EARLY LEANS & PLAYS (played 3-Favs early)
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THANKSGIVING DAY
Atlanta -3.0 41?o/u
Detroit
Lions are off a 7-pt, 17-penalty, 11-First down showing at the Big D. They have been to 14 pts or less 6 times already. Harrington ranks 30th among NFL QBs
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS off a loss of less than 4 pts, 8-3 ATS on Nov Rd off SU & ATS loss.
Going against 7 of the TOP 8 Vegas Bookies here, although they are getting the hook.
Played Falcons -3
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Denver -1.0 41?o/u
Dallas
Broncos are on a 8-1 SU run as well as a 7-1 ATS skein. They have an impressive 1,515 - 558 RY edge. Add Plummer with a team record 219 passes w/o a pick.
Da Boys picked up 9 FDs via key penalties in their win over Detriot.
Dog is on a 10-5 ATS run & in Dallas games.
Denver is a 24-11 ATS play as a pup, regardless the site.
Played Denver -1
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SUNDAY ACTION
New England
Kansas City -3.0 51?o/u
--NE-RB-Dillon-Questionable
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Baltimore
Cincinnati -9.0 37o/u
Chalk is on a 29-12 ATS run in Baltimore games & the Ravens have yet to reach 20 pts.
Cincy is 13-3 in its 2nd Division Hoster & has a HUGE TO edge of 31 over Baltimore.
Who is ready for a spanking?
Played Bengals -9
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Carolina -4 36?o/u
Buffalo
--BUF-QB-Holcomb-Questionable (Decision to be made Wednesday)
Panthers are 12-4-1 ATS play on the road, 17-7 ATS off a SU loss as a chalk & are 20-8 ATS after allowing less than 15 pts.
Bills looked pathetic at San Diego w/ deficits of 28-12 FDs & 478-202 in yardage. They are 22-12 ATS hosting NFC squads, but went down by 10.5 pts ATS in first such setup.
Lean Panthers -4
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Chicago
Tampa Bay -3.0 33o/u
Six straight wins for Da Bears, who are 19-5 ATS in Nov vs. winning teams, if they are also.
Bucs counter with an impressive 11-1 ATS as HFS of less than 3.5 pts.
Tough Call
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San Diego -3.5 44o/u
Washington
--SD-TE-Gates-Questionable
Consecutive last minute losses for the 'Skins who have seen their 3-0 start turn to 5-5. To mke matters worse they led the Raiders 13-3 before eventual 16-13 loss with 2 Portis fumbles offsetting 92 RYS.
San Diego on the otherhand is on fire, with 5 TDs in their 7 first half possesions vs. the Bills & Brees is an outstanding 48 of 60 the past weeks.3
San Deigo is a stellar 10-1-2 ATS on the RD since LY & just 9 pts from a 24-2 ATS run. WOWSER!!!
Now or never for Washington. Gotta see their best effort here.
Lean 'Skins + 3.5
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Cleveland
Minnesota -4.0 39?o/u
The Good News for the Brownies is that they're catching Minny off a nday Nighter.
The Bad News is that Minny has covered the last 7 of 8 at the Met with those covers by an average of 15.6 pts & Vikings with a 29.5 pt spread edge in their last 3 HGs
The Worse Newsis that Minny is a perfect 5-0 ATS hosting the AFC.
Tilt towards Vikings -4
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San Fran.
Tennessee -7.5 42?o/u
--SF-DE-Young-Questionable
Three covers for the hapless Niners in their last 4 games & 5 straight losses for the Titans.
Niners on a 21-36 Road Slide.
Titans are 9-3 as HFS vs. NFC.
Points look tempting here
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St. Louis -4.0 44o/u
Houston
--STL-QB-Bulger-Expected to miss
How could one go with the Rams away from the confines of their STL? As they have lost their last 3 RGs by 20, 17 & 15 pts SU. Add the fact that they are off an incredible 6 RY showing in their Home loss to the 'Cards, allowing 22 pts in the 4th.
To top that off Bulger has reinjured his shoulder.
Then again going with the Texans @ home has been pure poison.
Guest is now 10-3 ATS in Houston tilts.
I lean towards the poison
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Jacksonville -3.5 41?o/u
Arizona
Jags rank #1 in Passing D & have a 17 TO edge over 'Zona.
'Cards have an 0-8 ATS record as dogs of more than 3 pts vs. the AFC.
I'll be at the game rooting for AZ thats about it
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Miami
Oakland -7.0 42o/u
--MIA-LB-Thomas-Questionable
--OAK-WR-Gabriel-Questionable
Fish are 16-3 ATS vs. AFC West.
Faders are 2-7 ATS before the Chargers & 10-23 ATS hosting losing teams.
Nothing for me, thank you
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New York-N
Seattle -4.5 47o/u
Six straight for the Seahawks.
With 3 Division encounters one may expect a letdown. Not I.
NY in a Eagle/Cowboy Sandwich & Holgrem is 14-3 ATS as a non-divison host vs. a winning foe off both a win & cover.
Lean Seahawks -4.5
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Green Bay
Phila. -4.0 41o/u
--PHI-QB-McNabb-OUT (will have surgery)
--PHI-QB-McMahon-Expected to start
Not interested period
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New Orleans -1.5 37o/u
New York-A
--NYJ-QB-Bollinger-Expected to start, Testaverde-Questionable
Not interested
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Pittsburgh
Indianapolis -8 ??? (NT)
--PITT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable
Waiting on QB status
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THANKSGIVING DAY
Atlanta -3.0 41?o/u
Detroit
Lions are off a 7-pt, 17-penalty, 11-First down showing at the Big D. They have been to 14 pts or less 6 times already. Harrington ranks 30th among NFL QBs
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS off a loss of less than 4 pts, 8-3 ATS on Nov Rd off SU & ATS loss.
Going against 7 of the TOP 8 Vegas Bookies here, although they are getting the hook.
Played Falcons -3
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Denver -1.0 41?o/u
Dallas
Broncos are on a 8-1 SU run as well as a 7-1 ATS skein. They have an impressive 1,515 - 558 RY edge. Add Plummer with a team record 219 passes w/o a pick.
Da Boys picked up 9 FDs via key penalties in their win over Detriot.
Dog is on a 10-5 ATS run & in Dallas games.
Denver is a 24-11 ATS play as a pup, regardless the site.
Played Denver -1
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SUNDAY ACTION
New England
Kansas City -3.0 51?o/u
--NE-RB-Dillon-Questionable
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Baltimore
Cincinnati -9.0 37o/u
Chalk is on a 29-12 ATS run in Baltimore games & the Ravens have yet to reach 20 pts.
Cincy is 13-3 in its 2nd Division Hoster & has a HUGE TO edge of 31 over Baltimore.
Who is ready for a spanking?
Played Bengals -9
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Carolina -4 36?o/u
Buffalo
--BUF-QB-Holcomb-Questionable (Decision to be made Wednesday)
Panthers are 12-4-1 ATS play on the road, 17-7 ATS off a SU loss as a chalk & are 20-8 ATS after allowing less than 15 pts.
Bills looked pathetic at San Diego w/ deficits of 28-12 FDs & 478-202 in yardage. They are 22-12 ATS hosting NFC squads, but went down by 10.5 pts ATS in first such setup.
Lean Panthers -4
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Chicago
Tampa Bay -3.0 33o/u
Six straight wins for Da Bears, who are 19-5 ATS in Nov vs. winning teams, if they are also.
Bucs counter with an impressive 11-1 ATS as HFS of less than 3.5 pts.
Tough Call
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San Diego -3.5 44o/u
Washington
--SD-TE-Gates-Questionable
Consecutive last minute losses for the 'Skins who have seen their 3-0 start turn to 5-5. To mke matters worse they led the Raiders 13-3 before eventual 16-13 loss with 2 Portis fumbles offsetting 92 RYS.
San Diego on the otherhand is on fire, with 5 TDs in their 7 first half possesions vs. the Bills & Brees is an outstanding 48 of 60 the past weeks.3
San Deigo is a stellar 10-1-2 ATS on the RD since LY & just 9 pts from a 24-2 ATS run. WOWSER!!!
Now or never for Washington. Gotta see their best effort here.
Lean 'Skins + 3.5
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Cleveland
Minnesota -4.0 39?o/u
The Good News for the Brownies is that they're catching Minny off a nday Nighter.
The Bad News is that Minny has covered the last 7 of 8 at the Met with those covers by an average of 15.6 pts & Vikings with a 29.5 pt spread edge in their last 3 HGs
The Worse Newsis that Minny is a perfect 5-0 ATS hosting the AFC.
Tilt towards Vikings -4
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San Fran.
Tennessee -7.5 42?o/u
--SF-DE-Young-Questionable
Three covers for the hapless Niners in their last 4 games & 5 straight losses for the Titans.
Niners on a 21-36 Road Slide.
Titans are 9-3 as HFS vs. NFC.
Points look tempting here
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St. Louis -4.0 44o/u
Houston
--STL-QB-Bulger-Expected to miss
How could one go with the Rams away from the confines of their STL? As they have lost their last 3 RGs by 20, 17 & 15 pts SU. Add the fact that they are off an incredible 6 RY showing in their Home loss to the 'Cards, allowing 22 pts in the 4th.
To top that off Bulger has reinjured his shoulder.
Then again going with the Texans @ home has been pure poison.
Guest is now 10-3 ATS in Houston tilts.
I lean towards the poison
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Jacksonville -3.5 41?o/u
Arizona
Jags rank #1 in Passing D & have a 17 TO edge over 'Zona.
'Cards have an 0-8 ATS record as dogs of more than 3 pts vs. the AFC.
I'll be at the game rooting for AZ thats about it
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Miami
Oakland -7.0 42o/u
--MIA-LB-Thomas-Questionable
--OAK-WR-Gabriel-Questionable
Fish are 16-3 ATS vs. AFC West.
Faders are 2-7 ATS before the Chargers & 10-23 ATS hosting losing teams.
Nothing for me, thank you
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New York-N
Seattle -4.5 47o/u
Six straight for the Seahawks.
With 3 Division encounters one may expect a letdown. Not I.
NY in a Eagle/Cowboy Sandwich & Holgrem is 14-3 ATS as a non-divison host vs. a winning foe off both a win & cover.
Lean Seahawks -4.5
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Green Bay
Phila. -4.0 41o/u
--PHI-QB-McNabb-OUT (will have surgery)
--PHI-QB-McMahon-Expected to start
Not interested period
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New Orleans -1.5 37o/u
New York-A
--NYJ-QB-Bollinger-Expected to start, Testaverde-Questionable
Not interested
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Pittsburgh
Indianapolis -8 ??? (NT)
--PITT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable
Waiting on QB status
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