as a dog. In Mets games the fav is 4-3. This don't look too bad for Fla but now it gets worst. Ishill is 2-0 and no run was scored against him in either game. One of those games was this year and he was the dog. This is what really turned me off on the side. Fla is 2-4 and the dog in Fla games is 5-1. Willis has never faced Nauert but should do alright. But, who knows. Enough here for me to not want to lay the juice even on the rl but the under looks pretty good. Just thought you might want to consider this if you haven't already pulled the trigger. If you have, I'll be pulling for you in a low scoring game.
