LSU/Miami Under

Ndfan

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Nov 7, 2001
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Does anyone like the under at 41.5. I think 20-17 MAX. LSU probably won't even get to 9 I think Miami's Defense shuts them out especially since LSU is with thier back up at QB. And LSU Defense is very talented. Love this Play.
 

DerekNJND

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Ndfan said:
Does anyone like the under at 41.5. I think 20-17 MAX. LSU probably won't even get to 9 I think Miami's Defense shuts them out especially since LSU is with thier back up at QB. And LSU Defense is very talented. Love this Play.


I think it could be right on the money. I hate betting unders to begin with, and expecting 37 total points is not enough to convince me to bet UNDER 41. Now if you expected a 10-7 game, that would be a different story :)

FWIW, I think its a good play though. See: Miami vs. FSU early on. The biggest thing I would be worried about is a newbie at QB making some mistakes against one of the nation's top defenses. INTS dont always keep the score down. Expect offensive mistakes for LSU to set up some short fields for the Canes tomorrow.

Given alot of time to prepare, I think both teams will focus on their strengths: DEFENSE. Both are top ten nationally in scoring defense, and nothing has changed coming in. Both schools are in the 40's for scoring offense, but that HAS changed. LSU w/o their starter is a HUGE advantage on and off the field tomorrow.

The teams average almost 60 points of offense between them. Granted the QB situation, this line seems off to me. When a line seems way outta whack, the oddsmakers have this funny way of "impressing" me. Seems like the 41 is begging for some OVER money. Its working too b/c Sportsbook has the action at almost 50/50 with no line movement at all. Kinda like the -3 tonight was begging for some Oregon money. We'll see what happens. GL
 
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