12/27 1/3 Bowl Picks

thom24ad

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401 Colorado
402 Clemson -10.5

Clemson -10.5

-I'm not going to comment too much on this game because its getting ready to start in about ten minutes. But for what its worth I have followed Clemson this season and this team is a bowl deserving. They have some impressive wins this season over teams like FSU, an over-hyped A&M team first game of the season, S. Carolina who was playing good ball late in the season, and just a 6 point loss to a good Miami team. Another small note is Clemson has won their last three games where Colorado has walked into the bowl season back-wards by losing their last three games. As for the coaching change who knows how it will impact the Buffaloes but with all the drama surrounding this program it is just another item to add to an already long list of issues.

403 Rutgers
404 ASU -9

ASU -9

- Tailing Worm44 on this play, I know he has loss his last three, but he is a good capper who is due to hit and I agree with the pick. Rutgers has came along this season but I think ASU just plays in a better conference and program. This is also a home game for the Sun Devils considering the game is in Phoenix. ASU should be able to cover the 9 points.

405 Boston College -1.5
406 Boise St

Boise State +1.5

- At first I didn't have this game circled but then I saw the home team is getting a point and half. I also wouldn't be surprise if this game ends up a pick'em by kickoff or State favored. I saw on ESPN Boise State has won 31 games straight at home. The Eagles should be able the score against a defense that allows 18.3 ppg. Both teams are going to turn the ball over average close 2 a game. Sophomore QB Ryan for the Eagles is only making his sixth start of the season, and I think his mistakes will hurt BC's ability to outscore Boise.

407 Nebraska
408 Michigan -10

Michigan -10

- I can't really find any favorable stats for either team but I can only comment on what I seen from these teams this year. Even though Mich loss to rival OSU I really think this team was coming together at the end of the season. Before the loss Mich had won three straight and one of those wins was over #3 Penn State. In my opinion the Big Ten this year has been the better conference, even though the Big 12 managed to get 8 bowls teams in. Nebraska's wins just aren't that impressive, and I would not be surprise to see a similar score to last year's Alamo Bowl. Mich makes a statement against Nebraska in San Antonio.

409 Utah
410 Georgia Tech -8.5

Georgia Tech -8.5

- Utah is 2-9 in lined games this season. Tech has been playing great defense at the end of the year only allowing 17 ppg in their last three. They have a couple impressive wins against Miami and Auburn. Ball and Johnson should both have a big game against a defense that gives up 28.2 ppg this season. Utah shouldn't be able to outscore Tech because of their defense.

411 Oklahoma
412 Oregon -3

Oklahoma +3

- I think the Sooners end on a good note this season with a bowl win. Oregon is a little down from the non-BCS appearance, and I can't find a record on it but I think this bowl has a series of dog wins. The Duck's aren't going to be able to stop the run and Peterson should run wild on a defense that allows 139 RYPG. Sooners are going to play ball control to keep the ball out of the Ducks hands.

415 Northwestern
416 UCLA -3 74.5

UCLA -3 Over 74.5 SCRATCH

- Once again tailing Worm44, he has missed his last four and once again I am hoping he is due. I might chase what I loss on his last four losses. I can't see him going 0-3 in his bowl picks. This one should have some points and I am thinking a total score in the 80s. Northwestern allows 524 ypg and UCLA allows 41.4 ppg.

429 Iowa State
430 TCU -3

TCU -3 SCRATCH

- Going with the Horned Frogs on this one. I think this game will remain close but I think TCU will be able to pull it out in the fourth. TCU is lead by quarterback Jeff Ballard, who is 7-0 as the starter and their defense has been able to force 20 TOs in the last 5 games. Their should be some points scored by both sides with both teams allowing 20+ ppg on the road, but I think TCU will win the turnover battle which will lead to a win.

459 Alabama 48
460 Texas Tech -3.5

Bama +3.5 Under 48 Stong Play w/ Points

- I am actually surprised that Bama isn't favored in this game. Another scenario with a great offense of power against a stingy defense. Alabama's defense has limited opponents to 10.7 points per game. The Crimson Tide allowed the second-fewest total yards (248.3) in the country and the second-fewest passing yards (154.8). I always tend to favor the defensive team in these kind of match-ups. I am aware of Bama's starting CB Simeon Castille not playing but I think Bama's D-Line and DeMeco Ryans will be able to get pressure on Tech's Hodges. Tech's defense has allowed 4.7 YPP and Darby is a good back that should be able to exploit Tech's defense. I think Bama is going to score on Tech and Tech is not going to be able to outscore Bama due to their defense. I like Bama to run the ball and control the clock so therefore I will be playing the under too.

463 Louisville
464 V-Tech -8

V-Tech -8

- I like Tech a lot in this one and with the time off Beamer should have a good game plan ready. I wouldn't be surprise if in the first quarter to see the Cardinals offense a little rusty, and with QB Brian Brohm's knee injury will keep him out of the Toyota Gator Bowl. Plus I think Louisville will turn in the ball over averaging 2+ TO in their last three games. Once again its an offense of team against a good defensive team. Look for Vick to showcase his running ability in this game and Ore and Humes should have a good day against a defense that allows 11.4 YPP on the road. I think this game might get ugly.

465 Wisconsin
466 Auburn -10.5

Auburn -10.5 Strong Play

- Auburn should roll Wiscy in this game and I understand its Alvarez's last game, but the Badgers couldn't even win Alvarez's last home game against Iowa. I just think Auburn is a top five team in the country where as the Badgers are ranked right where they should be. The Tigers played some of their best football late in the season winning four straight before a three-point loss to LSU because of their kicking game. The Badgers are just going to be over matched in this game. Wisconsin defense's on the road has been rather weak allowing 228 RYPG and another 504 in TYPG. Kenny Irons, who is coming off of a six -consective-100 game streak should be chomping at the bit going against this defense. I love Irons in the backfield, the kid runs hard with a 5.1 YPC and a great offensive line. I think if Irons stays for a senior season he's a 1st rounder in 2007. I'm looking for him to have a big game and if Auburn can get Irons going they should feed off of the playaction against a defense that allows a lot of yards.
Wiscy does have a good back in Calhoun with 1,400 yards and 21 TDs. Calhoun is going to have some trouble against Auburn defense that has allowed 14.7 PPG, 6 pass TDs, and 17 TDs total. Auburn has quick defense ends which should keep Calhoun from getting outside of their defense. DE Stanley McClover and DE Quentin Groves should be able to get to Stucco who have combined for 13 of Auburn's 36 sacks. The Tigers should be able to manhandle the Badgers pretty easily I am thinking 20 to 17 point win for Auburn.
And on a side note the Tigers are 8-2 in all lined season games this year.

Adding two more plays
Under 44.5 Georgia/WV
FSU +10

-I usually do a write-up with each game but after my 0-5 start this week I have realized I know nothing.

OSU vs ND

- This is a no play for me because its bad luck when I play my favorite teams. But I will give a score prediction OSU 34 - ND 24, like I have said in some other post the game will be won and lost between OSU offense and ND defense. This is where I think OSU has the edge. I'm thinking we are going to be able to run the ball against this defense and score while Notre Dame will not able to outscore us because of solid play by our defense. It should be a great game and these two teams are in the works on getting a regular season game in the future. Notre Dame is a good team led by a great coach and this should be quite a chess match on the field. Good Luck to both teams.

GL you all who play!
:mj14:
 
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thom24ad

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Okay a rough start at 0-2, 2-4 in bowl games. I missed Clemson by 1.5, Clemson D played great but the O could not get the ball in end zone. Colorado didn't give up though and despite all the drama played hard.
I also lost ASU who should have lost to the Rutgers. I am dumbass because I have played the Rutgers several times this year and knew they were a solid team. ASU is just another Pac-10 team that can't play defense. I thought the Rutgers were going to be overmatched, well I was wrong.

Adding more money to Boise St. +3

I think Boise and Mich get it done!
GL!
 

Mully

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Damn... Boise looks bad

Damn... Boise looks bad

As you already know...With you on Boise :mj07: and Michigan... :mj09:

I really like Oklahoma and Auburn. Those will be two of my larger wagers this bowl season. I know the Worm has treated us well this season, but I'm leaning towards NW in that contest.

Good Luck with you selections...
 

blgstocks

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I am with you on Michigan. I am leanin towards NW though but I love the over play. Neither 1 of these teams play any defense and NW can score as good as anyone and i think the same can be said about UCLA.
 

thom24ad

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0-4 fawk! Ice cold right now...two great games though...I can't believe Mich is blown this game...forget Worm being due how about myself -LOL
 

thom24ad

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Carr could be in hot water... I think he'll is gone in the next two seasons...tough calls made by the officals...I still think Mich is the better team even with the loss but they just gave the ball away too many times and Henne needs to get rid of the ball earlier...We'll see how things shape of for them in the off season but as of right now things are not looking good
 
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thom24ad

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After my terrible start I decided to scratch a couple bets and wait until Monday. But wouldn't you know it kind of looks like I could have gone 3-0 today.
 

DerekNJND

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thom24ad said:
Carr could be in hot water... I think he'll is gone in the next two seasons...tough calls made by the officals...I still think Mich is the better team even with the loss but they just gave the ball away too many times and Henne needs to get rid of the ball earlier...We'll see how things shape of for them in the off season but as of right now things are not looking good


Carr's job is in trouble? Where do you come up with this stuff??
 

Roger Baltrey

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Derek,

Why wouldn't his job be in trouble? The guy is the king of underachieverment. They were ranked in the top ten and lost 5 games. He runs a boring vanilla offense and consistently wastes talent. And he's starting to get whipped by Ohio St. every year.
 

thom24ad

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DerekNJND said:
Carr's job is in trouble? Where do you come up with this stuff??
2 Bowl losses in a row he can't beat Tressel...yeah if he doesn't have a good next season and another loss to OSU next year...yeah I would say he is done for I know he is feeling the heat from the fans and university for this last loss
 

thom24ad

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And Derek I know you had love that ND vs OSU prediction...pretty much hit the nail on the head with that one what did I say 34-24 only off by four...ND is OVER RATED!
 

DerekNJND

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thom24ad said:
And Derek I know you had love that ND vs OSU prediction...pretty much hit the nail on the head with that one what did I say 34-24 only off by four...ND is OVER RATED!


ND had a hell of a year. One final loss doesnt erase what they did. OSU began the season with national title aspirations and FAILED!

I dont think Tressel's goals this year were to beat a TWO LOSS TEAM in a bowl game.

At least you hit the ND game on the head. Looks like thats about ALL you have hit after reading these picks. :mj07:
 
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