Billy Blastoffs Picks 2/1

[Billy Blastoff]

CBB record 37-32-4 -$35

Picks for 2/1 are:

Vanderbilt +7 line should be +10 1/2
Missouri St -11 line should be -8
Colorado state +10 line should be +14

Im trying to hang in but getting hard. My qfactor ratings are not helping me right now.

 

[winagainjoe]

I know I'm not writing anything evolutionary here, but the thing that sucks about any system along with any "trend" that may be worth following is that you can't factor in heart and desire. I know the CSU team pretty well and can't find one reason to put a dime on this squad. They have been playing uninspired for weeks and never play well in Colorado Springs. Talent wise, they should stay w/in the # but I don't think they care enough and there is just no way to measure that. GL

 

[Ratslla]

Thanks and good luck tonight my friend!

Ratslla

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

Sometimes you have to look beyond a trend or system to find the real winner. I dont understand the lines, why would you play Colorado+10 if the line should be +14. It seems like your losing too much value on those picks.

 

[nchiappetta]

Sometimes you have to look beyond a trend or system to find the real winner. I dont understand the lines, why would you play Colorado+10 if the line should be +14. It seems like your losing too much value on those picks.

You need to look at some of his past posts, from last year and earlier this year...his system is explained in detail over and over. Basically, his system is based on lines from his "secret" site of what they should be and he compares them to the O/L. If it is off by 3 or more, he makes it a play. The reason he goes with plays that are LESS of an advantage (and this is the basis for my handicapping as well) is that he goes on the notion that Vegas knows something the public doesn't and is trying to get money on one side, thus making a line that is less appealing to the side he takes. Its a proven system of 60%+.

 

[bwooster]

Killa, BB any many others have explained the system many times but I guess it won't hurt to explain it again ...

The premise is if you think you're getting value you're not. Someone knows something, an injury,coaching problem, etc. that the public doesn't. The line is deliberately set low of high, as the case may be, to bait you to take a particular side (in this case Air Force). Seach the board for all his posts for more details.

Actually, if you follow some of the picks closely (as in watch the game) you can usually tell what the problem was. Case and point: BB had Oregon covering @ California about a month ago and as I follow Cal I could not understand why. When the game started the starting Cal guard was on the bench with and abdominal strain (whatever that is) and they had a rookie guard playing his first NCAA game. As is turns out Cal bearly covered (no pun intended) in the last seconds but the Oregon bet was a solid one and should have won.

 

[HighFlyingKilla]

Thanks. I'll follow the picks and see how they do.

 

[Destructor D]

I didn't check your picks today and already played Air Force -10 (they're very tough @ home) and Drake +11 (just a feeling Mo State has a letdown after easy win @ Indiana St).

I'll take Vandy with you for some small change.

 

[SoonerNation]

Any insight on how you determine your lines versus the overnight lines? Just curious what site you use. Always appreciate helpful information. Good Luck.