Just pick a winner...

[WayneWonder]

During this seasons first round and last seasons playoffs, not counting the Super Bowl, the winning team is 13-1 ATS. The only hiccup here is Steelers -8.5 against the Jets.

During the regular season the winning team went 206-40-10 ATS. (83.7 %)

For anyone who is not sure why I am posting this....it's to show how the point spreads don't really matter too often in the NFL.

Also there were 64 games this season in which the spread has been 7.5 points or higher. The FAVORITES are 33-30-1 ATS (52.38 %) EXACTLY breaking even at -110 odds.

Once the number hits 7.5 the underdog has a much better shot at covering the spread (almost 50%).

Two dogs this week of 7.5 or greater, Washington and Pittsburgh.

 

[IX_Bender]

The Steelers shouldnt have won the game IMO.
Still thats how things play out. There are inherent risks in this endeavor. Deal with it.

As for covering spreads larger than one score being 50-53% - should come as no surprise. Wash and Pitt. Maybe they go 1-1 ATS, or maybe 2-0 or lose both. Its all about longterm, not trends.

Regardless, there are folks that make this (handicapping) thing out to be much more complicated than it is. Pick some winners and cash. Grab some teams that arent moving on to the next round and I got no sympathy for you.


Nice, simple, concise post there WayneWonder. Well done.

 

[WayneWonder]

As the title suggests.....

Seattle -9

No NFC number One seed (Seattle) has failed to advance to the Conference Championship Game since 1990.

 

[HoopsStud]

During the regular season the winning team went 206-40-10 ATS. (83.7 %)



QUOTE]

Is this stat just for favorites or does it all also include underdogs, An underdog who wins outright covers the spread 100% of the time, Your stat is worthless without factoring in the underdog.

 

[brenda68]

Then I will take the Colts to win

 

[WayneWonder]

HoopsStud --- The number DOES include ML dogs winning outright.

Brenda -- I too like the Colts but the undefeated since 1990 stat applies only to NFC teams.

 

[HoopsStud]

the first stat you list is off, the Patriots won the Super Bowl last year but did not cover, you don't know much bro.

 

[block044]

During this seasons first round and last seasons playoffs, not counting the Super Bowl, the winning team is 13-1 ATS. The only hiccup here is Steelers -8.5 against the Jets.

#7 Yesterday, 10:24 PM
HoopsStud
Real Deal Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 15

the first stat you list is off, the Patriots won the Super Bowl last year but did not cover, you don't know much bro.

it clearly states "not counting the superbowl" ...appears you know even less!

 

[WayneWonder]

Take this stat to the bank.

Hoops stud is wrong 100% of the time when posting information. 0-2 in this thread alone.

 

[maverick2112]

As the title suggests.....

Seattle -9

No NFC number One seed (Seattle) has failed to advance to the Conference Championship Game since 1990.

This stat is misleading this year..........Seattle has to be the weakest #1 seed in the last 15 years......

Look at the number 1 seeds in the last 15 years.....

The dominant San Fran, Dallas and Green Bay teams that routinely won the SB.....this list also includes the powerful Rams teams and the Phiily team that went to 4 straight NFC title games......

Lets also not forget that a lot of the NFC powerhouse teams that won gm 1 in the tourney were the same teams who would go to the SB and crush the AFC rep.....so these were the best teams in the NFL.......

Seattle is #1 based on a very weak schedule.........just dont think they would have been 13-3 playing in the NFC East........

 

[Fluidoz]

HoopsStud, back down.
Wayne is just trying to give some info to help and your all up his s@#t. Read the post before smacking it, bro.