that a particular sharp book has the texas ml @+185. i sure do. 
takin the 7, but i won't need'em. gl.
takin the 7, but i won't need'em. gl.anybody find it interesting...
- Thread starter wcb4
- Start date
nice reply dumbass. and yes, they do know a lot of things you don't know. it would behoove you to pay attention to some of these books' lines. just thought it was interesting, that's all.
ok fader, you give me 21 and i'll take texas. i am quickly reminded how tough it is to post on here, even if you're trying to be helpful. :scared i guess i didn't get specific enough for it to mean much, but a lot of books are trying to limit their exposure on the ml.
no they're not trying to limit their exposure on the ML. They are trying to balance things out. All it means is the Texas ML is getting bet pretty hard, and MORE than the USC money line. Thus it moves in Texas ML favor, making them less of a longshot. Crappy SPORTSBOOK has it +175, and I would HARDLY call that a sharps website
while i agree that there are many out there at that # and below, you just contradicted yourself several times in a couple sentences. ahhhhh! nevermind.
wcb4 said:
always credible to accuse someone of contradicting themself w/o an explanation
Books dont limit exposure dude. If they didnt want to be exposed they wouldn thave the line up! simple as that!
If you have to read this much into the odds you probably shouldnt be betting bro!
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From what I have seen over the years is that if the spread on the game is somwhat close.....3, 6, 7 and not 10, 14 etc.......than the ML on the dog always seems to come down at gameday....pretty common
Bob,
Simon had a decent explanation in earlier post this year........
=========
Pinnacle Pulse
The inside line from PinnacleSports.com by Simon Noble
In our last few articles, we have talked quite a bit about "sharp? money. A sharp or professional player is one we expect will win in the long-term. How can we tell if any given player will be a consistent winner going forward? The most accurate way we have found is to compare the line a player received when they made their bet in relation to our closing line.
If a player consistently beats our closing price at Pinnacle Sports, he is likely to be a long-term winner ? period. Interestingly, we have found that this test is more reflective of a player?s future winning potential than their historical win/loss record with the company.
For example, if our closing price on the Eagles was -3 -104 and a customer played -3 +105 earlier in the week - that was a sharp bet. When a player can anticipate the line movement and does this consistently over a series of 100 bets or more, that player is conclusively sharp and will be up substantially in the long run.
What?s the quickest way to identify a player that needs to adjust their style of betting? One who pays a bad price. If other online sports books offer the Eagles at -3 -120 and a player wagers there instead when a better price was available elsewhere such as -3 -104 at Pinnacle Sports, he is almost certainly not sharp. Even if he has been winning thus far, that player will probably lose over time.
How can you use this information to your advantage? By adopting the process known as "comparison shopping". Not only is it second nature to sharp players, but it is one of the easiest ways for any player to increase their potential winnings by playing at the best available price. This is done by having accounts at multiple sports books so that you no longer remain a captive to the 20-cent line of a single book.
The objective when comparison shopping is to shrink the margins on both sides of any given match-up to around six cents or better wherever possible. This is when you are in a position where you can lay -104 on the favorite at one sports book or take back +100 (even money) at another book on the underdog for example.
Once convinced of the benefits of applying comparison shopping to your own personal betting, it?s worth conducting some Internet research to find a selection of sports books to use. Ideally in addition to your existing bookmaker, you should be looking to hold accounts at one or two reduced juice bookmakers such as Pinnacle Sports together with a couple of recreational books, where you?ll find inflated favorite prices and most likely attractive odds on the underdog.
Simon had a decent explanation in earlier post this year........
=========
Pinnacle Pulse
The inside line from PinnacleSports.com by Simon Noble
In our last few articles, we have talked quite a bit about "sharp? money. A sharp or professional player is one we expect will win in the long-term. How can we tell if any given player will be a consistent winner going forward? The most accurate way we have found is to compare the line a player received when they made their bet in relation to our closing line.
If a player consistently beats our closing price at Pinnacle Sports, he is likely to be a long-term winner ? period. Interestingly, we have found that this test is more reflective of a player?s future winning potential than their historical win/loss record with the company.
For example, if our closing price on the Eagles was -3 -104 and a customer played -3 +105 earlier in the week - that was a sharp bet. When a player can anticipate the line movement and does this consistently over a series of 100 bets or more, that player is conclusively sharp and will be up substantially in the long run.
What?s the quickest way to identify a player that needs to adjust their style of betting? One who pays a bad price. If other online sports books offer the Eagles at -3 -120 and a player wagers there instead when a better price was available elsewhere such as -3 -104 at Pinnacle Sports, he is almost certainly not sharp. Even if he has been winning thus far, that player will probably lose over time.
How can you use this information to your advantage? By adopting the process known as "comparison shopping". Not only is it second nature to sharp players, but it is one of the easiest ways for any player to increase their potential winnings by playing at the best available price. This is done by having accounts at multiple sports books so that you no longer remain a captive to the 20-cent line of a single book.
The objective when comparison shopping is to shrink the margins on both sides of any given match-up to around six cents or better wherever possible. This is when you are in a position where you can lay -104 on the favorite at one sports book or take back +100 (even money) at another book on the underdog for example.
Once convinced of the benefits of applying comparison shopping to your own personal betting, it?s worth conducting some Internet research to find a selection of sports books to use. Ideally in addition to your existing bookmaker, you should be looking to hold accounts at one or two reduced juice bookmakers such as Pinnacle Sports together with a couple of recreational books, where you?ll find inflated favorite prices and most likely attractive odds on the underdog.
so betting Texas ML at +185, when theres a better price elsewhere, is NOT a sharp bet.
or maybe you're not sharp for taking it
or whatever...
or maybe you're not sharp for taking it
or whatever...
i suppose i wasn't very clear on what i was saying initially, but when a couple minutes after i posted this tex ml went from +185 to plus +170 at olympic, i really felt it was a move that could not be ignored. it's not often that a book like oly will take a stand like that, and when they do, i pay attention. so, sorry for the confusion. hope some people got paid.
