2006 elections

bjfinste

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I figured I would try to make an actual productive post for No. 3000.

What are people's thoughts on the 2006 senate elections? From the little research I've done, I see that there are four open seats (no incumbent): Minnesota, Vermont, Tennessee and Maryland.

TN- Frist's seat. Is there any chance the Dems pick this up? My first impression would be no, but I am not around there. It seems that Harold Ford Jr. is the frontrunner for the Dem nomination. I don't know much about those pursuing the the Rep nomination.

VT- Looks like the Dems won't run anyone, instead endorsing the independent candidate Bernie Sanders to replace the independent Jeffords, who is retiring. Judging the by polls so far, Sanders should win in a walk.

MD- Retiring Democrat senator. Polls indicate this could be a tight race as results appear to be very inconsistent. Michael Steele, Lt. Gov, looks to be a lock for the Rep spot. Plenty of players up for the Dem spot.

MN- Interesting state, and one I am much more familiar with than the rest of the states. First-termer Mark Dayton won't seek re-election. Minnesota has been blue forever in the presidential elections, but the senators are split (although if Paul Wellstone hadn't died in that plane crash, it would likely be a two-democrat state). IMO, the democrats are vulnerable here. They'll get the M/SP votes and lose the suburbs, and as always will win the Iron Range voters. Hennipen County attorney Amy Klobuchar should get the Dem nod over Ford Bell, especially with Patty Wetterling out of the race (that secured the DFL endorsement; very big for democrats in that state). Likely opponent will be Mark Kennedy, a congressmen that represents a district of the northern suburbs of the Twin Cities.

Those will obviously be interesting races. What about vulnerable incumbents?

Florida should be interesting. Dem Bill Nelson could face Katherine "2000 election" Harris. If she's on the ballot, every democratic-leaning person in the state will come out in droves to vote. Interesting to see if the Reps come up with someone else to challenge her.

Nevada- Looks like former mob lawyer and wildly-popular Vegas mayor Oscar Goodman is gonna take a shot at the senate seat against incumbent John Ensign. If Goodman doesn't run, it'll be Jack Carter, Jimmy's son. I would think Goodman is a much bigger threat to Ensign than Carter would be.

Others? Conrad Burns in Montana? Robert Menendez in New Jersey?

I know it's still several months away, but I thought I would put this out there.
 

smurphy

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3,000 was very productive. But 3,001 was a giant leap backwards.
 

kosar

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Without currently knowing much about the other races, I will say that there is no possible way Katherine Harris would beat Nelson down here.
 

djv

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Kosar see new picture of her. They gave her big make over. She does not completely look like the bitch she is.
 

gardenweasel

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nasty in maryland.....steele already had oreo cookies thrown at when he ran with bob ehrlich as lt governor.....

"Delegate Salima Siler Marriott, a black Baltimore Democrat, said Mr. Steele invites comparisons to a slave who loves his cruel master or a cookie that is black on the outside and white inside because his conservative political philosophy is, in her view, anti-black."


"State Sen. Lisa A. Gladden (D), told the Times that party loyalties make racial attacks fair game: "Party trumps race, especially on the national level. It's democracy, perhaps at its worst, but it is democracy."

yeah,right.....

and on the other side,you have kweisi mfume(of naacp fame) running against powerful, old democratic machine strongman ben cardin...


"So, The Washington Post says that Mfume has women problems(children born out of wedlock....mistresses).

It's interesting that this has come out after Cardin has announced his candidancy.

It's also interesting that Cardin announced with many Black politicians supporting him, while Mfume has no Black politicians publically supporting him.

It's also interesting that this allegation is out there and now people are wondering if it was Cardin's camp, someone inside the NAACP who doesn't like Mfume, Jullian Bond supporters, the woman, or maybe even the Maryland Democratic party.

Today on a conservative talk radio program, Gov. Ehrlich called in and said Mfume was a nice guy, his friend, and that the source of the allegations have to be considered. Previously, Lt. Gov. Michael Steele has said that he and Mfume are friends.""

maryland is 75/25 democratic....

the reason ehrlich was elected was because kathleen kenndy-townsend was a very weak democratic niminee for governor....

i think race may trump the big democratic machine in maryland and mfume may get in...

steele`s toast...no chance..
 

kosar

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djv said:
Kosar see new picture of her. They gave her big make over. She does not completely look like the bitch she is.

She doesn't cake on the make-up anymore, but have you heard her speak? A total space cadet that I suspect is hopped up on pills of some sort.

Although party leaders deny it, republicans on the national level have worked behind the scenes to try to find somebody more suitable to face Nelson.

Her fundraising has been a total flop and she has no chance.
 

Chadman

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A couple musings...as for Harris, I cannot believe she could win that important a seat from what I've seen, read and heard from her. She just seems like a bad candidate from a political standpoint considering her role in the Presidential election, and she doesn't come across as offering anything of real substance or value.

In Minny, I am hoping against Kennedy big time. I have met him and visited with him twice, and listened to him speak on issues a couple more. He is a very disconcerting person face to face (for me)...his appearance is just unsettling, the way his eyes bore into you...bugs me. I am obviously not in favor of his stance on many issues, but personally he is just not very charasmatic. He is getting a lot of party support and I assume a great deal of $$ nationally. A key race in the national election, to be sure.
 

kosar

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Chadman said:
A couple musings...as for Harris, I cannot believe she could win that important a seat from what I've seen, read and heard from her. She just seems like a bad candidate from a political standpoint considering her role in the Presidential election, and she doesn't come across as offering anything of real substance or value.

Exactly. She's just a horrible choice. Maybe they thought somehow that just because she works closely with the popular Jeb that that would propel her to victory. I have no idea why she's running, but she'll get crushed.
 

Chadman

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Kosar, or others, has there been any recent hints that Jeb might run for President? I don't think he is a strong candidate, but maybe as a VP, or something, just to keep the family business in place?
 

kosar

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Chadman said:
Kosar, or others, has there been any recent hints that Jeb might run for President? I don't think he is a strong candidate, but maybe as a VP, or something, just to keep the family business in place?

I don't think so. He's pretty emphatically said he's going to take some time off and spend time with his family in Miami.

2012? Who knows. I guess it's possible if a dem wins in 2008 and is wildly unpopular.

I think he could be strong candidate, actually, but his last name pretty much rules out 2008. I don't think enough of the nation, even a decent % of the neo-cons, are ready to submit to a dynasty.

And it ain't like his brother is setting any popularity records.
 

djv

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Kosar I agree MC Cain or Allen for the Reb's in 08. I can vote for MC Cain anytime. For sure if Hillary is running against him. God help us if it really comes down to Rice and Hillary.
 

gardenweasel

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if i were a democrat...i`d pray that jeb bush does run and gets nominated.......

i give pat robertson a better chance of being elected mayor of san francisco than bush the 3rd becoming the pres.....
 

AR182

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i heard george bush sr.become very defensive when it was suggested that the bush family is trying to turn the presidency into a monarchy.....so i don't think jeb will run....

as far as the fla. senatorial race.....i have always liked nelson so i will be rooting for him vs. harris....who is probably running as a payback when she helped george w win in 2000....

i would like to see oscar goodman run in nevada for the simple reason that i find him entertaining
 

ImFeklhr

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An interesting senatorial situation out here in California. With Cindy Sheehan considering running against Dianne Feinstein in the Democrat Primaries (or perhaps as an independant?).

I don't think she would have a chance in hell, but it would make for a great story. Maybe she will catch Feinbitch asleep. It seems like all Dianne has cared about the past 11 years is making sure her husbands business interests in China go unfettered.
On a side/personal note, she just bought a humongous and beautiful $16.5 home about 1 1/2 miles from my apartment. Very hush hush until it was finalized, my favorite part of the story is that nobody has lived in the house the past couple years, and local teenagers have taken to drinking beer on the steps. :toast:
 

smurphy

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gardenweasel said:
i give pat robertson a better chance of being elected mayor of san francisco than bush the 3rd becoming the pres.....
:mj05:
see, look how hilarious you can be when untethered from your anti-times crusade ball and chain.
:hitwithro
 
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