System Play (6-4 YTD 19-7 LY)

[Drpzne]

Hey guys,
Sorry I haven?t posted in a while. I?ve was on vacation for 3 weeks and have been busy as hell ever since. Anyway, after a slow start, the system is on the plus side and I?m hoping for a 4-0 or 3-1 week.

This week?s plays:

11/20/05

Az+9.5/49 vs STL (31 PA vs SEA)

Oak+6/42.5 vs WAS (36 PA vs TB)

Buf+11/43 vs SD (26 PA vs NYJ)

Min+4/44.5 vs GB (25 PA vs ATL)

Good luck,
-DZ-

 

[Drpzne]

Oops, for those of you interested in the details of the play:

Play on any NFL away dog of at least 3.5 points when (a) the opposing team has allowed more than 20 points in their previous game and (b) the O/U line for the current game is over 42.


2002: 25-7-1

2003: 19-16

2004: 19-7

 

[loophole]

never been a follower or a believer in systems but i wrote this one down last year because the more i reflected on all of its' parameters, the more it made sense to me from a linesmaking perspective. after last year, it'll be awhile before i put it down.

g/l

 

[kenman]

DZ, MIN is a double bonus play in wk11. It also fit one of the system that I used and it 9-4 YTD. Check it out...

Played against a home FAV if they won SU as a road dog the previous week.

This trend is 10-5 since WK2 if played against the listed teams so far. Either the road dog win SU or backdoor cover the spread.

WK2 9/18/05
BUF vs TB-2.5 BUF L
WAS vs DAL-6 WAS W

WK3 9/25/05
TEN vs STL-7 TEN W

WK4 10/2/05
DEN vs JAX-4 DEN W
MIN vs ATL-6 MIN L
SD vs NE-4 SD W

WK5 10/9/05
WAS vs DEN-7 WAS W
PIT vs SD-3 PIT W

WK6 10/16/05
JAX vs PIT-3 JAX W
HOU vs SEA-9.5 HOU L

WK7 10/23/05
NONE

WK8 10/30/05
CHI vs DET-3 CHI W
BAL vs PIT-12 BAL W

WK9 11/6/05
NONE

WK10 11/13/05
NYJ vs CAR-8.5 NYJ L

WK11 11/20/05
DET vs DAL-7.5 DET L
MIN vs GB-4 MIN W

 

[Drpzne]

Ken,
Very nice! I'll have to up my bet on MIN.
Thanks,
-DZ-

 

[Buck i]

Good stuff guys! Thanks for the info!!!

 

[kenman]

Hey DZ, hope up your bet on MIN, two systems point to MIN came out.

 

[Drpzne]

Ken,
I hit MIN HARD!!!! 3-1 week for my system play, looks like it's turned around nicely. Hopefully we'll have a few more this week.
-DZ-

 

[gridman]

Drpzne - does this mean your plays for 11/27 are SF & NYG?

Kenman - does this mean your plays for 11/27 are Cleve, Chicago,
& Miami?

GM

 

[kenman]

GM, yes CLE, CHI, and MIA fit the system I used and so far it 10-5 YTD.

SF, NYG fit Drpzne system and if the total for GB/PHI go up to 42 or more then GB is the play also. BOL

 

[Drpzne]

Ken,
You are correct, SF & NYG are system plays for me this week. GB would be a play if the total goes OVER 42.
Good luck,
-DZ-