Week 10

[MrChristo]

26-28 (-1.69) [This really is getting annoying!! :cursin: ]

Very quiet week for me I think....

KC @ Bufflao under 42

League: 7-36 under (Av. total 40.2...av. score 33.4) home 3- fav off a BYE.** [Buff]
(3-19 under (av. total 42.8...av. score 34.8) if total 40+)
& 0-10 under (Av. total 39.3...av. score 31.3) if opp is off any ats loss.

** that trend is 2-22 under since 1997!!! ...(and one of those losses only went 'over' in OT (Wash/Seattle this season))



Roaf and Holmes out will hurt KC's running game. Buff D is solid against the pass, and the Bills haven't got the fire-power to light up KC's D.


Carolina -9.5 (2.08)

Seems to me that people are giving way too much credit to Bollinger. Let's be fair, if he was any good at all, do you think the Jets would call Vinny off the couch??
Sure, he went 11/20 for 105 yards and 2 TD's last week (which still isn't great!), but 1) It was at home; and 2) It was against some very soft D by SD as they played out trying to protect their lead.
The Chargers dropped men back in coverage and didn't pressure him at all, but I think it's safe to assume that that won't be the case this week.
The Jets have lost all 4 road games so far by 13, 10, 10 & 20, and now come up against a Carolina team that is averaging over 29 ppg at home, I just don't see how they keep up.
The Panthers allow just 3.2 ypc, so they will force Bollinger to throw the ball...and things could get ugly. (And now, of course, I hope they do! :mj14: )

The obligitory trend....
League: 21-12-1 (Av. win 13.7) home 7+ fav, off away 14+ SU and ats win, if opp was last a home 'dog. [Caro]
9-1 (Av. win 20.7!!) since 2000
10-2-1 (Av. win 18.8) if opp won ats as a home 'dog.


Good Luck all

 

[baby johnson]

me thinks you win em both

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

GL with the plays MrC. Hope the Cats bring it home for us

 

[MrChristo]

Tease: NYG -3; Atl -3; Balt +13.....@ 2.40.

Can't believe how even the Balt and Jax stats are...would have loved to have gotten Balt +7.5 early on, but was a bit slack.
Really think the other 2 should win easily, but best to tease incase of a late score or two.

Thanks guys....let's bring 'em home!!! :toast:

 

[jpblack34]

Hey Slacker....I didn't get you any emails this week because I didn't get one myself for the NFL. That being said, I'll probably tag along for the ride unless pawa's express has something pumping. Hope all is well in that side of the world and good luck today bud. JP

 

[PAWAQATSI]

Nice and easy Under on KC Christo. :clap:

Looks like plenty of us got screwed over by the Giants on our teasers. :cursin:

Hopefully the panthers can bring it home late.

I'm texting Bomber scores as we speak as he is in Singapore without net access!!!

 

[MrChristo]

lol!! That would be killing him, PAWA....Hope you're charging him a dollar or 2 a msg

All good here, jp! Cheers mate :toast:

Dallas @ Philli under 40.5

League: 12-28-3 under (-3.1) away 3- dog off a BYE. [Dal]
2-9-3 under (-4.8) if opp is off any ats loss.

League: 19-27-2 under (-1.0) home 3- fav off a 7+ SU loss as an away 3- dog. [Phil]
7-18 under (-4.2) if total is 40+
Not as strong of a trend as the small home fav off a bye, but still worth a play.

The Dallas D was all over McNabb in Dallas this year, and he won't have it any easier tonight...in fact it could be even worse with a rookie starting @ Centre!
McNabb was just 13/26 for 131 yards in that game...and they rushed just 9 times for 19 yards!!!
I'd expect to see more of a balanced attack tonight, but the fact is that they just can't run the ball, so Dallas will be coming after McNabb at every chance.
The good news for Philli is that they play decent D at home, so it looks a decent under to me.