west coast guru said:
Why would you bet against these guys. THis is a team the oddsmakers have not caught up with and will not all season. They have had the top recruiting class the past three years.
I think USC is 30-11 ATS their last 41 games!
WHat people fail to figure out is that there 2nd and 3rd teamers are better than most teams 1st teamers.
USC 2nd string and 3rd string offense moved the ball against the 1st string defense of Arkansas.
Hell how many future NFL guys are not starting right now? So, when they bring in the 2nd unit they will outclass most 1st strings.
Scouts come to a lot of the USC practices. That is the reason the Patriots drafted backup QB Matt Cassel who only threw 30 something career passes at USC. He signed BTW with Pats! These scouts have said the entire starting offense will be DRAFTED into the NFL. Some scouts are quoted as saying the the entire 1st and 2nd string offense will be drafted into the NFL!
Carroll a month ago said he is only recruiting high school players he thinks has 1st round NFL talent. Guess he is a man of his word!
If you look at USC last year they had trouble covering in the 1st half, but in the 2nd half they were unstoppable.
BLAME NORM CHOW! Well not exactly but USC OC's this year go for the kille from the start. Chow was a mastermind and toyed with the opposing defense. That is why whenever USC needed the right play called in a crucial momeny, Chow always had a play that worked to perfection. But Chow never went for the kill. Then again, last year USC had brand new OL, new WR's, new FB, 2nd string TE, and they still won the NC! So maybe Chow was the real deal but the USC OC's now go for the kill from the start. I said USC would do this before season started. The OC's are 31 and 32 years old but extremely bright. That is why Carroll let Chow leave.
Not sure of the numbers but made a shitload last year betting USC 2nd half and have made a shitload already betting the 2nd half this year. The oddsmakers still even from last year have not caught on to the 2nd half line.
You are right about the backups but there are 2 other more important reasons USC excels in the 2h. USC is the best conditioned team in the country with the #1 S&C coach in Carlyse. Carroll says I want this player to lose 30pounds, he does. NOBODY is out of shape at USC. Amazing. Look at Leinart this year. He is STRONGER and even FASTER. Same with Reggie Bush! RB White lost all his baby fat and is faster than he was last year. Usually players get complacent after winning 2 NC's in a row but they all know the high school recruits Carroll brings in have the opportunity to beat them out. Carroll gave Booty the chance to beat out Leinart this year! No joke! Nobody in the country plays more freshman than USC and this brings a huge competitiveness in practices and off season workouts. No job is safe.
FYI, Norm Chow never would play his backup QB's. Matt Cassel had 30 career passes at USC and he was 5th year player. This year, Booty has come in very early and they are preparing him very well to take over Leinart. That is something I didn't like about Chow. Now USC won't have huge dropoff at QB play next year!

Booty is more "physically" talented than Leinart. So this can have impact on USC covering 2h numbers. Carroll will play 2nd-4th stringers on defense as well. USC went 6-deep against Arkansas at some positions. EVERYONE played including walk ons! Great team morale! You think everyone as team practices hard this week knowing they played last game and got to contribute? Carroll just gets it! You will never find a better CFB HC than Pete Carroll. Mark that down!