This is the Life.. Championships

C

Clem D

Mad Pisser
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May 26, 2004
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I doubled the Seahawks action. Just think this is a really good spot now that I look more into it. Vegas has made Seattle an 8 to 5 favorite to win the Superbowl now. Very Interesting. Carolina is beat up.

The play is now Seattle -3
1300/1000.

Love all the feedback in here. Thanks it has been a good time.

Please whatever you do don't play games using your rent money.
Neither one of these games would shock me going the other way.
That is why they call it gambling.
 
Juu3

Juu3

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hey Clem, awesome info and if I was wondering, since the odds on Seattle winning it all has gone up, and I think the Steelers will win it, should I hold off on putting more money on the ml until after the games Sunday? That is assuming Steelers and Seahawks win-- hell, but we all know what assuming does!
 
J

jdp1152

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First time the entire playoffs I find myself on the opposite side of you....and here we are, not just on opposite sides on one, but rather both games.
 
Dr Feelgood

Dr Feelgood

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I'm not glad to see the Clemster on the Steelers and having to go against him in that one. (Big Bronco fan so take bias out if you need to)

I think the Broncos match up better against the Steelers than they did against the Pats.

I think Pitt will have a hard time running on the Broncos and although a good young QB, Rothy will have the tall task of winning this game on his arm (which may be a little sore still from the hit he took on it vs Indy). Champ Bailey will shut down Hines Ward and Burgermeister will have to use some mediocre receiver to get the job done. So offensively Pitt will have trouble scoring points.

As far as the Pitt D vs the Broncos offense goes, obviously the Broncs want to run. It may be a tall task against the Pitt 3-4 D, but like Shanny said at the press confrence today, alot of teams run that D now and most teams have a variation of it so the Broncos can and have prepared for it. They WILL run the ball. Or die trying. Shanny is not going to let the Steeler blitzes ruin this game for him by putting the load on Plummer. WIth Pitt's aggresive D the Broncos will use the play action alot more than they did vs the Pats and the bootleg should been seen regularly to keep the Pitt D honest.

Special teams will see Elam the better kicker but Denver has on occasion had trouble with punt/kickoff returns (see Dante Hall's resume against them).

Emotionally the Steelers have to be spent by the game in Indy-- with under 1:30 their playoff lives went from promising to shit in your pants desperate. And they came out on top and had to listen to Porter cry foul (whether or not he had a right to or not) to the refs, and then head out on the road again, this time to a place that can get a tad bit noisey. I think Denver was fortunate that the Pats did not have thier A game but the Pat's haven't had that game for some time now beating up on weaklings for the month prior to their game in Denver. I think Denver puts together a much stronger effort here and wins this game by 10......

Denver 23-13

good luck everyone
 
B

beertime

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Great Year Clem and great thread.

Paul Senior has a " DONT BE STUPID SPECIAL" somewhere at OCC.

somethin about bens sore hand gets beat down by the 3rd qtr type deal.

GL
 
Dr Feelgood

Dr Feelgood

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interesting tidbit...for you alternate line bettors

-------Conference championship games historically have been littered with blowouts. The peaking teams play extremely well; the losing teams often seem to run out of steam only 60 minutes from a Super Bowl appearance.

There has not been a single conference championship game decided by a single digit margin in the last three years. All the winning teams won by 10 points or more: Philly by 17 and New England by 14 last year; New England by 10 and Carolina by 11 in 2003; Tampa Bay by 17 and Oakland by 17 in 2002. The straight up loser was the ATS loser in every one of those games, and an additional six points made absolutely no difference to the outcome.
 
D

DerekNJND

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Clem, I'm on Pitt too, but I'm actually really shocked at you in this one. From watching your plays, especially your rationale for Seattle last week, I thought you might be on Denver. Pitt, like the skins, hot team, playing must win football and traveling all over the place last 6 weeks, etc. I'm on Pitt partly because of value. To get them as dogs in an AFC championship, playing someone besides NE or Indy is a golden opportunity.

Goin the other way in the NFC game, but GL to ya anyway, although I'm probably the one that needs it goin against ya.

Just curious, WTF are you gonna do after footballs done? Goin back to work and chit?
 
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addikted

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Unbelievable Clem, what fantastic work you do. Keep it up and good luck on the Super Bowl!

:toast:
 
K

Killrus

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Cant wait to see who you take in the final game.
Guess it matters what the line is. Seattle would have to be favored since they higher seed...right?
 
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