will zona make big dance?

lowell

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can't see more than 4 teams getting into field from pac ten. ucla, cal and wash, if they continue to finish strong, are my top 3 choices. that leaves us down to stanford vs zona. if the wiidcats lose sat they will be hoping their better rpi rating will get them the nod over stanford's much better conf record. zona has played a much tougher schedule and stanford had 2-3 bad early losses even though cal irvine would be in upper echelon of pac ten. got to think sun game will be close to a pick. i am leaning towards stanford and their 9-1 record at home to pull out the win. any thoughts?
 

nchiappetta

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lowell said:
...stanford had 2-3 bad early losses even though cal irvine would be in upper echelon of pac ten.

So are you saying that UC-Irvine would be in the upper half of the Pac Ten? If so, that's somewhat of a bold statement when they can't even beat every team in the lowly Big West other than Pacific on a consistent basis. I think they are an above average team, but to but them above half or even 2/3 of the Pac Ten is a little much.

In regards to Staford/Zona, I think Zona hasn't proven enough in their own coference to warrant a bid at this point. Even though the committee does tend to reward a tough non-conference schedule coupled with some wins, I think they also see you need to take care of business in your own conference first, and also look more at how a team finished the season as compared to the beginning. They want the best teams in March, no the best teams in November. Just my thoughts...unless Zona runs the table here and has a strong performance in the Pac 10 tourny, I think they will be in the NIT.
 

gjn23

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lowell said:
can't see more than 4 teams getting into field from pac ten. ucla, cal and wash, if they continue to finish strong, are my top 3 choices. that leaves us down to stanford vs zona. if the wiidcats lose sat they will be hoping their better rpi rating will get them the nod over stanford's much better conf record. zona has played a much tougher schedule and stanford had 2-3 bad early losses even though cal irvine would be in upper echelon of pac ten. got to think sun game will be close to a pick. i am leaning towards stanford and their 9-1 record at home to pull out the win. any thoughts?

irvine and upper echelon pac-10 team?
nice try

provided that arizona doesnt lose to wazzu and/or asu they should get in and will be a lock if they beat stan, uw or win their 1st game in the pac-10 tourney (likely vs stan or uw again).....their rpi is so high that they will get an invite....stanford is the team on the outside looking in and i dont care if they finish 3rd and arizona is 5th......those early season losses to 200+ rpi teams is gonna kill them......that said, getting 5 from the pac 10 is still not out of the question because the rest of the teams on the bubble all stink as well
 

blgstocks

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Sun Tzu said:
Regardless of what Zona does, Stanford isnt getting in.
i disagree I think stanford should be a bubble and i think Zona should be in it too. They will last the longest out of the Pac10
 

gjn23

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blgstocks said:
i disagree I think stanford should be a bubble and i think Zona should be in it too. They will last the longest out of the Pac10

who will last the longest? Arizona?

This Arizona team is totally inconsistant right now and honestly if they get in the ncaa and win more than 1 game i will be shocked......

again...it all comes down to matchups and who you draw but ucla-cal are tough matchups (although plodding offensive teams) and uw is an explosive offensive team (but bad defensively and dumb) and roy is a great player who can carry them......i dont think stanford will get in but if they do, they also have a chance to win a few games with the right draw as hernandez and haryaz are tough match-ups.
 

lowell

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cal losing at home to worst team in conference doesn't help them come time to pick the big dance seeds. i am going with washington to win the confer. tourney
 
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