This is the Life Week 10

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Clem D

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After a 2-0 +3k week in the League where I play for pay my record is at a scary 26-10 or 72.2 % on the season. I have come to a few conclusions. The first being that the odds are against me in staying over 70 percent for the Nfl season. Im also up 21,190 in the Nfl and in all likelihood I will give some of that back in the coming weeks. It's the nature of the beast. Does all this have me nervous or teading lightly you ask?

With College Hoops here? I don't think so.

I'm sticking with what got me here. VAlue.

Before the season started I had the Pats minus 7.5 at the Dolphins. What has changed?
I know the Pats have no Defense. Luckilly the Dolphins cant score. The Pats should have enough left in the tank to take care of buisness here and then some.

I'll lay the 2.5
1100/1000
 
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TexansFan:(

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like it as well, the pats D is weak on the long ball, not a power of the phins
 
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Skanoochies

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26-10 is incredible. But then again if your 26-10 after the first half, you can go 26-10 in the last half. Get those negative thoughts out of your head. Just keep it rollin man.The best of luck the rest of the way. :clap:
 
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shark

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keep it up clem and i will be looking forward to college hoops as well.
 
E

edludes

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Tremendous performance,I was thinking of you as I watched the Tbay score roll up for Carolina.didn't you post inTxag thread that you were playing NE+3?.
 
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watrdogg

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Wow what a awesome job so far this year. Keep the winners coming Clem. I can hardly wait till you start posting your College basketball picks. :clap: We all know thats your best sport. :mj14:
 
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Clem D

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Eagles -2.5

Rally the troops. I see every eagle to a man rallying and playing their best ball of the year this week. Before the season started I made the eagles -7 in this spot. Tremedous value here with revenge factor, the TO factor and the desperation factor.

1100/1000
 
D

DerekNJND

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love both these picks. As Clem said, preseason, both these lines were at least a TD, and VEGAS is desperate to keep people on the Eagles and Pats. Both teams have been terrible against the spread this season, but Vegas has Definately been raking it in off the woes of the Birds and Pats. Keepin that in mind, these lines are awfully tempting.

That being said, to put this in a business model prespective, both these teams are past the peak of the championship team "life cycle". Their core competencies were defense, and in their struggles, especialy recently, both teams defenses have been exposed. Defense IMO is about tackling and speed, may seem obvious but think about it. Eagles cant tackle, Pats are missing their secondary speed this season. What does this all mean?

A. these teams are on the decline, which you didnt have to read this post to figure out, haha
B. Once your defense is exposed, especially on national tv, teams WILL come after your weaknesses.
C. Neither team will advance past the first round of the playoffs this season

BUT, both these teams are pretty much in mid season MUST WIN scenarios, with GREAT COACHING. Both teams have the talent, QB, Coaching edge to be TD favorites here, but theres been some money made going against these teams this season. Vegas needs to balance that out a little bit, so look for that trend to be reversed this weekend.
 
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moeclarrett

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Helluva job this year Clem. I always check your plays and have been following you when I agree all year. Appreciate your rationale on the Pats and its tempting to follow for sure. One thing that stops me in my tracks is where the public is siding on this one. Heavy heavy consensus on the Pats laying the wood on the road. I'm seeing over 81% on NE and the site I use never has inflated numbers like Sportsbook produces and people post on the jack.

Obviously not going to change your mind here and I'm not trying to. I'd love to hear your opinion on the matter though. If not, no biggie. Good luck the rest of the season and keep up the good work! You are the man
 
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