After a wonderful weekend last week, I think I made like 26 Units playing strictly teasers and HT plays. I'm not claiming to know the NFL or anything, but I do believe there is great money to be made if EVERYONE here at MJ's remember one thing.... the NFL is THE MOST HEAVILY BET sport in the world. There is only 16 games at most, usually less, and the lines are scrutinized to the highest degree. Now given that, doesn't it stand to reason since we are able to TEASE both sides and totals with EVERY game in this sport, we can therefore exploit this so-called "HOUSE" advantage. Bear with me for a moment, but IF the greatest $$ wagered is on NFL games, and those lines are the most highly regulated, doesn't it again stand to reason that they are the most accurate??? I'm no rocket scientist, the reason I succeed at HT and teasers in the NFL, is for one reason: I USE THEIR INFO against them. IF they say 50 pts should be scored in a paticular game and it hits HT at 10, I'm going OVER in the 2H. I don't care what the line is, these guys are rarely off by TWO TD's. Do the MATH?!?!?!? How often do you see an NFL game end less than ONE TD from the line or total???? ALL THE FRICKING TIME!!!!!!! THESE GUYS ARE GOOD!!!!!!!!! Get that through your head. SO, the way to combat that is, play teasers and HT plays to exploit that. Figure out what you like as far as games go, play your HOMIE plays or whatever, but TEASE HEAVY on the plays you see exceptional value with. THEN, as my moniker says, WAIT TIL HT and see what's up! It really is that simple.... I normally suck at college, but kill on SUNDAYS. BECAUSE, I can't utiize this system with so many games. BUT, believe me... trust the man, and exploit him.... your BR will be better off in the long run.
Can't believe I typed so much without one single :mj21:
Having said all that, I guess I should suggest some interesting plays I've uncovered.
Here goes:
My biggest Teaser EVER:
SAINTS UNDER 54
EAGLES +3.5
20 UNITS ********************
I know this seems extreme, and it probably is, but I have searched and searched and I cannot find two better games to take a shot at than these two. Andy Reid and PHILLY have a tremendous record when coming off a bye week and SD has had to play an extremely tough schedule as compared to last year's patsie one. They are what they are, a .500 team. The other game has a backup QB who sucked on MNF facing a good defense vs a Good QB with no running game. How can this game go OVER unless we get tons of points from the DEF and Special Teams??? :shrug:
I don't think it can... I'm looking for a 10-10 at the half and BETTING the CRAP out of the OVER in 2H once it's posted... this is how I succeed in the NFL when most fail. I have no interest in going PAY so I don't care.... I analyze games and cap the FH... DON'T bet many, but I cap how the game SHOULD be played the first 30 minutes. I tease the way I see em going, and as my moniker says, I BET at HT to lock in my advantage and secure my profit. Been doing it for years, and it works. WHOEVER thinks they can predict the NFL year after year is lying. I have only entered ONE CONTEST EVER for NFL and it was here at MJ's 3 or 4 years ago and I finished 2nd or 3rd to COW when it ended. I had my worst week ever the very last week, or I win easily. JACK can verify this, the name was BUBBLEHEAD for my wife, but it was my picks. I went like 25-5 over a six week period to move up the ladder and be in contention, but the COW got me in the end. ( I sincerely miss that drunken hide of leather btw...)
Anywho, there's one TEASER I'm all over and here's one more til breakfast:
Four Team pays 2 to 1:
New Orleans /Rams under 54
MINN +8.5
PHIL +3.5
Det/CLEV OVER 27.5
That's it for now.... let me look at some more crap and get back with you.
BTW.... it's 3 AM here in CALIF.... now you know why I SAY, "WAIT TIL HT" !!!!!! :mj07:
Can't believe I typed so much without one single :mj21:
Having said all that, I guess I should suggest some interesting plays I've uncovered.
Here goes:
My biggest Teaser EVER:
SAINTS UNDER 54
EAGLES +3.5
20 UNITS ********************
I know this seems extreme, and it probably is, but I have searched and searched and I cannot find two better games to take a shot at than these two. Andy Reid and PHILLY have a tremendous record when coming off a bye week and SD has had to play an extremely tough schedule as compared to last year's patsie one. They are what they are, a .500 team. The other game has a backup QB who sucked on MNF facing a good defense vs a Good QB with no running game. How can this game go OVER unless we get tons of points from the DEF and Special Teams??? :shrug:
I don't think it can... I'm looking for a 10-10 at the half and BETTING the CRAP out of the OVER in 2H once it's posted... this is how I succeed in the NFL when most fail. I have no interest in going PAY so I don't care.... I analyze games and cap the FH... DON'T bet many, but I cap how the game SHOULD be played the first 30 minutes. I tease the way I see em going, and as my moniker says, I BET at HT to lock in my advantage and secure my profit. Been doing it for years, and it works. WHOEVER thinks they can predict the NFL year after year is lying. I have only entered ONE CONTEST EVER for NFL and it was here at MJ's 3 or 4 years ago and I finished 2nd or 3rd to COW when it ended. I had my worst week ever the very last week, or I win easily. JACK can verify this, the name was BUBBLEHEAD for my wife, but it was my picks. I went like 25-5 over a six week period to move up the ladder and be in contention, but the COW got me in the end. ( I sincerely miss that drunken hide of leather btw...)
Anywho, there's one TEASER I'm all over and here's one more til breakfast:
Four Team pays 2 to 1:
New Orleans /Rams under 54
MINN +8.5
PHIL +3.5
Det/CLEV OVER 27.5
That's it for now.... let me look at some more crap and get back with you.
BTW.... it's 3 AM here in CALIF.... now you know why I SAY, "WAIT TIL HT" !!!!!!
:mj07:
