NFL Plays for Week #16

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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Total NFL Won/Loss Record - 34-19 64.1%

Breakdown:

NFL Straight (Sides) Plays - 14-9 60.8%

NFL Total Plays - 1-0 100%

NFL Teaser Plays - 19-10 65.5%

College Football

Won/Loss Record - 7-6 53.8%

Breakdown:

College Straight Plays - 4-6 40%

College Teaser Plays - 3-0 100%

Total NFL and College Teaser Plays:
22-10 68.7%

I had a losing week record wise in the NFL last week going 2-3 but still had a profitable week because I Hit my BIg Play.


This week I played just one game at this time SMALL because I like the line value...I will be adding at least one more before the end of the week.

SMALL Play:

New Orleans Saints -2.5
Over Detroit

Hop on this because it has tremendous line value at this time since your not even laying a FG?both teams have been lousy this season but the Saints have been competitive and at least have an excuse?this week they face a Lions team that has fallen apart along with the organization and a team that is really banged up on the defensive side of the ball?all 3 starting LB?s (Lehman, Bailey and Holmes) are OUT along with one of their original starting CB?s and DT Shaun Rogers is questionable at this time?I?m backing the Home Saints team which is a better team overall with a decent Defense catching a banged up Lions team in disarray playing outside of their Dome?The Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 while the Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5?Hop on it at -2.5?play it up to -3 but no higher.
New Orleans 23 Detroit 17

Happy Holidays!
 

USCMD

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Some great points about Det injurys.....but I'm concerned about Bauman. He looked lost vs Car. (10 points) But Car isn't Det, defensively.

thanks

Doc
 

FirstnGoal

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Adding one more SMALL Play for now and I'm looking to add one Teaser before the weekend.


Washington Redskins -3
Over N.Y. Giants

Hop on this ASAP just in case some sharp money goes the Redskins way and pushes this line past a FG?these two teams met back on 10/30/05 in New York and the Giants handed the Redskins an old fashioned ass whipping 36-0...this week the Redskins get a chance to exact their revenge for that game?the last time these two met IN Washington - the Redskins beat the G-Men and harassed Eli Manning 31-7 last season on 12/05/04?this week I expect a similar result because of several reasons?the Redskins are running the ball as effectively as they have all season and when Clinton Portis isn?t in the game Ladell Betts and Rock Cartwright don?t skip a beat?yes the Redskins lost OG Randy Thomas last week but ninety year veteran Ray Brown should be able to fill in admirably?remember?the Giants are beaten up on the Defensive side of the ball and will be without ILB Antonio Pierce who is OUT and LB Carlos Emmons and DT William Joseph are both listed as Doubtful at this time?plus?the Redskins O-Line matches up pretty well with OT?s Jon Jansen and Chris Samuels going up against Michael Strahan and Usi Umineura despite having the those two get the better of them in the first meeting this season?I don?t think they?ve forgotten!...on the flip side?the Giants will NEED to run the ball effectively with Tiki Barber to have ANY chance because Eli Manning has looked terrible at times as of late when the opposing team puts the heat on him? and? I fully expect Redskins D-Coordinator Gregg Williams to do just that and rattle Eli like he did last season in Washington?Bottom Line?I?ll take the home team to continue where they left off last week and pay back a Giants team that is banged up on the defensive side of the ball and a team that will have to depend on Eli Manning not to melt in front of a LOUD Redskins Home Crowd.
Washington 24 New York 16

Happy Holidays!
 

block044

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heard that brooks was getting the start on saturday...i think that is good for your play. good luck
 

FirstnGoal

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1-1 for the day yesterday for My 2 Small Plays and I'm going to add 1 more small play for today.

Small Play:


2 Game 6 point Teaser:


Chicago Bears -1...I for one feel that the Pack will come to play today but the Bears need this one for playoff positioning and without question ...are the better team.

Vikings +9...It seems everyone on the tube likes the Ravens to win this one...would they have felt the same had the Ravens not pummeled the hapless Packers on MNF to get off the schnide??...probably not...I'm not drinking that Ravens Cool Aid just yet and even if they do win I feel it will be within the ("number +9").

Merry Christmas
 
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FirstnGoal

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trolln4walii said:
GL today FnG. Thanks for all the gifts you've brought to the NFL forum. Always enjoy reading your posts. Merry Christmas. Hope you find today's gift in your stocking :mj14:

Thanks Trollin!...I hope you had a Merry Christmas and good luck the rest of this year and in '06. :mj14:
 

FirstnGoal

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I'm playing this Very Small for tonight.

New England Patriots -8 over NY Jets

This line opened at -4.5 and I should have hopped on it then? but that was before this weekends games and their outcomes which makes this game meaningful for the Pats?the Pats beat the Jets 16-3 back on 12/04 of this year and the score doesn?t show the total domination that the Pats had in that game as they gained 397 Total yards to the Jets 164?in fact the Pats have won the last 5 games with the Jets and are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings?the Pats are getting healthy at the right time (although their secondary is still second rate) while the Jets are banged up especially on their D-Line?I don?t think Brooks Bollinger will have the time to exploit the Pats secondary while I feel the Pats will pound the ball on the ground with Corey Dillon and let Tom Brady pick his spots?The Jets are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 Home games while the Pats are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 overall?the Under is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings?Bottom Line?This game means something for the Pats because they still have a chance at the #3 seed in the AFC and although I feel it would make the Jets season to ?stick it to the Pats? in front of a National TV Audience?I don?t think this one will be a blowout? but I do feel the Pats may just have enough to cover the 8 point spread.
New England 23 New York 13
 
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