12-6-1 YTD +116 Units--WEEK 4-One large play

[Dr. Little]

Last weekend could have been much bigger but VTECH defense let Ohio go up and down on the field on them in the first half. If not I would have won 60 units alone on that game. UCLA, AZ State, Texas A&M, and Missou were easy winners. Florida was a tight game. Cal killed me as Lynch did not play and 2 starting off lineman did not play. Either way it was a bad play as Illinois offense dominated time of possession. The OK state play was just a crappy play as OK state offense cant seem to pick up Fedoras offensive schemes to save their lives. I will look to play against OSU for the rest of the year.

This coming weekend I have already played one game LARGE (40 units).All my posted plays are for 10 units unless I post otherwise. This game is as easy as the UCLA game. I played this as soon as the line came out as I expected it to jump and it already has.
USC -17 bought a half point; the line is up to 20 already; I still may play this for even more. This will be a blowout. I would still play this at 20. There are a few other games I am looking at and will try and post later.
Good luck next week.

 

[Dr. Little]

Adding NC State -9 1/2 20 units
NC State 1st half -5 1/2 20 units
I love betting on home teams with great defenses that can stop the run. The kicker is NC cannot roll the ball and will be forced to pass all day long against a front 7 that will be putting constant pressure on NC qb the entire game. NC State more or less contained VT high powered offense so should have no problem containing a NC offense that struggled to score at home againt Wisconsin. NC State will dominate this game from start to finish.


Also looking at
Kstate -24
S Carolina -18
will be looking to play against Troy and NTexas the rest of the year.
Az State -5.5

 

[Dr. Little]

Adding Utah -6 1/2 bought a half point
People are looking into Utah lack of stopping the run to jump on AF however this game will be played at Utah and like Boise, Utah is a much better home team. I expect Utah to bounce back from the first loss in a big way and to boot Raymond has an OUTLAW play on this.

Also adding AZ State -5 (15 units)
I am hoping that AZ State barely squeaks out a win by a TD and USC rolls as I believe this is the only team that has a chance to beat USC. AZ State should again have a field day thru the air against a pourous OSU secondary. OSU only chance in this game is to get up early and keep the crowd in the game but they are simply overmatched here.
Good luck this week

 

[Dr. Little]

Adding Cal -17 First half 10 units
Cal -29 Game 10 units
If you have tracked NMS this year they have only scored 7 points in the first half TOTAL in all 3 games they have played and the only quality team they have faced CO limited them to only 7 FD the entire game. Its your choice on whether you want to pass or run against NMS as their defense is generous at giving up both. With or without Lynch Cal will be fine as Forsett ran for over 187 yards last game. I expect Ayoob to come out with a better first half after laying an egg last first half and Cal defense should have no problem containing NMS anemic offense.

 

[Dr. Little]

Adding

Vtech -11 10 Units Too much on both sides of the ball with or without ball

SD State -13 1/2 bought half point 20 units
Fading San Jose. This will be a blowout

Tulsa -1 10 Units Smart money going towards Tulsa Memphis is one dimensional and Tulsa will shut that down.

Purdue +3 15 Units Purdue owns this series simple as that

N Illinois - 6 1/2 20 Units NI QB/RB tandem too much for the Zips to control.

Good luck this weekend

 

[Dr. Little]

NC State is finally playing like they want to win the game playing the 2nd half big to make up for their crappy 1st half performance. Goes to show how one play can fawk up a 1st half game.

Looking at CSU; they have been lookingi for a mismatch all seaon as CSU has had tough sledding so far.