Pinnacle posts USC -5 1/2 over TX

rrc

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They put the # up this morning. Have at it fellas.

In what would be a high scoring affair if you like Texas, might as well play the money line. The 5 1/2 won't matter either way.

I lean Usc.
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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they will be posting UCLA/Texas in a bit as well

my early lean for the title game is UCLA - 14.5 over Texas, but I could see a Vince Young backdoor.

gl
 

Scott4USC

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Got this from someone else. Good stuff on all 3 teams.

Analysis on USC, Texas, and V-Tech.

USC:

Off rank 2
Def rank 35

Avg offensive rank of teams played(by points): 47
Avg def................................: 83

Home games 2
Road games 5 :eek:

Texas:

Off rank 4
Def rank 7

Avg off rank of teams played: 48
Avg def.....................: 61

Home games 4
Road games 2
Neutral site 1

Virginia Tech:

Off rank 14
Def rank 1

Avg off rank of teams played: 88
Avg def rank................: 60

Home games: 3
Road games: 4

Analysis:

I think it is clear that the Virginia Tech defense ranking is a bit inflated. When you play offensive powerhouses like NC State, Ohio, Duke, and Marshall...not to mention WVU...then your numbers look very good. Do they have a good defense? Yes, has it really been tested? No. USC, on the other hand has faced far better offenses(but inferior defenses). Moreover, USC has played 5 of their seven games on the road. I really think this is a huge consideration when comparing the teams. Texas has played by far the easiest schedule only leaving the state twice.

I just wanted to add a few things into the mix to look through the statistics a bit. I firmly believe USC's defense would be ranked much higher if they had played more home games.

Now, to the rest of the schedule:

USC:

Games remaining are 5(4 home/1 away)

Avg off rank of upcoming opponents: 16
Avg def...........................: 59

Four of remaining five teams on the schedule have offenses in the top 11 in Nation while upcomin defenses are mediocre.

Texas:
Games remaining 4(3 away/1 home)

Avg off rank of remaining oppoenents: 71
Avg def.............................: 45

Very easy schedule remaining. Possibly too easy from a BCS perspective.

Virginia Tech:

4 games remaining(3 home/1 away)

Avg off ranking of upcoming opponents: 65
Avg def..............................: 27

Face tough defenses but poor offenses. Viginia is loan road game left.
 
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Dice34

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I would love nothing more than to have UCLA throw a monkey wrench into the equation.

Go unbeaten and beat the mighty trojans, they better be goin dancing dance2 dance2 if that happens.

One more thing, I would like to see Pittiful Pitt win out and Rutgers lose one more time, so a 7-4 team that got beat by Ohio goes to a BCS bowl. :mj07:
 

Scott4USC

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UCLA has a problem. They get USC at the end of the year and USC has 2 weeks to prepare. USC's young D will be experienced and USC should be healthy. The D ASU, Oregon, and ND faced won't be the same D UCLA faces. :(

USC was playing and rotating players against UW all 4 quarters. 1st, 2nd and 3rd stringers. USC could not do this in 1h of year because of so many tight tough games on the road. Carroll is preparing his team to close out the season strong last 3 games. Fresno St, @CAL and UCLA.

I also have a feeling UCLA will have ton of turnovers against USC. Just a gut feeling. They have been great with turnovers all year. But the USC/UCLA rivalry and BCS stakes etc will make UCLA implode. Just a gut feeling.

If there is a prop bet on Drew scoring a special teams TD against USC, bet it HUGE! :)

UCLA -14.5 over Texas :toast:
 

Dice34

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I don't care if Pete Carroll enters the stadium on a horse wearing a USC thong and whatever else you just said.

I would just like to see UCLA help mess this whole BCS crap up. I want it to fail year in and year out. But only if UCLA is undefeated.
 

BleedDodgerBlue

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freelancc said:
UCLA's win over USC will vault Virginia Tech into title game with Texas..;)


not necessarily. I've used my computer module and my model shows a 63-7 UCLA win over USC. That should put them in the Title game with Texas.
 
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