I know Geno...I'm a dog player myself. I thought this year would turn around, but it hasn't. So I'm just going with it for now. Better to be adaptable to the situation than stubborn I think. It feels strange to go against what I know, but I'd rather roll with it than hope things are going to turn around at some point.
Every year SOME stat (home dogs, Overs, dogs getting more than 7, whatever), is atypical. This year it's just a favorites year...and a big one at that. And that's just the way it is I think.
Next year all those guys who just started playing the NFL this year and got rich off of it are likely in for a very rude, very painful awakening.