monday's token play ......

[gman2]

two baseball posts in the last 7 days :scared hopefully this one is as good as last monday's. take it fwiw.

arizona diamondbacks under 8 (+110)

both glavine and webb have been lights out against their respective opponents in their careers. glavine has a 2.37 career ERA against arizona in 91.0 innings. webb has a 2.36 career ERA vs the mets (albeit within a smaller sample -- 27 innings). both teams are traveling west after playing weekend series on the east coast. think we're gonna see some sluggish bats tonight -- somewhere around a 4-2 game.

 

[RexBudler]

Looks good, gl to you G

 

[inzone]

2-0 in 5th pulling for ya

 

[gman2]

why the hell not.

lets roll it on the tigers tomorrow. when i saw the line, i scratched my head. not sure what the hell oakland is favored for. still think the a's are gonna fade and cleveland, new york, and maybe even minnesota will pass them in the wild card. only oakland pitcher that should be favored on the road is harden and maybe zito. but danny haren? um, no.

detroit (+111)

 

[wcb4]

nice call on det. a's bats sure were lethargic tonite. robertson threw very well, but i got the feeling in the middle innings that a lot of guys could have shut down oak tonite. congrats. :clap:

 

[gman2]

wcb4:

thanks man. to me, robertson is way better than his record. im more of a feel capper, so i dont analyze a ton of numbers. i go by what i see, and robertson has some good stuff. its amazing that he's only got 6 wins despite having an ERA under 4.00. as you said, though, oakland was going up with a pinata approach tonight -- blindfolds securely over their eyes and just no chance of putting anything together. really have a feeling its downhill from here for the a's.

 

[Sun Tzu]

Nice call gman but i get the sense you are getting blinded a tad bt teepee fever

 

[gman2]

Nice call gman but i get the sense you are getting blinded a tad bt teepee fever

nah. someone posted a wild card thread earlier this morning and asked who the AL wild card winner was gonna be. i still think its gonna be new york. really feel like the indians are co.ck-teasing. maybe its the fact that the indians missed the playoffs by one game a few years back, and then got within 1 game of the twins last year before totally falling apart down the stretch.....and the cavs have collapsed down the stretch the last two years to miss the playoffs by exactly one game as well each year. so im expecting the worst.

of course id like to be wrong, but i just dont see the indians hanging on. i think the yankees just have too much damn hitting not to make the postseason. theyll be exposed in the postseason with that pitching staff, but i just cant see them not getting there.

a's and indians, to me, are very similar. great young pitching. good back-end of the bullpen. but incredibly inconsistent hitting.

i think wild card ends up:
new york / cleveland / oakland / minnesota
or
new york / cleveland / minnesota / oakland

 

[mjalam]

good call on detroit...how could anyone not like bonderman tomorrow...a's couldn't hit the ball if you put it on a tee right now

 

[gman2]

ive actually been surprised by the lines in both of these det/oak game. i didnt think oakland should be favored on tuesday. but im not sure they should be quite as big a dog as they are on wednesday. as mjalam said, though, a's cant hit a ball of a tee right now.

i tried this one for wednesday:

florida under 7.5 (-125)

burnett's last 6 starts have been dead unders for the marlins. not only has he pitched 7+ innings in all of them but those six final scores (all marlin wins) were: 3-0, 4-1, 5-0, 4-3, 3-0, 4-1. neither pitcher has particularly stellar numbers against the opposition in his career, but im willing to weigh the recent starts with a little more weight -- ohka's had three solid starts in a row, giving up 5 runs in 20.1 innings along with 15 strikeouts and just 1 walk. under 7.5 for me.

 

[cooz3]

good luck G...

looking forward to football..

cooz

 

[mjalam]

didn't bet against the a's ..took em +1.5... their bats look like they've woke up.