Went 3-1 last week, and 24-7-1 in my last 32 games played...Had a good feel of what was going to happen last week and I still think if Palmer doesn't get hurt there is no way the Bungles blow a 17 point lead against Pitt...but anyways this is how I am playing this weekend
301 Washington @
302 Seattle -9.5
Seattle -9.5
- I know Seattle hasn't won a playoff game in a ridiculous amount of years but this is the game they do it and I also think this team is good enough to make it to the Super Bowl. Both of these coaches are excellent in my opinion both owning rings.
I think Wash backers don't realize how good this defense is. This defense has only allowed 12.9 ppg at home this season. This defense up front is good and piled up 50 sacks on the season. Brunell is not a good QB under pressure and not to mention his passing % is 57.7 on the season. But it will be very important for Seattle to get to the QB to help out their secondary. This defense is also 5th in the league in rush defense. So I don't see Portis having a big a game against this defense. And the Redskins offense just doesn't scare me only averaging 19.8 ppg.
Now Seattle offense has been fantastic at home scoring 29.6 ppg. This offense is talented with some play-makers. Alexander is just a plain stud setting a single season record for TDs. This offense is line is good and healthy and the Redskins should get a heavy dose of Alexander. The Redskins are going to have to focus on Alexander and Hasselbeck a Pro-Bowler should be able to exploit the defense with man to man match-ups. Seattle is getting Jackson back who is a play-maker and they also have two other great procession WRs in Jurevicious and Engram. This team just flat out has talent and chemistry.
The Redskins haven't had a week off since week 3. This will be Wash's sixteen straight game and third road game in a row. This team is tired and personal wise over matched. I personally don't think they stand a chance on the road against a well rested offense of power team. I have feeling this game ends up in a rout and Seattle will remain perfect at home. The rain could be factor but I am not going to allow it to change my play.
303 New England @
304 Denver -3
Denver - 3 Strongest Play and a huge play for me
- I absolutely love this play. I have said this before in other post but NE is fools gold this week. They look like a good play after a convincing win last week, 10-0 in the playoffs, 3 SBs but this is not the same team and all things come on to an end. Just like USC this year, this is the year where the win steaks end. I knew NE would blow out a poor offensively Jacksonville and get all kinds of hype for this next game. I've had mind made up since last week to go against NE for their next game.
I am not going to make any references to the past NE/Denver game because NE was beat up. But I still don't think they are completely healthy. And its hard to quote certain stats for and against NE due to those injuries.
I think Denver is going to be able to ram the ball right down NE's throat. Denver this season at home has averaged 26.1 ppg and 170 rypg and 385 typg. This offense is very good and Plummer has been a great game manager by only having a 7 INTs on the season. Shanahan has Plummer playing just the way he wants him too, and I just don't think they will be too much pressure on Plummer because I think Denver will be successful with the running game. But when Plummer does throw the ball he is not going to have a problem because NEs secondary is a joke. And Troy Brown in the secondary. I mean come on, NE doesn't have Harrison to make up for his mistakes. If you watched last weeks game Brown was clearly over matched with NE's slots WRs. If I was Leftwich I would have thrown at Brown the whole game. The guy is a fawking WR not a CB.
Denver's defense is very good too allowing 12.5 ppg at home. Denver is also second in the league in rush defense and I personally think they have the best group of linebackers in the league. This is going to leave the game up to Tom Brady's arm which isn't all that bad. But you can't win in the NFL as a one dimension team.
Last week for the first time ever I questioned Belichick for his play calling. NE should have put that game away in the first half. They should have scored 20. Instead kicking the FGs he elected to punt. NE could have been up significantly at the end of the half instead of the close score.
Belichick isn't the only coach that has won a Super Bowl in this game either. These teams have combined to win five of the last eight Super Bowls. Of those 10 wins, five have come at home, three at neutral Super Bowl sites and two on the road. I just don't see NE winning this game on the road. Under Shanahan, the Broncos are 70-18 at home, including 8-0 this season. If NE were at home maybe my opinion would be a little different but Denver is fresh and only have 3 losses with a tough schedule. Denver will cover the three pretty easily.
305 Pittsburgh @
306 Indy -9.5
Indy -9.5
- Indy will be in the Super Bowl and Pitt is over rated. I am still pissed about last week, they lose to Cincy with an healthy Palmer and in my opinion they don't belong in this game, they were lucky. Indy has some built up emotion and this team will be ready to explode come Sunday. This defense will shut down Pitt and gimmick plays won't work against this fast defense. Pitt is in for a world of hurt Sunday and Manning will throw all over that secondary. And I am not sold on Ben either, I have feeling he has at least two TOs. There is just too many weapons for Indy and Pitt is simply over matched. Indy covers the points at home.
307 Carolina @ 30
308 Chicago
Under 30
- There is no way I can pick a winner in this one and I think this will be the closest game of the four. This is one of the games where you just know its going to be low scoring. A couple bad TOs and I could be fawked but I think both teams will keep the ball on the ground. Two great defenses Chicago allows 7.6 ppg and Carolina 13.8 ppg on the road. I just have a feeling this game will be a smash mouth and ends up as 10-7 score.
I am sure there are quite a few that will disagree with what I think, especially you homers out there but all we can do is wait and see how everything plays out and considering the 42-11 stat for home teams I wouldn't be surprised if all or 3 out of the 4 homes team win this week but covering the points is always a different story.
Good Luck to all who play!
:mj14:
301 Washington @
302 Seattle -9.5
Seattle -9.5
- I know Seattle hasn't won a playoff game in a ridiculous amount of years but this is the game they do it and I also think this team is good enough to make it to the Super Bowl. Both of these coaches are excellent in my opinion both owning rings.
I think Wash backers don't realize how good this defense is. This defense has only allowed 12.9 ppg at home this season. This defense up front is good and piled up 50 sacks on the season. Brunell is not a good QB under pressure and not to mention his passing % is 57.7 on the season. But it will be very important for Seattle to get to the QB to help out their secondary. This defense is also 5th in the league in rush defense. So I don't see Portis having a big a game against this defense. And the Redskins offense just doesn't scare me only averaging 19.8 ppg.
Now Seattle offense has been fantastic at home scoring 29.6 ppg. This offense is talented with some play-makers. Alexander is just a plain stud setting a single season record for TDs. This offense is line is good and healthy and the Redskins should get a heavy dose of Alexander. The Redskins are going to have to focus on Alexander and Hasselbeck a Pro-Bowler should be able to exploit the defense with man to man match-ups. Seattle is getting Jackson back who is a play-maker and they also have two other great procession WRs in Jurevicious and Engram. This team just flat out has talent and chemistry.
The Redskins haven't had a week off since week 3. This will be Wash's sixteen straight game and third road game in a row. This team is tired and personal wise over matched. I personally don't think they stand a chance on the road against a well rested offense of power team. I have feeling this game ends up in a rout and Seattle will remain perfect at home. The rain could be factor but I am not going to allow it to change my play.
303 New England @
304 Denver -3
Denver - 3 Strongest Play and a huge play for me
- I absolutely love this play. I have said this before in other post but NE is fools gold this week. They look like a good play after a convincing win last week, 10-0 in the playoffs, 3 SBs but this is not the same team and all things come on to an end. Just like USC this year, this is the year where the win steaks end. I knew NE would blow out a poor offensively Jacksonville and get all kinds of hype for this next game. I've had mind made up since last week to go against NE for their next game.
I am not going to make any references to the past NE/Denver game because NE was beat up. But I still don't think they are completely healthy. And its hard to quote certain stats for and against NE due to those injuries.
I think Denver is going to be able to ram the ball right down NE's throat. Denver this season at home has averaged 26.1 ppg and 170 rypg and 385 typg. This offense is very good and Plummer has been a great game manager by only having a 7 INTs on the season. Shanahan has Plummer playing just the way he wants him too, and I just don't think they will be too much pressure on Plummer because I think Denver will be successful with the running game. But when Plummer does throw the ball he is not going to have a problem because NEs secondary is a joke. And Troy Brown in the secondary. I mean come on, NE doesn't have Harrison to make up for his mistakes. If you watched last weeks game Brown was clearly over matched with NE's slots WRs. If I was Leftwich I would have thrown at Brown the whole game. The guy is a fawking WR not a CB.
Denver's defense is very good too allowing 12.5 ppg at home. Denver is also second in the league in rush defense and I personally think they have the best group of linebackers in the league. This is going to leave the game up to Tom Brady's arm which isn't all that bad. But you can't win in the NFL as a one dimension team.
Last week for the first time ever I questioned Belichick for his play calling. NE should have put that game away in the first half. They should have scored 20. Instead kicking the FGs he elected to punt. NE could have been up significantly at the end of the half instead of the close score.
Belichick isn't the only coach that has won a Super Bowl in this game either. These teams have combined to win five of the last eight Super Bowls. Of those 10 wins, five have come at home, three at neutral Super Bowl sites and two on the road. I just don't see NE winning this game on the road. Under Shanahan, the Broncos are 70-18 at home, including 8-0 this season. If NE were at home maybe my opinion would be a little different but Denver is fresh and only have 3 losses with a tough schedule. Denver will cover the three pretty easily.
305 Pittsburgh @
306 Indy -9.5
Indy -9.5
- Indy will be in the Super Bowl and Pitt is over rated. I am still pissed about last week, they lose to Cincy with an healthy Palmer and in my opinion they don't belong in this game, they were lucky. Indy has some built up emotion and this team will be ready to explode come Sunday. This defense will shut down Pitt and gimmick plays won't work against this fast defense. Pitt is in for a world of hurt Sunday and Manning will throw all over that secondary. And I am not sold on Ben either, I have feeling he has at least two TOs. There is just too many weapons for Indy and Pitt is simply over matched. Indy covers the points at home.
307 Carolina @ 30
308 Chicago
Under 30
- There is no way I can pick a winner in this one and I think this will be the closest game of the four. This is one of the games where you just know its going to be low scoring. A couple bad TOs and I could be fawked but I think both teams will keep the ball on the ground. Two great defenses Chicago allows 7.6 ppg and Carolina 13.8 ppg on the road. I just have a feeling this game will be a smash mouth and ends up as 10-7 score.
I am sure there are quite a few that will disagree with what I think, especially you homers out there but all we can do is wait and see how everything plays out and considering the 42-11 stat for home teams I wouldn't be surprised if all or 3 out of the 4 homes team win this week but covering the points is always a different story.
Good Luck to all who play!
:mj14:
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