SUNDAY
- Thread starter THUNDER
- Start date
Miami is -1.5 now. Should I wait to take it hoping it goes back down or do you think it will go up. Same thing happened to me with Carolina yesterday. I had them at -1.5 and got burnt. Would appreciate your advice. Great job yesterday. Thanks for the plays. :clap:
Hey Thunder - first off great job over the weekend - and as always best of luck to you - you are a class act - and ALWAYS look forward to your plays - you are one of best cappers around for sure...
Now i have a quick question for you - regarding the Miami/KC game, but also i guess regarding anytime you post a SHARPS play - now are there a few sharp bettors you personally know making these plays - or do you list it as a SHARPS play based on initial line movement? Please share a little insight if you could - would really appreciate it...
This line has me puzzled - i follow Miami very close - and they are night/day at home vs. away - really liked KC in this one though on a pk em type game - just think KC ground game will have success vs. miami - and Miami's d overall has played well but has been burned at times (pittman running yesterday, steve smith a few weeks ago) - really see KC winning this game even though on the road...think KC's running game continues to improve and one of these weeks Gonzalez will be a factor - maybe next week...right now just no confidence in Miami, and figure the betting public would feel the same way - so figured KC to be about a 3 point fave or so - now i see some have miami at -1 or -1.5...if you have some insight as to why the Sharps love Miami this week, i'd be interested to hear that perspective...good luck w/ the play and hope to hear a response from you dealing w/ SHARPS plays...
--SAVE IT
Now i have a quick question for you - regarding the Miami/KC game, but also i guess regarding anytime you post a SHARPS play - now are there a few sharp bettors you personally know making these plays - or do you list it as a SHARPS play based on initial line movement? Please share a little insight if you could - would really appreciate it...
This line has me puzzled - i follow Miami very close - and they are night/day at home vs. away - really liked KC in this one though on a pk em type game - just think KC ground game will have success vs. miami - and Miami's d overall has played well but has been burned at times (pittman running yesterday, steve smith a few weeks ago) - really see KC winning this game even though on the road...think KC's running game continues to improve and one of these weeks Gonzalez will be a factor - maybe next week...right now just no confidence in Miami, and figure the betting public would feel the same way - so figured KC to be about a 3 point fave or so - now i see some have miami at -1 or -1.5...if you have some insight as to why the Sharps love Miami this week, i'd be interested to hear that perspective...good luck w/ the play and hope to hear a response from you dealing w/ SHARPS plays...
--SAVE IT
you are a good guesser- lets just say that i know a few books i- MIAMI IS SOLID AS THEY COME AT HOME- NIGHT AND DAY TEAM- THE REASON WHY IS MIAMI HAS LOST 2 ROAD GAMES- MEANWHILE KC COVERED AT HOME AGAINST A VERY UNDERVALUED WASH TEAM THAT WAS ROADWEARY_MIAMI HAS BEATEN 2 QUALITY TEAMS AT HOME THIS WILL BE THE 3RD.
Thx for the quick response THUNDER - greatly appreciated - i totally agree w/ Miami being night and day - i live in WI near Green Bay - and am a Packer season ticket holder (though i've sold off most tix for this year - just frustrating watching those lambeau losses) so follow them closely but Miami is an equally favorite team of mine followed since i was young - and I have had a good handle on them (mostly going against on the road) - I figure the line was bet down quickly by those who realize this fact that Miami is night & day at home...and KC beat road team playing on road for 2nd straight...
Still have a feeling though KC shows up and finds a way to run on Miami & Miami's offense will need to play like they played in first 2 home wins (although really have to keep in mind the win vs. Carolina - well they got lucky on that one) - will be a no play for me - anxious to see how it turns out - i hope the get the win and you hit your 5% play - you are a sharp capper so i never doubt your plays...
one X factor i think will help the chiefs a bit is they will need solid play from their secondary - Patrick Surtain & Sammy Knight - 2 Miami starters from last year return and I believe they'll be jacked up for this game vs. their old team...if Miami doesn't get the running game going early, they won't win the game - they can't afford to fall behind on the scoreboard to a team who cans score like the Chiefs...they won't beat the chiefs in a shootout - now hopefully miami shuts down holmes/johnson early - similar to the KC/Denver game - there are several factors to take into account for this game - i know it's easy to look and say miami is good at home so they should win - but miami won't go 8-0 at home or anything - heck they'll probably go more like 5-3 at best at home by year's end and I would consider that to be an improvement...this team still has alot to work on - especially getting that ground game to run on a consistent basis...
looking forward to your other plays for Sunday - i haven't taken a hard look at all the lines yet - this one just really jumped out as i expected KC to be a -3 and hang around there, didn't expect the line to be brought into Miami favorite territory so quickly...
Still have a feeling though KC shows up and finds a way to run on Miami & Miami's offense will need to play like they played in first 2 home wins (although really have to keep in mind the win vs. Carolina - well they got lucky on that one) - will be a no play for me - anxious to see how it turns out - i hope the get the win and you hit your 5% play - you are a sharp capper so i never doubt your plays...
one X factor i think will help the chiefs a bit is they will need solid play from their secondary - Patrick Surtain & Sammy Knight - 2 Miami starters from last year return and I believe they'll be jacked up for this game vs. their old team...if Miami doesn't get the running game going early, they won't win the game - they can't afford to fall behind on the scoreboard to a team who cans score like the Chiefs...they won't beat the chiefs in a shootout - now hopefully miami shuts down holmes/johnson early - similar to the KC/Denver game - there are several factors to take into account for this game - i know it's easy to look and say miami is good at home so they should win - but miami won't go 8-0 at home or anything - heck they'll probably go more like 5-3 at best at home by year's end and I would consider that to be an improvement...this team still has alot to work on - especially getting that ground game to run on a consistent basis...
looking forward to your other plays for Sunday - i haven't taken a hard look at all the lines yet - this one just really jumped out as i expected KC to be a -3 and hang around there, didn't expect the line to be brought into Miami favorite territory so quickly...
I AM FROM MINNY BUT HAVE A CONDO IN MINOCQUA ON THE CHAIN- GO THERE OFTEN- HAVE YOU HEARD OF MILWAUKEE PC
im sorry i m new on this site and i cant understand which side your on miami or KC...and what the percentages mean...
sorry for the stupid question!
edub
sorry for the stupid question!
edub
Hey Thunder - sure i've heard of Milwaukee PC - have one less than 10 minutes away from my house - curious why you ask if i heard of them?
Minocqua - chain of lakes - very nice place to have a condo - i go there every once in a while...i'm from Appleton - sure you've heard of that & been there - 25 miles south of Green Bay...
Good luck this weekend w/ your card of games...nice week last week and always look forward to your posts - you know your stuff...I haven't locked in on anything yet for the weekend...GL!
Minocqua - chain of lakes - very nice place to have a condo - i go there every once in a while...i'm from Appleton - sure you've heard of that & been there - 25 miles south of Green Bay...
Good luck this weekend w/ your card of games...nice week last week and always look forward to your posts - you know your stuff...I haven't locked in on anything yet for the weekend...GL!
:topic:
I go up to WI twice a year and fish the Minocqua area for muskie. My friends parents have a cabin near the Big Saint. :mj14:
I go up to WI twice a year and fish the Minocqua area for muskie. My friends parents have a cabin near the Big Saint. :mj14:
Wow Thunder - didn't know you are part owner of MKE PC - sweet - how many stores you guys own then? So do you spend alot of time at the stores or have others managing and running each store? Ever get to the Appleton store often? Yeah I'm an Information Technology consultant so quite involved in the tech industry...business good these days? I know the consulting business is really good - have more opportunities than time & resources! GL tonight in college & this weekend w/ all your games...
BROTHER LIVES IN MILWAUKEE-23 STORES-I PRETTY MUCH STAY AWAY FROM THE RETAIL SIDE-THANX AND TAKE CARE
