Anybody taking Spurs tonight?

[Scott4USC]

From what I seen, most posters on MJ's are backing the Pistons and some for good size wagers. I am not betting on the game but sorta surprised on how many are backing Pistons.

Opening line was Spurs -5.5 and now Spurs -4.5. $$$ going on Pistons.

Carib sports has 63% action on Detroit vs 36% on Spurs. (1787 bets)
Another site has 59% action on Detroit.

TRENDS that I saw that favor Spurs........

* Road team is 3-12 SU all-time in Game 7s

Spurs are.......

* 11-0 ATS at home off a home loss as a favorite
* 8-2 ATS when tied in a playoff series
* 15-7 SU in playoffs (14-8 ATS)
* 46-6 SU at home (31-19-2 ATS)
* 8-2 ATS last 10 home games
* Game 5 winner has gone on to win the NBA title 17 of the previous 23 times when the series was tied 2-2 (74 percent)

Detroit are......

* 1-8 ATS away off 5+ games committing 14 or less turnovers

Deciding factor IMO........

Detroit had made just 8-of-44 3-point attempts (18 percent) in the NBA Finals compared to San Antonio's stellar 36-of-89 shooting from beyond the arc (40 percent). But in Game 6, the Pistons hit a series-high 8-of-17 while the Spurs connected on 8-of-28.

If that stat goes back in favor of Spurs in game 7, Spurs should not only win but win by double digits. The 3pt shot IMO kept Pistons in game and ended up winning game while Spurs struggled with 3pt shot at home. Never thought that would happen in game 6 and don't see that happening again in game 7 @SA.

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

I am if you care. Fairly decent wager. I have reasoning, but care not to explain with the juvenilleness of this particular board lately.

gl 2 u with your futures wagers

 

[Jalen45]

:shrug:

 

[Scott4USC]

I am if you care. Fairly decent wager. I have reasoning, but care not to explain with the juvenilleness of this particular board lately.

gl 2 u with your futures wagers

Yes I care about your opinion as I respect your handicapping ability. Please reconsider sharing your opinion on Spurs. Might make me more confident in Spurs and not sweat it out rest of the day until game time. Who cares about other posters on this site who disagree or act immature. You don't see anybody ever stopping me from sharing my opinion. If you post logical reasons supporting your opinion then you are acting intelligent and helping everyone on this site whether they like Pistons, Spurs, or neutral.

Good luck to both of us. Hope Spurs win by double digits! I think tonight we will see game 1/game 2 type performance from Spurs. 4 straight games Spurs have not looked great. Tonight they bring there A game and can Pistons continue to play well? Even if they play well, will it be good enough? Spurs control their destiny because they have proven they can hang with Pistons even if things are not working smoothly.

 

[edludes]

Scott-Don't worry so much,just like tuesday,everyone is focusing too much on the last game.Those that said Detroit couldn't beat SA 4 out of 5 after game two were right.Detroit played almost perfectly Tuesday.They won't be as perfect tonight.SA's stars,all played subpar Tuesday.Ginobili,Duncan,Horry to come up big tonight.Its not that detroit couldn't win or is incapable of winning.They are.I just think they've used up all the bullets they had to even the series,and that the home court will prevail.I also look for the three pointers to come up dry for Detr tonight.We'll see soon.GL

 

[maverick2112]

The 3pt shot IMO kept Pistons in game and ended up winning game while Spurs struggled with 3pt shot at home.

Scott........did you mean to say the 3-pt shot kept the Spurs in the game??? Both teams hit 8 of them and SA was behind the majority of the game..............

 

[flapjack]

I think what he meant was games 1-5 3 Pt FG %:
Spurs 40%, Pistons 17%

Game 6:
Spurs 29%, Pistons 47%

That is a massive turnaround. Question is was that a fluke or are the Spurs outta gas?

 

[Gary_DiSarcina]

There is one stat that is strong for the Pistons.

I think it is under Larry Brown, they are 9-0 in elimination games.

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

There is one stat that is strong for the Pistons.

I think it is under Larry Brown, they are 9-0 in elimination games.

Great name gary. That was one of boomers best player nicknames ever. gary "little old lady" from disarcina. LOL

Scott, just disenchanted with the basketball portion of this board because it all seems to be a pissing match of who has the biggest dick. Tired of all the twelve year olds that have somehow managed to find madjacks in the last 6 or so months. They aren't capping, but just pissing if that makes much sense. I think you get the idea.

As for tonights game, home court is huge. It really is. People talk about Tim Duncans legacy. Regardless of if he wins tonight or not, his legacy always will be the most boring player of our generation inducted to the hall of fame. He doesn't need a spectacular game. Just a solid one. I like Parker and Ginobli to show more than they have in the last two games tonight. I just think that Detroit is spent. They were so impressive down the stretch last game. But with a two day turnaround and the pressures of tonights game, I have to take the home team. It really is a toss up game. Pick a side they cover. I highly doubt the 4 which it is now will come into play. I was gonna play the money line to be safe, but i'm content laying the 4. I think 1h will be close and spurs open up 2h.

gl2u

 

[infinii]

What's there to sweat Scott? You win regardless of who wins tonight.

 

[Scott4USC]

What's there to sweat Scott? You win regardless of who wins tonight.

Well I win an extra 5k if Spurs win so I am sweating that! Looks like we are seeing Spurs backers now but earlier today on MJ's it was all Pistons and line went down along with consensus on Pistons. Thought it was interesting to bring up and wanted to know if there were any Spurs backers.

I think what he meant was games 1-5 3 Pt FG %:
Spurs 40%, Pistons 17%

Game 6:
Spurs 29%, Pistons 47%

That is a massive turnaround. Question is was that a fluke or are the Spurs outta gas?

Yes, that was exactly what I meant.

Scott-Don't worry so much,just like tuesday,everyone is focusing too much on the last game.Those that said Detroit couldn't beat SA 4 out of 5 after game two were right.Detroit played almost perfectly Tuesday.They won't be as perfect tonight.SA's stars,all played subpar Tuesday.Ginobili,Duncan,Horry to come up big tonight.Its not that detroit couldn't win or is incapable of winning.They are.I just think they've used up all the bullets they had to even the series,and that the home court will prevail.I also look for the three pointers to come up dry for Detr tonight.We'll see soon.GL

You, BDB and I thinking the same thing. I agreed with everything you just wrote. Glad to see you and I on same page for once! Tonight should be similar to games 1 and 2 in this series. I hope!

 

[sportsnut13]

GO SPURS GO :clap: :clap: :mj14: :mj14:

 

[edludes]

They indeed used up all their deadeye shooting Tuesday.Detroit 2-14 on threes,Sa 7-11,.Detroit was 41% FG.These last two games,6+7 I saw clearly,team and total.Do some reading this summer How Professional Gamblers beat the Pro Football Pointspread by J.R.Miller.It only costs 30$ and you can read it in a day or so.Theres a lot of great stuff in it,but pay particular attention to chapter 8,PLEASE!You'll be a much better player for having done so.Glad to see you won your big money.