NFLX Wk. 1.

[MrChristo]

1-1 (+0.1)

San Diego -3 (2.02)

I'll take the bait. Reading how bad Green Bay are atm. Dominated by the Buffalo D in a scrimmage. Didn't score and loads of sacks. The O-line is a massive problem.
SD will have Brees for the 1st quarter (who really should score), Rivers for 2 and 3 and Lemon to finish it off. I guess a fair bit depends on how Rivers performs, but apparently he has been impressing in camp, so no reason he can't move the ball against a 2nd/3rd string unit that is beat up as it is.
SD run D should be a tight as ever, and they have really been talking up their pass protection in the new scheme.
SD look a far better team at this stage.

San Fran +3

Pretty strong trend here, that new coaches as home dogs are 24-7 in pres-season, inc. 4-0 last year (7-1 last 2 years).
Besides that, Oakland are not taking 3 of their top receivers due to injury, and Moss will only play the first 1/4 max.
San Frans QB's have all been in the system for a good amount of time, and apparently they have been performing well in practice, moving the second string offence the length of the field and scoring against the no. 1 D. (I hope this says more about the QB's than the D!!)

Buffalo +4

Indi are still struggling with fatigue. Dungy has already said that starters will get minimum game time.
The Buffalo defense looks as solid as ever, and the Indi back-up QBs didn't look too impressive in Game 1.
Rookie Losman is starting, but he should go ok against a pourous Indi D. And even if he doesn't, it leaves Holcolme and Matthews to pick apart a really pourous 2nd and 3rd string unit.

Good Luck all

 

[smurphy]

Looks good Christo. GL!

 

[Ratslla]

Thanks MrChristo, good luck tonight!

 

[gardenweasel]

g.l.,c......

have a prosperous,healthy season :yup ..

 

[MrChristo]

Thanks guys :toast: Appreciate the thoughts.

327 total yards to 201...+3 TO and it ends in a loss!!

How funny was it that half way through the telecast they were saying how well SD did out of the Eli trade....The definately blew the first round pick!

Detroit +1 FH

Harrington and Garcia will be in and both trying to impress. Jets secondary looks thin, and with Abrahams out both QB's should have plenty of time to throw the ball downfield.
Pennington not playing. A very shaky Fiedler and Bollinger. Detroit defense look to have made some good steps forward and should be able to keep the Jets in check.
Not sure I want to be involved in the second half with Orlovsky playing under centre, but I'll be surprised if the Lions are behind at HT.

Cinci/NE over 37.5

Cinci have enough fire-power to get this total on their own. In their last 2 meetings (1 pre-season, 1 regualr) they have scored 28 and 31 v. the NE defense. NE are keen to put on a better performance than last pre-season when they scored just 3, so expect a bit more action from them aswell. They'll be keen to show they can still move the ball and score without Weiss calling the plays.
Of course, it always helps have Flutie coming in late, he'll almost certainly be good for a score or two against the 3rd stringers.


Looks like NO are playing to win. Brooks and Duce are likely to play most if not all of the first half. Whether it's a good thing or not I don't know! ...They might be worth a look tho giving less than a FG.

Here's hoping for a little more luck for the next couple of days!

 

[smurphy]

Tough break on SD tonight, man. Chargers should have won by at least 10.

.....your arguments on the over in cin/ne might make me buy back my bet. pats are 10-2 under last 3 years. ...tough call.

 

[MrChristo]

Don't let me talk you out of anything, smurphy....But it is the game that stood out to me the most when I saw the lines. That 37.5 is just begging for under money, imo. Hope I'm right!

Tenn/TB under 37

Tampa were 0-4 under last pre-season (totals of 26, 20, 27, 26). Tenn were 1-3 under (27, 31, 37, 34).
McNair will only be in for a series or two, and will not throw anything long, due to his sternum operation.
Volek is in the same boat, coming off recent shoulder surgery, so that leaves Randall and Guidugli to take the majority of the snaps, and you'd think they'd struggle against the Tampa D.
Griese will take 10-15 snaps, then Simms and McCown. They have massive injury problems in their O-line, and RB's Alstott and Garner will not play.
Tough to see much scoring in this one.

 

[ajoytoy]

gl this season Mr C

 

[MrChristo]

Some tough breaks early...

Baltimore @ Atlanta under 37

Vick will get very limited time again. Schaub and Detmer will find it a lot harder to move the ball on this D than Indi's.
Last 7 meetings (since 1990) have gone under this number...inc. a 24-0 Baltimore win last pre-season, and 13-10 Balti win in '03 pre-season.
Baltimore have Fassel calling the plays, but even with the addition of Mason and Clayton, they aren't exactly a team built for speed/scoring.

Better luck from now on, eh!

 

[MrChristo]

Denver @ Houston under 37

The 2 teams have been scrimmaging together all week, so neither team is likely to want to run up a score.
Plummer will have 10-15 snaps then over to Van Pelt.
Houston want to try to establish a running game.

Denver are 0-4 under on the road in the last 3 years of pre-season, and houston are 1-5 under in all home pre-season games.

Surely there won't be too many fireworks in this one!

 

[MrChristo]

5-4-1 (-0.26)

Decent save today, but still a wasted weekend!

Pretty sure I've done my dash with the gambling Gods too...had enough luck today to last a month or 2. :scared:

 

[smurphy]

Good comeback with the unders. ....Don't worry about the luck. How much were you screwed yesterday? It evens out.

Things make sense again. After Friday, I was worried that none of these games had any actual edges to them. GL rest of the way...