Thursdays TRENDS.

[TJBELL]

Thursday, September 8

National League:

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates, 12:35 EST
Dustin Nippert (R) vs. Josh Fogg (R)

Nippert - Arizona 7-1 Under at Pittsburgh over the last 3 seasons
Fogg - 2-11 TSR in home games this season

Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals, 7:05 EST
Josh Beckett (R) vs. John Patterson (R)

Beckett - Beckett 0-8 TSR in road games after a win this season
Patterson - 7-0 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:10 EST
Kris Benson (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)

Benson - 0-3 TSR with 9.00 ERA and 1.923 WHIP over last three starts
Carpenter - St. Louis 19-0 after scoring 1 run or less this season

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Sun-Woo Kim (R) vs. Brian Lawrence (R)

Kim - 3-0 TSR with 0.92 ERA and 0.966 WHIP over last 3 starts
Lawrence - 1-9 TSR as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants, 10:15 EST
Carlos Zambrano (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)

Zambrano - Cubs 2-10 in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders this season
Lowry - 6-0 TSR in last 6 starts

American League:

Anaheim Angels at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Matt Clement (R)

Byrd - Anaheim 3-12 at Boston over the last 3 seasons
Clement - Boston 76-31 in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Chien-Ming Wang (R)

Hendrickson - Tampa Bay 4-23 in road games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons
Wang - 10-2 Under this season

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
J.P. Howell (L) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)

Howell - Kansas City 4-22 revenging a one run loss to opponent this season
Garcia - White Sox 18-1 after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival this season

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians, 4:05 EST
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)

Robertson - Detroit 11-1 after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span this season
Millwood - Cleveland 0-6 in home games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons


**Denotes Time Change
TSR = Team Start Record

 

[TJBELL]

Hot pitchers
-- Zambrano is 4-1, 2.84 in his last five starts.
-- Patterson is 2-1, 2.14 in his last five starts.
-- Carpenter is 3-0, 2.19 in his last three starts; St Louis has won his last fifteen starts.
-- S. Kim is 2-0, 2.51 in three starts for Colorado.
-- Lowry is 6-0, 1.18 in his last six starts.

-- Clement is 2-0, 3.00 his last four starts; Red Sox are 18-4 in his last 22 starts.
-- Bronx is 0-3 vs Hendrickson this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Nippert was 8-3, 2.18 in 18 minor league starts. Fogg is 0-3, 5.06 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 0-2, 10.05 in his last three starts.
-- Benson is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
-- Lawrence is 0-2, 6.14 his last three starts; Padres are 2-10 in his last dozen starts.


-- Angels lost last four Byrd road starts (0-2, 6.55)
-- Wang makes first start since July 8; he had 5.68 RA in his last five starts, before going on DL.
-- Garcia is 1-3, 3.92 in his last six starts. Howell is 0-2, 5.64 in his last four starts.
-- Robertson is 0-2, 10.50 in his last two starts; Tigers are 1-7 in his last eight starts. Indians 1-5 in Millwood's last six home starts.


Totals
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Arizona road games.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen National home games
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Met road games, 14-4-1 last nineteen Carpenter starts. .
-- Seven of last eight Colorado road games went under.
-- Under is 10-6 in last sixteen Cub road games.

-- Over is 9-2 in last eleven Clement starts.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Wang starts this season.
-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen White Sox home tilts.
-- Under is 16-3-2 in last twenty-one Millwood starts.

Hot teams
-- Florida is 5-2 in last seven road contests.
-- Cubs won five of their last six games.
-- Rockies won eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Giants won six of their last eight games.

-- Red Sox are 23-3 in last 26 games at Fenway Park.
-- Bronx is 11-2 in last thirteen home games. Devil Rays won three of their last four games.
-- White Sox allowed 14 runs in winning last 7 games.
-- Indians won fourteen of their last nineteen games.


Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost last six games. Arizona is 2-5 in last seven games, but won first two games in series.
-- Nationals are 9-16 at home since All-Star Break.
-- Mets lost nine of their last eleven games. Cardinals are 11-12 in their last 23 home games.
-- Padres are 9-15 in their last 24 home games.

-- Angels lost their last six games on foreign soil.
-- Devil Rays scored fifteen runs in their last five games, but they are 10-5 vs Bronx this season.
-- Royals lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Tigers lost last six games, scoring total of seven runs.

 

[TJBELL]

NFL Trends



Thursday, September 8th

Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots, 9:00 EST
Oakland Raiders - 2-12 ATS first half of the season
New England Patriots - 15-2 ATS as a home favorite

Raiders @ Patriots- First trip to Foxboro for Al Davis since Tuck Rule cost Silver and Black playoff game four years ago; also debut for Moss, Jordan in Oakland's new high-powered offense, first game for Belichick without Crennel, Weis as coordinators. Raiders 4-1-1 vs spread in first road game last six years; the last six years, over is 17-7 in their first four games of season. Patriots allowed 21+ points in six of last seven season openers- they're
2-0-1 vs spread in last three season openers. Four of last five series games were decided by four or less points.


Thursday's game

Oklahoma State has QB controversy, with a sophomore and freshman; they trailed Montana State 10-8 at half in their first game, finally winning by just 15-10; now they go visit upstart Florida Atlantic unit that trailed 9-7 at half at Kansas last week, lost 30-19; they have just eight of 22 starters back from last year's 9-3 team. Cowboys covered five of last six as a favorite on road and six of last seven non-Big 12 games, but last week's game is red flag, as they venture out on road.


OAKLAND (5 - 11) at NEW ENGLAND (17 - 2) - 9/8/2005, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Thursday, September 8th

Oklahoma State at Florida Atlantic, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Oklahoma State - 6-1 ATS after having 125+ more total yards than their opponent
Florida Atlantic - 0-3 ATS in home games