Hey everyone... I've been lurking for a while and have benefitted from some great cappers here, so I figured it was time to finally throw my hat in the ring. Just a quick note... I tend to pick games based on situations and my gut feeling. I'm not a big number-cruncher and I don't follow trends too closely, especially if they date back like 7 or 8 years. Alright, on to the picks...
Indy (-5.5) I just think Indy is the better team and don't see Cincy's D being able to stop them. I've thought all year that Cincy is one of the most overrated teams due to their cupcake schedule. Losing 2 of 3 games to teams with winning records and laying eggs against GB and Houston at home is hardly anything to get excited over. Tomorrow is their chance to prove me wrong.
TB (+6) I was surprised at this line. I figured Atlanta would be about a 3 point fave. Atlanta's D can be run on and TB loves to pound the ball. Plus, I get to bet against Kordell Vick. One of my favorite pasttimes. Unless Chris Simms completely unravels and throws 3 or 4 picks, I like TB here. In fact, I wouldn't be at all surprised if they won it SU.
Denver (-7 1H) I love this one. Denver plays on Thanksgiving so I'm not going to take them at -13.5 for the game. I could see them getting way up and then resting some starters and/or just taking it easy on D. I like them to take an early lead and then put it on cruise control.
Ravens (+3.5) Yes, the Ravens are awful. However, they still have a good defense and Tommy Maddox is the QB tomorrow. That pretty much sums it up for me. You could put a gun to my head and I wouldn't bet on Maddox. He's a trainwreck. I think this will be very low-scoring, something like 13-10.
Good luck everyone.
Indy (-5.5) I just think Indy is the better team and don't see Cincy's D being able to stop them. I've thought all year that Cincy is one of the most overrated teams due to their cupcake schedule. Losing 2 of 3 games to teams with winning records and laying eggs against GB and Houston at home is hardly anything to get excited over. Tomorrow is their chance to prove me wrong.
TB (+6) I was surprised at this line. I figured Atlanta would be about a 3 point fave. Atlanta's D can be run on and TB loves to pound the ball. Plus, I get to bet against Kordell Vick. One of my favorite pasttimes. Unless Chris Simms completely unravels and throws 3 or 4 picks, I like TB here. In fact, I wouldn't be at all surprised if they won it SU.
Denver (-7 1H) I love this one. Denver plays on Thanksgiving so I'm not going to take them at -13.5 for the game. I could see them getting way up and then resting some starters and/or just taking it easy on D. I like them to take an early lead and then put it on cruise control.
Ravens (+3.5) Yes, the Ravens are awful. However, they still have a good defense and Tommy Maddox is the QB tomorrow. That pretty much sums it up for me. You could put a gun to my head and I wouldn't bet on Maddox. He's a trainwreck. I think this will be very low-scoring, something like 13-10.
Good luck everyone.
Hope you like Green Bay tonight :mj14: