Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Davis Love to win 25/1 e.w. available generally
When he's good, he's very, very good, but when he's bad .... he's very frustrating! Love misses far too many cuts for someone so good, but it can be quite easy to lose track of how much he contends when he does play at weekends. In his last ten starts in the United States, dating back to the St. Jude Classic in May, he has missed the cut three times, but from his seven other starts, his worst finish is 13th. And it is a similar story on this course. On his debut in 2003, he finished 6th and last year he missed the cut. It may be worth a saver on a prop that he misses the cut, because if he doesn't he is likely to be very much in contention this week.
Geoff Ogilvy to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetFred
A frustrating selection last week as he bogeyed the last hole, but the fact that he was in the joint lead until Glover holed out from the bunker in the group of front of him will almost certainly have caused him to overhit and/or be too aggressive in his approach shot to the last as he now needed a birdie to tie Glover. It proved costly, but it was still a very impressive performance from Ogilvy and it did maintain his excellent record in Florida. He has another on this course with finishes of 20th and 9th in two visits so a similar performance, bar the last hole, is expected this week.
Justin Rose to win 50/1 e.w. available generally
And the same here. Rose held the lead on his own at times during the final round and, like Ogilvy, stood on the final tee in a share of the lead. What happened afterwards is best glossed-over, but it was still a very impressive performance and it follows on from a 6th place finish in North Carolina in his previous start. So having played so well in this event last year, for three rounds at least, he should be able to carry on where he left off last week ... before he reached the final tee!
Davis Love to win 25/1 e.w. available generally
When he's good, he's very, very good, but when he's bad .... he's very frustrating! Love misses far too many cuts for someone so good, but it can be quite easy to lose track of how much he contends when he does play at weekends. In his last ten starts in the United States, dating back to the St. Jude Classic in May, he has missed the cut three times, but from his seven other starts, his worst finish is 13th. And it is a similar story on this course. On his debut in 2003, he finished 6th and last year he missed the cut. It may be worth a saver on a prop that he misses the cut, because if he doesn't he is likely to be very much in contention this week.
Geoff Ogilvy to win 40/1 e.w. @ BetFred
A frustrating selection last week as he bogeyed the last hole, but the fact that he was in the joint lead until Glover holed out from the bunker in the group of front of him will almost certainly have caused him to overhit and/or be too aggressive in his approach shot to the last as he now needed a birdie to tie Glover. It proved costly, but it was still a very impressive performance from Ogilvy and it did maintain his excellent record in Florida. He has another on this course with finishes of 20th and 9th in two visits so a similar performance, bar the last hole, is expected this week.
Justin Rose to win 50/1 e.w. available generally
And the same here. Rose held the lead on his own at times during the final round and, like Ogilvy, stood on the final tee in a share of the lead. What happened afterwards is best glossed-over, but it was still a very impressive performance and it follows on from a 6th place finish in North Carolina in his previous start. So having played so well in this event last year, for three rounds at least, he should be able to carry on where he left off last week ... before he reached the final tee!
:scared
