cfb weeknight recent trend

[pt1gard]

last 4 lines that were org. posted for weeknight TV games all moved fairly quickly, and the pub was wrong all three times (utep/utah/Boise--yes, the pub came back to them but org. were on BG) and tomorrow pub likes AF ... anyway, pub been wrong 3xs in a row, can it continue? ... I am mulling buying Utah to 6.5 ... will wait till tomorrow, have feelign it might pop back to 7.5 tho ...

gl, gregg

 

[Dizzayton]

Where do you get your stat that the public is on Air Force. I have Utah at 68% on sportsbook. What book do you look at?

 

[RTL]

Dizzayton is right, the public is on Utah right now. Just because the line has gone from 9 to 7, doesn't mean the public is betting the same way. I'm showing a very high percentage of public action on the Utes.

RTL

 

[Dizzayton]

I respect this Utah team, but I have a feeling Air Force plays them tough. I also think this game goes under do to lots of running. From what I saw against TCU, Utah does not exactly dominate against the run.

 

[pt1gard]

i guess i should say the line has shifted for whatever reason other than public money, something's goosing it and its not jack benny's ghost or the Prime Mover ... thats the gist of my post anyhow, the line shift has been wrong lately ...

 

[pghpounder]

I believe when I looked at sportsbook yesterday it was 52% on Bg and 48% on Boise but the line still moved 2pts. I understand what Pt is saying and I agree with him.

GL :mj14:

 

[bryanz]

anyone that looks @ sportsbook : WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF the % on LM going from 73% to 57% over the last 6 hours ?

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

also speaking of non-saturday nationally televised games, including holidays and a sunday, the overs are a pitiful 3-11 according to my notes.

that includes last nights under

wonder how long that trend can hold.



gl

 

[pt1gard]

thats intersting Blue, everytime i try an Under in cfb it goes over hehe .... prob lifetime about 27% on cfb totals ... I didnt bet any LY other than halftimes and tried a couple this year and lost both ... I need the discipline to run from those