NFL Wk.3.

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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5-4-1(+1.36)

St. Louis -6.5

League: 13-26-2 (Av. loss 9.1) away 3+ dog, off 14+ SU win as home 7- dog. [Tenn]
3-12-1 (Av. loss 11.8) if total is 40+
0-5-1 (Av. loss 11.0) if total 44+

Just like the way this game sets up. Titans are being over-rated after "upsetting" a team who really should never have been favourites. They simply stacked the box, took Lewis out of the game and made Wright throw the ball 40 times. On the surface 25 points against the Balti D is a good effort, but their first TD was only a 3 play, 25 yard 'drive' off a fumble. FG, FG, FG, then an Int return for a TD. S
t. Louis haven't looked good at all, but their 2 games so far have both been on the road, outdoors and on grass...far from their favourite situation.
But first game at home, I expect them to roll over this young Titans team who allowed over 200 yards rushing and nearly 20 yards per pass in their first road game of the year. (34-7 loss @ Pittsburgh)

NE @ Pittsburgh over 42

League: 9-3 over (11-1 over this no...11-0 since 1995....av. 51.8...+9.0) home 3- fav off 14+ ats win as away 7- fav. [Pits]

Big Ben has started right where he left off last year, leading the Steelers to scores of 34 and 27 so far...admittedly against some poor defense, but they had 20 at HT in both games before calling off the dogs.
NE defense has looked shaky so far, esp. in the red zone, where they've allowed 5 TD's from 5 inside 20's.
NE will score their share of points .
There's been some concern over the lack of a running game so far, but in last season's reg meeting, Pits won 34-20, and NE had exactly 5 rushing yards from 6 attempts!!!
The other meeting last year was 41-27 NE.
I think we'll see some points again this time around.

Good Luck all :cool:
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Tampa @ Green Bay under 37.5

I've gone through this one top to bottom, and can't for thje life of me work out what the catch is, so I'll sucker in on the under at a good number.

Can anyone explain how Geen Bay expect to score in this game? Tampa allowed 80 yards rushing in 2 games @ 2.5 ypr. Walker out for the season, now Franks doubtful.
They've scored 3 @ Det, and only really scored 17 last week v. a crappy Cleveland D (the last TD was a gift.)
Suprisingly their run D has held up ok, allowing just 2.9 ypr...and 2 of Cleveland's TD (80 yard and 65 yard passes) were simple short passes with huge blown coverages.
So, admittedly I'll be cringing every time I see GB in man-to-man coverage, but it seems a lot of points for one of the best defenses and one of the worst offenses in the league...doesn't it?? (There's something wropng about this number, I know it!!!)
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Jags @ Jets under 34

League: 3-10 under (av. 29.9...-5.3) home 3- fav off 10+ SU win as home 7- fav if total <37 [Jets]

...That includes 2 OT's, and the 3 overs were by a combined 2 points!...34 when total was 33', 37 (36) & 36 (35')

Pennington is struggling to throw with any real zip, and Martin is not 100%. They've scored 7 and 17 (with a late TD) and now face one of the better defenses in the NFL.
They've held Indi and Seattle to 10 and 14 points, so it's tough to see the Jets breaking them.
Leftwich is questionable for the Jags, but either way I'm expecting them to pound the ball on the ground to try to control the clock and time of possession.
The last meeting (in 2003) was 13-10, and I'm expecting another low scorer this time around.

Good Luck all :cool:
 
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