Fridays TRENDS.

TJBELL

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Friday, September 23

National League:

Houston at Chicago Cubs, 3:20 EST
Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Glendon Rusch (L)
Rodriguez - Houston 34-14 in September
Rusch - 15-30 TSR at home in the second half of the season

New York Mets at Washington, 7:05 EST
Steve Trachsel (R) vs. Esteban Loaiza (R)
Trachsel - Mets 23-10 Under away after scoring 1 or 0 runs
Loaiza - Washington 5-28 off 4+ Unders

Philadelphia at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Vicente Padilla (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Padilla - Philadelphia 7-15 off 6+ road games
Harang - Cincinnati 19-4 Over at home after winning 2 of thier last 3 games

Florida at Atlanta, 7:35 EST
Josh Beckett (R) vs. John Smoltz (R)
Beckett - 2-8 TSR away pitching off a team win
Smoltz - 20-5 TSR as a favorite

San Francisco at Colorado, 8:05 EST
Matt Kinney (R) vs. Jeff Francis (L)
Kinney - San Francisco 21-9 away in September
Francis - Colorado 5-13 at home off a win by 2 runs or less

St. Louis at Milwaukee, 8:05 EST
Chris Carpenter (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)
Carpenter - St. Louis 11-0 after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Capuano - Milwaukee 1-9 off a shutout loss

San Diego at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Pedro Astacio (R) vs. Claudio Vargas (R)
Astacio - 2-9 TSR in night games
Vargas - Arizona 14-7 off 6+ home games

Pittsburgh at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Paul Maholm (L) vs. D.J. Houlton (R)
Maholm - Pittsburgh 18-36 off 3+ division games
Houlton - Dodgers 23-10 Over vs. NL Central opponents


American League:

Seattle at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Ryan Franklin (R) vs. Sean Douglass (R)
Franklin - 13-4 Under as an underdog of +150 or less
Douglass - Detroit 4-18 in the month of September

Toronto at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Shawn Chacon (R)
Lilly - Toronto 2-12 after the bullpen allowed 0 runs in 3+ games
Chacon - Yankees 50-22 off an Over

Boston at Baltimore, 7:35 EST
Bronson Arroyo (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
Arroyo - 10-0 TSR in the month of September
Cabrera - Baltimore 9-26 off 4+ losses

Minnesota at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Kyle Lohse (R) vs. Jose Contreras (R)
Lohse - 24-13 TSR away pitching off a win
Contreras - White Sox 7-15 at home after scoring 2 runs or less

Cleveland at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Jose Lima (R)
Sabathia - Cleveland 21-4 as a road favorite
Lima - Kansas City 5-22 off a combined score of 15+ runs

Tampa Bay at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
Casey Fossum (L) vs. Paul Byrd (R)
Fossum - Tampa Bay 2-8 at Anaheim
Byrd - 13-2 Under as a favorite of -150 or higher

Texas at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Dan Haren (R)
Rogers - 24-7 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest
Haren - Oakland 6-17 off a loss by 6+ runs

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 

TJBELL

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Hot pitchers
-- Rusch is 2-0, 3.20 in his last three starts. Rodriguez has 2.92 RA in his last four starts.
-- Loaiza is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts.
-- Harang has 2.63 RA in his last six starts. Padilla is 2-1 2.90 in his last five road starts.
-- Beckett is 3-0, 2.70 in his last three starts. Braves are 15-3 in last eighteen Smoltz starts.
-- Cardinals are 17-1 in last eighteen Carpenter starts. Brewers are 5-2 in last seven Capuano starts.
-- Astacio is 2-0, 2.18 in his last five starts.
-- Maholm is 2-0, 1.24 in his first four starts.

-- Cabrera is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts. Red Sox won last four Arroyo starts (3-0, 3.54).
-- Contreras is 6-0, 2.42 in his last six starts.
-- Indians won eight of last nine Sabathia starts.
-- Byrd is 3-1, 1.21 in his last four starts.
-- Haren has 2.76 RA in his last five starts. Texas won last four Rogers starts, scoring 29 runs.

Cold pitchers
-- Trachsel is 0-3, 6.38 in his last three starts.
-- Francis is 0-2, 13.15 in his last three home starts, last of which was in August. Kinney makes first '05 start; he was 7-8, 5.21 in 19 AAA starts
-- Vargas has 7.89 RA in his last five starts.
-- Dodgers are 1-10 in last 11 Houlton starts (8.20 RA in his last four).

-- Franklin is 0-4, 7.20 in his last eight starts. Douglass is 0-2, 12.27 in his last four starts.
-- Chacon is 2-2, 5.70 in his last four starts. Lilly has a 6.57 RA in his last five starts.
-- Twins are 2-9 in last eleven Lohse starts.
-- Fossum has 5.87 RA in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Wrigley Field games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Met road games.
-- Last six Harang starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Atlanta home games.
-- Under is 12-5-1 in last 18 Francis starts.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight St Louis road games.
-- Last six Vargas starts went over the total.
-- All four Maholm starts stayed under the total.

-- Over is 6-1 in last seven Douglass starts.
-- Three of last four Chacon starts went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Boston road games.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Contreras starts, 10-2-1 in last thirteen Lohse outings.
-- Last six Byrd starts stayed under the total.
-- Last five Lima starts went over the total.
-- Last four Oakland home games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Astros are 7-3 in their last ten road games.
-- Phillies are 15-7 in last 22 road games. Reds are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
-- Colorado is 8-4 in its last dozen home games.
-- Giants are 7-3 in last ten road games.
-- Brewers are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
-- Arizona won four of its last five games. Padres are 7-1 in last eight road series openers.

-- Bronx is 10-1 in its last eleven games.
-- Indians are 15-2 in their last seventeen games. KC is 6-1 in its last seven home games.
-- Angels won their last six games. Devil Rays are 4-1 in their last five road games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs are 9-16 in their last 25 home games.
-- Mets are 2-10 in last dozen road games. Nationals are 2-7 in last nine home games.
-- Braves lost seven of their last ten games. Marlins lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers lost their last six games. Pirates lost seven of last ten road games.


-- Tigers lost last seven games, are 6-12 in their last 18 home games. Seattle is 2-7 in last nine road games.
-- Toronto is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
-- Orioles are 1-7 in their last eight games. Red Sox are 12-16 in last 28 road games.
-- White Sox are 1-7 in last eight home games. Twins are 6-10 in their last sixteen games.
-- Rangers lost their last four road games.
--A's are 5-11 in their last sixteen home games.
 

TJBELL

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HOUSTON (84 - 69) at CHICAGO CUBS (75 - 78) - 3:20 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. GLENDON RUSCH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 15-26 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 83-69 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 34-14 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 83-69 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 54-30 (+20.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-77 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-39 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 89-78 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-77 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-16 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-40 (-22.6 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-19 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-41 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
RUSCH is 40-58 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUSCH is 40-58 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUSCH is 20-34 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)



WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)



GLENDON RUSCH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RUSCH is 5-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 6-9 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.8 units)




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NY METS (75 - 77) at WASHINGTON (78 - 75) - 7:05 PM
STEVE TRACHSEL (R) vs. ESTEBAN LOAIZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 75-77 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 30-45 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 75-77 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 18-33 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY METS are 33-58 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 77-72 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 52-48 (+6.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 57-52 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-36 (+5.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 78-74 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LOAIZA is 58-29 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 5-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
LOAIZA is 56-59 (-24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-8 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)



STEVE TRACHSEL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
TRACHSEL is 8-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.301.
His team's record is 12-7 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-11. (-4.2 units)



ESTEBAN LOAIZA vs. NY METS since 1997
LOAIZA is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (82 - 71) at CINCINNATI (71 - 81) - 7:10 PM
VICENTE PADILLA (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-29 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 147-168 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 145-167 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 102-116 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 109-139 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday this season.
CINCINNATI is 43-64 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 155-193 (-61.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
HARANG is 8-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+1.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)



VICENTE PADILLA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PADILLA is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)



AARON HARANG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HARANG is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)




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FLORIDA (80 - 73) at ATLANTA (86 - 67) - 7:35 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. JOHN SMOLTZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 60-56 (-7.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 38-42 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
FLORIDA is 69-74 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 80-73 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 21-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 31-33 (-8.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 77-73 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 52-48 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BECKETT is 2-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 2-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 183-136 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 49-26 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 90-55 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 49-26 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 36-17 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 119-63 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 43-24 (+15.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 84-62 (+25.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 80-61 (+22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-5 (+3.3 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)



JOSH BECKETT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BECKETT is 4-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 4-8 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-2.7 units)



JOHN SMOLTZ vs. FLORIDA since 1997
SMOLTZ is 7-3 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.197.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.3 units)
 

TJBELL

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Jul 22, 2001
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SAN FRANCISCO (71 - 81) at COLORADO (63 - 89) - 8:05 PM
MATT KINNEY (R) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 61-34 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 162-150 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-39 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 128-86 (+26.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 74-72 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 50-51 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-38 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-14 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 48-68 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-40 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-6 (+1.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.3 Units)



MATT KINNEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
KINNEY is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 16.85 and a WHIP of 3.745.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



JEFF FRANCIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FRANCIS is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 8.41 and a WHIP of 1.869.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)




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ST LOUIS (96 - 58) at MILWAUKEE (75 - 77) - 8:05 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 71-71 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-37 (+7.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 75-76 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CAPUANO is 21-11 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CAPUANO is 20-10 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 40-11 (+25.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 44-27 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 63-32 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-10 (+33.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 206-123 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 48-29 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CARPENTER is 25-5 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 12-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 15-1 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 24-5 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 17-1 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 17-2 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-3 (+5.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)



CHRIS CARPENTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
CARPENTER is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.307.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)



CHRIS CAPUANO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CAPUANO is 3-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.410.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




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SAN DIEGO (76 - 76) at ARIZONA (70 - 83) - 9:40 PM
PEDRO ASTACIO (R) vs. CLAUDIO VARGAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 76-75 (-7.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 74-74 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 36-39 (-10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SAN DIEGO is 38-41 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ASTACIO is 2-9 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 32-26 (+6.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
VARGAS is 11-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 12-8 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 29-18 (+13.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 121-194 (-72.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-44 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 14-34 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 54-85 (-33.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-44 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 24-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 23-33 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 8-8 (+1.6 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)



PEDRO ASTACIO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
ASTACIO is 4-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.513.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.2 units)



CLAUDIO VARGAS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
VARGAS is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
 
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