Future's question...

[MrChristo]

...If 2 teams finish with an equal record, have won one meeting each and have won the same amount of games inside the Div, then who wins the Div?

Does it then go to who's won the most games inside the Conference?

...may aswell be more specific...

I really like the Jags (@ 9.00) to win the AFC South!! :scared

imo, they only have 3 iffy games left....@ Tenn & @ 'Zona, but I'd expect them to win both...and home to Indi, which I thinkk will determine who wins the Div.

On the other hand, Indi will likely lose @ NE...big chance to lose @ Cinci & @ Seattle...and I really think they will lose home games to Pittsburgh and SD.

I think the Jags WILL win 12 games (and upto 14!)...and even after this 7-0 start, I'm not sure Indi can match it.

As far as long term bets go, this is hardly a dead cert...but in a genuine two horse race, odds of 9.00 are crazy!!

An answer to the first question would be appreciated...and also interested in some comments (from non-Indi fans! :mj07: )

 

[soul train]

DIVISION TIES

If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical best won-lost-tied percentage, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined. The same steps are used to determine the sites of postseason games.

Two Clubs

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).

2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.

3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.

4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, if applicable.

5. Best net points in division games.

6. Best net points in all games.

7. Strength of schedule.

8. Best net touchdowns in all games.

9. Coin toss.

 

[Agent 0659]

Shoot, I will give you 10-1 :scared Good luck!

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Gotta love final option #9....toss a coin!!!


Can't these guys just use score 'for and against' as a % and be done with it??!!!

At least this way teams would not shut down games with knees etc in the final minutes. Scoring should always be the objective.

These blokes have got no idea!!

 

[gjn23]

what???

jax is 2.5 games back (3.5 since they already lost to indy) with 9 left and you think they can surpass indy??????

you've got indy with 4 losses in their last 9 and jax with only 2 more at worst????

dont waste your money

 

[MrChristo]

Thanks for the info, Soul. :mj14:

what???

jax is 2.5 games back (3.5 since they already lost to indy) with 9 left and you think they can surpass indy??????

you've got indy with 4 losses in their last 9 and jax with only 2 more at worst????

dont waste your money

Jax are a HUGE chance to not lose another game.
Even if they lose TWO more, it puts them on 12 wins.

I have Indi down with a big chance of losing 5 of their remaining 9 games...Giving them and 11-5 record.

Like I said, I honestly think it comes down to the Jax/Indi game in wk. 14.....in which case I'm effectively getting 9.00 for the Jags in that game!! :clap:

(or 9.00 for a HEADS call, eh PAWA :mj07: )

Then, of course, the Jags could come out this week, get beaten by St. Louis and it would be a huge waste of $$..... :sadwave:

(oh, and PAWA, don't say too much. Those knees are gold for us 'under' kinda guys! :mj14: )

 

[gjn23]

take a step back and look at what you are saying.....

an undefeated, impressive indy team that sits at 7-0, is on a bye week but they are going to finish the season 4-5 so you can win your bet......while jax is going to run the table or lost at most 2 more games?????

as incosnistant as the jags offense is, i'd say they losw AT LEAST two more games and as tough as indy's schedule is i say they lose AT MOST 4 games.....after the past few years, this team is on a mission for the #1 seed....no way they lose their own division.

9-1
10-1
20-1

it doesnt matter, indy wins the division

 

[gjn23]

here's another way to look at it

if you're convinced that indy is gonna lose those 5 games then just bet the $100 on the money line (and then let it ride) on all 5 teams opposite of indy....the colts will likely be favored in all games (maybe not ne) and I guarantee that winning all 5 on the money line for the opposition will pay significantly greater than 9-1

this way you eliminate the jags out of the equation and still have essentially the same bet (that indy loses 5 games)

100=900 if jags win division
100=0 if indy wins division
100=0 if indy wins any of 5 games (which likely meant that they also win division)
100=MUCH GREATER THAN 900 if indy loses all 5 (which they likely will need to for jax to win division).

 

[MrChristo]

Just found it for a massive 16.00!!

I do hear what you are saying gjn23, but now the numbers just don't add up...

For the 5 games that I think they might lose (not including the trip to Jax), they now have to be about ~3.00 ML, which is about -6.

I guess a bit depends on how NE go this w'end, but I can't see Indi being favoured by more than 3 there next week.
They could well be laying a TD @ Cinci.
I HOPE they are laying a TD home to Pittsburgh, 'cause I'll be all over that one no matter what!...and same goes for the SD game.
And I wouldn't think that they'd be laying any more than a FG @ Seattle.

Again, the reason I started this thread was to find out what happens in the event of a tie...IF the Jags beat Indi at home (and this really is the key to it I think), then the teams could well end up on 12-13-14 wins each, which then comes down to Conf wins...etc...etc.

(Sorry...now after all that, I see you said to bet against Indi and let it ride....but the problem with that is that ONE loss kills the bet, with still the big risk that Jax wins 13-14 games)

Anyway....Now that Jax are fav's in SL, I guess they are 'expected' to win, so the odds for the Div shouldn't change much next week if they do...and of course, if they lose then I've saved my $$.