Billy Blastoffs Picks 1/2

[Billy Blastoff]

CBB record 21-13-2 +$1340
CFB Bowls minor play 3-3 -$30
CFB Bowls major play 0-2 - $440

CBB palys for 1/2 are:

Texas +7 1/2 line should be + 9 1/2 game opened at +6 bet game at 8:30AM and got +7 1/2

I have 2 major CFB Bowl plays for 1/2 ($200 each, I bet these on 12/15)

Texas Tch -2 1/2 line should be +1
Auburn -9 line should be -5

Best of luck to all

 

[bassmaster007]

happy new years billy

 

[gman2]

nothing but respect for you as a fellow capper, but "texas line should be +9.5"?

that's preposterous. frankly, i'm amazed the line is as high as it is. thought texas would be catching 4 or maybe 4.5 at the most.

i like this play. but to suggest the line should be double digits is really, really stretching imo.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

nothing but respect for you as a fellow capper, but "texas line should be +9.5"?

that's preposterous. frankly, i'm amazed the line is as high as it is. thought texas would be catching 4 or maybe 4.5 at the most.

i like this play. but to suggest the line should be double digits is really, really stretching imo.

When Dunkel comes out with his line tommorrow it will say memphis by 7, If you follow Dolphin Ratings line would be 11,Massey would have them by 11,Colleg hoops index have them by only 6 1/2.
These are all statistical sites with no bias, so are my computer generatrd numbers. So no way you slice it can the number be as low as 4 1/2. Wish Spock from star trek was here he would give us the correct line. :s4:

 

[gman2]

i don't know who massey and i don't know dolphin. frankly i don't use any of those ratings indexes. i just know that there's no way in hell memphis is anywhere near double-digits better than texas. i'm not even sure they're 5 points better than texas even at home. as you said, your numbers are computer generated so i see where youre coming from as far as that goes. but massey and dolphin are really wacked out if they project memphis as 10+ points better here. they must really take margin of loss into account or something because thats the only explanation for texas being that 'inferior' from a ratings standpoint. if texas wins tomorrow, it wouldn't even be an upset. gl billy.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

If NCAA selection show was today Texas would be out; Here are current NCAA RPI indexes:
87 Texas B12 10-2
2 Memphis CUSA 11-1

This is hugh. Texas schedule needs a win at Memphis. So not only did my system pick Texas but I also like the play. Hugh game for Big 12 conference.

I last rating note Sagarin ratings Memphis is a 12 point favorite.

In conclusion bet Texas plus the points

 

[gman2]

billy:

just to clarify (and i think you already know), i LIKE your play. absolutely agree with it. just dont agree at all with the "vegas wants you to play memphis" angle.

this would be a good win for texas, but memphis power numbers will invariably take a dive south once they get into their conference portion of the depleted C-USA schedule. any loss in conference play for memphis will be a "bad loss" because of louisville and cincy having left for the big east and charlotte now in the a-10.

best of luck with the play but i dont think youll need it because texas probably wins SU

 

[LuckyIrish]

nothing but respect for you as a fellow capper, but "texas line should be +9.5"?

that's preposterous. frankly, i'm amazed the line is as high as it is. thought texas would be catching 4 or maybe 4.5 at the most.

i like this play. but to suggest the line should be double digits is really, really stretching imo.

Since when is 9.5 double digits? :mj07:

 

[Billy Blastoff]

billy:

just to clarify (and i think you already know), i LIKE your play. absolutely agree with it. just dont agree at all with the "vegas wants you to play memphis" angle.

this would be a good win for texas, but memphis power numbers will invariably take a dive south once they get into their conference portion of the depleted C-USA schedule. any loss in conference play for memphis will be a "bad loss" because of louisville and cincy having left for the big east and charlotte now in the a-10.

best of luck with the play but i dont think youll need it because texas probably wins SU

I hope Texas wins Im betting it but dont mind the extra points. And yes Vegas will get mucho money on Memphis expect line to be 7 by the morning

 

[addikted]

Good luck Billy, I really like this play, and I like your stats and agree with your explanations.

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

I second that.

 

[yak merchant]

Great job so far this season. I agree with you that Vegas will get all the money they want on Memphis. My question is about the Auburn Bowl game? How did you come up with 5? Dunkel has it at 10.5. Is it because Sagarin is an absolute moron and has it at 2? Books are going to be swimming in Auburn money even at -10?

 

[Billy Blastoff]

I hope Texas wins Im betting it but dont mind the extra points. And yes Vegas will get mucho money on Memphis expect line to be 7 by the morning

Just bet the game at 8:30 AM got +7 1/2 with Texas. I think that this is a fair number wouldnt expect much more. Will edit top post and list Texas at +7 1/2

 

[Dayad]

Best I've seen is +7. GL all

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Best I've seen is +7. GL all

6 of the 7 books I have accounts with have 7 as the line but 1 still has 7 1/2 this is as of 9:57 AM

 

[BRUSHMAN]

Line dropping!!!

Jan 02 713 TEXAS +6?-110 o159-110 +240
2:30 PM 714 MEMPHIS U -6?-110

 

[addikted]

Just got Texas +8.5 with my local!! :clap:

 

[DU46]

GL Bill!

 

[bryanz]

Billy you know what you are doing and I don't go against you I just pass. In a spot like this I will pass because I don't like to bet Public teams on the rise. Memphis is soon to be one of the biggest public teams. Notes on this one : I think Washington is hurt and Cal won't use this kid up. L4 : MISS 8 min / LOU Tech (DNP) / Gonz 32 min 22 pts / Pudue 18 min 9 pts. If you take the B-12 & Tx @ face value, no way can I back this fraud Con and team. If Washington was 100 % Memphis would win by 10 easy, may do so anyway. You are on the right side but think we lose more than we win with Texas in spots like this this year. Gman you are Off on TX, this is not the team you think they are. Tx will have no say in anything out side the b-i2.

 

[Jaxx]

Pomeroy numbers has Memphis winning by 17. :scared
GL Billy