Thursdays TRENDS

[TJBELL]

Thursday, September 15

National League:

Washington at NY Mets, 1:10 EST
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Jae Seo (R)

Hernandez - 10-2 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season
Seo - Mets 10-0 Over in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons

Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Jorge Sosa (R) vs. Brett Myers (R)

Sosa - 6-0 TSR in road night games this season
Myers - Philadelphia 18-7 Under at home vs. Atlanta over the last 3 seasons

Florida at Houston, 8:05 EST Jason Vargas (L) vs. Andy Pettite (L)

Vargas - Florida 7-0 Over in road games after allowing 10 runs or more this season
Pettite - 3-0 TSR with 1.40 ERA and 0.724 WHIP over last three starts

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Mark Prior (R)

Suppan - St. Louis 18-0 revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season
Prior - Cubs 22-32 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season

(TC) Milwaukee at Arizona, 6:10 EST
Tomo Ohka (R) vs. Shawn Estes (L)

Ohka - 16-7 TSR in day games over the last 2 seasons
Estes - Arizona 18-9 Under after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

Los Angeles at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Derek Lowe (R) vs. Brad Hennessey (R)

Lowe - Los Angeles 29-12 Over after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons
Hennessey - San Francisco 12-3 after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games this season

American League:

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 2:10 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. Zack Greinke (R)

Buehrle - 17-4 TSR in day games over the last 2 seasons
Greinke - 6-23 TSR this season

Oakland at Boston, 7:05 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Curt Schilling (R)

Blanton - Oakland 10-3 Over at Boston over the last 3 seasons
Schilling - Boston 11-3 vs. Oakland over the last three seasons

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Aaron Small (R) vs. Seth McClung (R)

Small - 3-0 TSR with 1.71 ERA and 1.190 WHIP on the road this season
McClung - Tampa Bay 28-57 after a loss this season

Seattle at Texas, 8:05 EST
Jeff Harris (R) vs. Kameron Lowe (R)

Harris - Seattle 7-22 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season
Lowe - Texas 17-6 revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season

Detroit at Anaheim, 10:05
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Bartolo Colon (R)

Maroth - Detroit 46-61 against right-handed starters this season
Colon - Anaheim 7-0 after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less this season


**Denotes Time Change
TSR = Team Start Record

More to follow as I get them.

 

[TJBELL]

Thursday

Hot pitchers
-- Seo is 6-1, 1.72 in his last eight starts.
-- Sosa is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Pettitte is 5-0, 1.57 in his last five starts.
-- Prior is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts. Suppan is 2-0 1.62 in his last three starts.
-- Lowe is 2-1, 1.14 in his last four starts.

-- Blanton has 1.79 RA in his last ten starts.
-- Small is 5-0, 2.61 in six starts this season.
-- Loe is 3-1, 2.45 in four starts this season.
-- Colon is 7-0, 2.45 in his last eight starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hernandez has 6.00 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Myers has 5.24 RA in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 0-2, 8.25 in his last three starts.
-- Arizona is 1-4 last five Estes home starts (1-2, 8.20) Ohka has 7.66 RA in his last five starts.
-- Hennessey is 0-4, 5.77 in his last seven starts.

-- Buehrle is 2-3, 5.27 in his last six starts.
-- Schilling is 2-4, 7.75 in seven starts this season.
-- McClung is 1-2, 7.36 in his last three starts.
-- Harris is 0-2, 10.13 in his last two starts.
-- Maroth has 5.90 RA in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Over is 3-1 in last four starts by Seo.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Sosa starts.
-- Last six Florida road games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Cub games.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Estes starts.
-- Under is 9-2 in last 11 San Francisco home games.

-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Buehrle starts. Greinke is 1-5, 7.16 in his last nine starts.
-- Last five Fenway games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in Small starts.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Harris starts.
-- Under is 10-2 in last twelve games at Anaheim.

Hot teams
-- Nationals are 7-3 in last ten road games.
-- Phils won five of their last six games.
-- Florida is 9-5 in its last fourteen road games.
-- Cardinals are 12-5 in last seventeen road games.
-- Brewers won six of their last nine games.
-- Giants are 7-5 in last twelve home games.

-- A's are 22-7 in last 29 road games, but lost last two nights in late innings. Boston is 27-4 in last 31 at home.
-- Bronx won last three games, scoring 30 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Mets are 2-12 in their last fourteen games.
-- Braves allowed 21 runs in losing last three games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five road games.
-- Cubs are 1-6 in last seven home series openers.
-- Arizona is 5-12 in its last seventeen home games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight road games.

-- White Sox lost five of last six games, allowing 40 runs. KC is 4-15 in its last nineteen home games.
-- Seattle is 7-14 in last 21 road games. Rangers are 2-5 in their last seven games.
-- Tigers lost eleven of their last fourteen games. Angels just got swept at Seattle, but are 7-1 in last eight home series openers.