ytd 11-8 +285
NYG -1.5 220/200
I think the Giants will be a much improved team this yr. I liked their FA acquisitions (Pierce, Mckenzie, and Burress). While none of those guys made huge headlines they all are quality players that filled big needs. Eli should be well improved this yr w/ the targets he has to throw to: Burress, Toomer, Shockely, and Barber. Cardinals should also be improved but I still think their lack of a running game will hurt them as I am not sold on their rookie RB, Arrington. I know Warner will be going up vs his team from last yr and has some great weapons at wideout but I still think the Giants are the slightly better team. At home with a line that is giving less than a FG I think the Giants get it done here.
HOU/BUF u40 220/200
This line is at 38.5 at Olympic so I will take the under at SIA now. Given the fact that Losman looks a bit shaky and only has a few regular season snaps of experience I expect to see alot of Mcgahee and the Buffalo D looks to be one of the better ones in the league yet again this yr. Houston does not have much of a defense so that is a concern. However Buffalo still is a little bit weak on their OL so they should be able to keep Buffalo from scoring too much. Houston's offense might get a bit exposed for only having one threat at the wideout position. Bills quality 2ndary should be able to slow Andre Johnson down. Buffalo's penchant for scoring on sp teams is another concern but I just feel with their defense, running game, and inexperience at QB should make for a low scoring game.
DEN/MIA u38.5 220/200
Miami is another team I think, at least early on, will try to rely on their running game and defense. The defense might not be as good as the past few yrs but I still expect them to be very effective. QB position is a bit of a mess so I am hopeful they have a high %age of running plays, despite Ricky's suspension. Denver is another team that will always look to run alot and their defense, statistically, was one of the better ones last yr. I think the D will do pretty well this year also, maybe not as strong stat wise but still a solid unit.
I will probably have a few more but wanted to get these in early as I worry the lines will move against me.
NYG -1.5 220/200
I think the Giants will be a much improved team this yr. I liked their FA acquisitions (Pierce, Mckenzie, and Burress). While none of those guys made huge headlines they all are quality players that filled big needs. Eli should be well improved this yr w/ the targets he has to throw to: Burress, Toomer, Shockely, and Barber. Cardinals should also be improved but I still think their lack of a running game will hurt them as I am not sold on their rookie RB, Arrington. I know Warner will be going up vs his team from last yr and has some great weapons at wideout but I still think the Giants are the slightly better team. At home with a line that is giving less than a FG I think the Giants get it done here.
HOU/BUF u40 220/200
This line is at 38.5 at Olympic so I will take the under at SIA now. Given the fact that Losman looks a bit shaky and only has a few regular season snaps of experience I expect to see alot of Mcgahee and the Buffalo D looks to be one of the better ones in the league yet again this yr. Houston does not have much of a defense so that is a concern. However Buffalo still is a little bit weak on their OL so they should be able to keep Buffalo from scoring too much. Houston's offense might get a bit exposed for only having one threat at the wideout position. Bills quality 2ndary should be able to slow Andre Johnson down. Buffalo's penchant for scoring on sp teams is another concern but I just feel with their defense, running game, and inexperience at QB should make for a low scoring game.
DEN/MIA u38.5 220/200
Miami is another team I think, at least early on, will try to rely on their running game and defense. The defense might not be as good as the past few yrs but I still expect them to be very effective. QB position is a bit of a mess so I am hopeful they have a high %age of running plays, despite Ricky's suspension. Denver is another team that will always look to run alot and their defense, statistically, was one of the better ones last yr. I think the D will do pretty well this year also, maybe not as strong stat wise but still a solid unit.
I will probably have a few more but wanted to get these in early as I worry the lines will move against me.
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