Week Card (Nov 21st-27th)

Irish

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Ohio (+10) over Miami OH
Start off by saying the bobcats are not a good team and I do not like playing bad teams. That being said the bobcats are a different team at home and they show signs of live not only on defense but also on offense. Ohio is 3-1 at home and in the one loss they fell by 9 to Toledo. Ohio needs to establish the run early and try to ride Kalvin McRae's shoulders to some clock-eating yards, something they did not do against Akron but normally have an easier time at home. The Miami OH offense can score but they too depend a lot on starting off running the ball. Betts is not a good QB as his last performance showed. The redhawks have looked good of late with last weeks game as an exception, tonight they should look to rebound against a less talented ohio squad. Still Solich at home with the ten. Hate to pull the trigger but they should have the edge to eek in a few points with their home fans behind them.

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Irish
 

Irish

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BG (-6.5) over Toledo
The rockets defense will not be able to contend with the BG passing attack. Having Jacobs back in the line-up is always big, but yet another nationally televised game is something he will get up to play. The rockets have a good coach and they have a good qb they will look to counter every score with a score, but No. Ill showed they have an offense that can be stopped and that should mean another opportunity for the Falcons to score. The rockets like to hammer the ball but they will have to throw that away if they get down to this BG offense, that hurts the effectiveness of Toledo a lot. Not to mention how a freshman QB was able to throw on the rockets defense all night. Just too much offense for this BG team that is pretty much refocused and ready for this match-up. The took care of business last week with Miami (OH) and now they should do the same against this Toledo squad. Should be a good game with a lot of offense. The BG defense should feast on the passing attack if the Rockets cannot run the ball. BG picked off Betts five times in their last contest, this defense is better suited to contest with the passing of a team than the running but as I said they defend the run by scoring and forcing the other team to pass to make up points quicker. BG should not come out flat and I would expect Toledo to have a very tough time stopping the falcon offense.

Cheers
Irish
 

bbk

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Appreciate your contributions and love the picks; I am on Toledo large on the moneyline this game +180; believe Toledo with MUCH better defense and enough offense to win this game outright. Just being devils advocate and really do appreciate the plays and winners you continue to give. Good luck
 

Irish

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Thanks BBk
BG is the top rated team against the rush in the MAC, BGSU defense is second in the league allowing 21.3 points per game. The home team has won the last 7 meetings. BG had a pretty big 27-7 lead but got sloppy and Toledo came back to win last year. Tuesday night's game will mark the final home appearance for 19 seniors who have posted a MAC best 35-13 record (.729) in their four years. Pope Anders and Sharon all playing in their last home game as well as many of the defensive players. Should be a good game and both teams are playing for a lot. Good luck with your plays as well.

Toledo (+.5) 1st quarter think it is a 7-7 score. Both teams look to score to open the game, possesion will be big but If BG wins the toss they will more than likely want the ball and if Toledo wins they will more than likely not want the BG offense to have the ball. IMO

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Irish
 

Irish

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Is it cold in here... no just my plays... damn

W Mich (+10) over N. Ill
Don't think the broncos come out and let the huskies roll all over them. Both teams have offense but the huskies have the edge in defense. Still don't see the W Mich QB throwing 5 picks or the broncos getting 3 safeties like Miami did and that means it should be a close good game. During the day limits the amount of fans that can make it to the game as well, students are traveling home for thanksgiving. Still the huskies are a good home team but I like the points in this match. SO run to the huskies because I am freezing, but I'll stick to my guns... lets go broncos.

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Irish
 

Irish

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WVU (-14) over Pitt
historically little has separated these two teams. Over the past 50 years, Pittsburgh and West Virginia have identical 24-24-2 records in the Backyard Brawl. The Mountaineers lead the Big East in rushing with 236.8 yards per game and rank 2nd in the conference with 23 rushing touchdowns. Pittsburgh's defense has been solid over the last two months. The Panthers, who rank 3rd in the Big East against the pass and fifth against the run, must find a way to stop West Virginia. The Mountaineers are coming off a 38-0 shutout They give up 270 yards per game which is Big East-leading season average. Against UConn the panthers mustered 192 yards of total offense. The Panthers spoiled the Mountaineers' hopes for a BCS bowl bid when they pulled off a 16-13 upset last year at Heinz Field. This ways on the Neers minds as they get their back yard brawl neightbor at home."I don't want to say I hate anybody," he said, "but it's obviously one of the best feelings in the world to walk off the field after beating Pitt".-senior safety Mike Lorello Center Mozes will play on thursday night which is good news for WVU backers.

Texas (-28) over Texas A&M
Big game for both teams but the fact that Iowa St beat A&M at home means this team is not very good, couple that with a bad peg for Reggie McNeal , should spell long day for the Aggies. McNeal has been the QB for many years and that offense is taylored for him still his mobility will be limited and thats what makes him a dangerous player. Longhorns halted a five-year losing streak to Oklahoma this season with an easy 45-12, that same Okla team lit up the Aggies and walked away with a slim victory. They got blow out by TT and we all know what the Horns did to the Red raiders. Texas has too much talent and baring them coming out a sleep they should look to lay it on very thick against rival A&M. The Longhorn defense is underrated compared to its offense and they should limit what A&M can do.

Georgia (-3.5) over GT
Looking for a little let down from the GT/ Mia game. I'm not sold on the Yellowjackets and Ball, who played very well last game is hot and cold at times and since he was hot last week can see him getting cold this week. The Tech defense is the key in this game they were magnificent against the Hurricanes, holding them to 30 net yards rushing and registering seven sacks. The Yellow Jackets are among the national interception leaders with 18. Still Shockley should be able to scramble on the GT defense because they love to blitz he can beat the containment and make plays. Also the TE for Georgia should have the match up as the zone blitz will leave him open. The georgia defense is solid in the seondary and they should play up to task in this big rivarly. Bulldogs are allowing 124 rushing yards and 301 total yards per game and they rank second in the SEC with 24 takeaways.


ND (-18) over Stan
Stan losing to Cal at home by almost this margin should open the door for ND. Stan might have peeked a little early in the season and they have looked poor of late. ND playing away for the first time in a while might have some travel rust but they should shake it off and be able to beat this team passing easy, after all once UCLA came to play they threw all over the cards defense. Notre Dame ranks fourth in the nation in passing with 324.5 yards per game. Stanford is considering some changes on the offensive line, which gave up nine sacks last week. The front 7 of Stanford is solid but they should be able to beat them through the air all day.

Might have one or two more as I scarf turkey
Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!

Cheers
Irish
 
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Irish

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AKRON/KENT UNDER (39.5)

Weather is expected snow, bitter cold and windy, rested starters if Akron gets ahead they have the MAC championship to think about, early start time, and injuries for Kent are big reasons for this play. But the scary fact is away from home Kent has gotten into some shootouts but that was before numerous injuries suffered by Kent State, especially on the offensive line, have really limited what the offense can do. Considering the Zips have scored over 24 once in this season and Kent has a season average of 17.7. This is misleading as Kent has not scored more than 14 in their last 4 games.Also many trusted and respected cappers have jumped on this play.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Colorado (-16.5) over Nebraska

This is more a play on the bad road play of the cornhuskers (Lost to Mizzou by 17 and Kansas by 25). The Huskers .310 ratio ranks last in the Big 12, while the 177 first downs they've managed overall ranks 11th in the conference, ahead of only Kansas. In the field position game the Huskers average 39.7-yard net punting average, which ranks first in the Big 12 and 3rd nationally. In the altitude on Colorado he should be booming all night. Zac Taylor was knocked out of the KState game, and he lacks protection on the offensive line. The Buffs have to get pressure on him early and often to rattle him into bad situations. Still, This is a lot of chalk for a buffalo team that played very poorly against Iowa St in their last outing. Still the Buff did pound Mizzou 41-12 and Kansas 44-13 at home. At home the buffs have played better (5-0) and aside from the Colorado St (3 point win) game they have beaten the other 4 teams by 20 plus. Klatt normally a very good decision maker was picked and had a bad game last week so I would think he would rebound at home. Buffaloes' rise to No. 2 nationally in rush defense. Colorado is relatively healthy and looking for the Big 12 championship bid.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

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For some reason I like Arizona (+10) over ASU
Goes against my better judgement but both teams have young QB's and both have the ability to light it up on offense but ASU has zero defense. Ariz is a good young team and I would think they get up for this game the only bad thing is ASU is built for shoot out type games and I don't want to see the Cats try to out score the sundevils. Still I like the toughness Arizona will bring to this game. A big onsern is how will the Ariz QB handle a bad game last week? Hopefully he rebounds because he has the ability to move the ball and has good wheels if he has to scramble. Since the ASU defense is not good I would expect him to be moving the ball through the air but more impact with his feet. Plus Ariz has a good running back, both teams will show up to play but I'll take the points in this game considering Ariz beat them up last year.

Cheers
Irish
 

trolln4walii

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GL this week Irish. Nice calls on the Mountaineers and the Akron total last night. You're heating up just in time to take this cold weather south ;) With you on Texas and Georgia, and I agree with Arizona. Got them with the hook today. Let's make 'em winners :mj14:
 

Irish

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LSU (-17) over Ark
Hope this defense shows up. They have looked good of late found an offense but Ark has not been blown out in many games this year. Still last game in death valley think the tigers are the call.

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Irish
 

Irish

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WOW The Dogs sweep the table in all games today??? Do the Bows make it 5, public money is 86% on Wiscy and the line has gone up 2 points in 2 hours. Warriors are a better home team than away but they are not a very good overall team. Will the badgers come in a little tired is the question.

Hawaii/Wic OVER (14) 1st quarter

Hawaii (+5.5) over Wiscy 1st half

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Irish
 

Irish

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UTEP (-7) over SMU
This is not your fathers SMU team, Now, with victories over Mountain West champion TCU as well as C-USA opponents UAB, Rice and Houston. They play well and have the ability to shock teams especially at home. Still In the angry aftermath of a 35-23 home loss to UAB on Saturday, UTEP quarterback Jordan Palmer promised the Miners would be ready to win the C-USA West Division title when they play at SMU this Saturday. The Miners continue to lead C-USA with 34.2 points per game. Offense is not the problem it is the turnover problem, Miners' 25 turnovers, the worst total in C-USA. UTEP leads C-USA in scoring defense, allowing only 22.6 points per game. the Miners allow only 357 total yards per game, third in C-USA. They also lead the conference with 29 sacks. So a focused and ready UTEP team should be able to out play the Mustangs. Should be a good game with some solid offense, but Palmer should lead the miners to a good game considering what is at stake.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Kansas (+4) over Iowa St
Like the jayhawks at home. They have had a lot of time off. KU is still allowing only 91.3 yards rushing on average. Kansas actually may have more to play for with a bid to the Fort Worth Bowl probably awaiting the Jayhawks if they qualify at 6-5 with a win over Iowa State. But Iowa St has Big 12 championship hopes now that Nebraska beat Colorado. Kansas is 5-0 at home, and Iowa St is 2-2 on the road. Iowa State leads the Big 12 with a plus-13 turnover margin, which also ranks 5th nationally. Both teams have solid defenses and can get turnovers but the Jayhawks are a good home team and they have a solid running game. They need better production from the QB spot but they should look to hold Iowa st and it wouldn't surprise me to see a jayhawk upset today.

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Irish
 

Irish

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Louisville (-36.5) over Cuse
Cuse hasn't lost by this margin yet this season but they haven't played an offense that goes for the throat like Louisvill. The cards are coming off a 56-5 game against Rutgers. At home te Cards have struggled only once and that was only a 22 point victory over Pitt, over than that game they have blown teams out by 50 plus in its 4 other home contest. Cuse is not a very good team and they should have a very tough time with the passing attack of Louisville. Not to mention the Cards get Michael Bush back in the line-up today which should be a huge boost for them. The Cardinals shouldn't have much of a problem with a struggling Syracuse offense that ranks last in the Big East in most every major category. Big game for the cards that love to run it up.

Cheers
Irish
 
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