Outback Steakhouse
- Thread starter DOGS THAT BARK
- Start date
Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)
Mark McNulty to win 14/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and SkyBet
McNulty is the player to back in pro-ams. Not only does he have a record of finishing 1st and then 2nd in this event, but he is a former winner of the Dimension Data Pro-Am in his home country and finished in the top-15 in the Dunhill Links Championship in his last two years on the European Tour before reaching the Seniors age. And having bounced back to form with a pair of 67s over the weekend after a slow start to the season, he looks set for yet another very high finish around of the TPC of Tampa Bay.
D.A. Weibring to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Weibring was backed last week, but pulled out after a first round 73, citing a sore shoulder so this is a gamble on his fitness. The compensating factor is that his odds have increased from 22/1 to 28/1 this week even though his course form (9th and 5th) is considerably better this week than last. If fit, he should be good enough to repeat his top-3 finish in his other start this year and maybe this will be the week that Loren Roberts slips up.
Brad Bryant to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Ladbrokes
Bryant has played in only one pro-am event on this Tour and that was here last year. It is difficult to gauge from that performance how well he is suited to these type of events as it was an event ruined by the weather and reduced to 36 holes. However, he was in 3rd position after the 1st round and though he finished 16th after the weather disruption it is enough to suggest that he can master this course. And in term of current form, there are plenty of signs that he can do so. In two starts this year, he has finished 17th in the Turtle Bay Championship (his previous best was 23rd) and last week he fared far better than Don Pooley when the two of them entered the final round in joint first position with Loren Roberts. He ultimately finished in 2nd place, his best finish on the Tour to date, so should take a lot of confidence into this week's event.
Mark McNulty to win 14/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and SkyBet
McNulty is the player to back in pro-ams. Not only does he have a record of finishing 1st and then 2nd in this event, but he is a former winner of the Dimension Data Pro-Am in his home country and finished in the top-15 in the Dunhill Links Championship in his last two years on the European Tour before reaching the Seniors age. And having bounced back to form with a pair of 67s over the weekend after a slow start to the season, he looks set for yet another very high finish around of the TPC of Tampa Bay.
D.A. Weibring to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Weibring was backed last week, but pulled out after a first round 73, citing a sore shoulder so this is a gamble on his fitness. The compensating factor is that his odds have increased from 22/1 to 28/1 this week even though his course form (9th and 5th) is considerably better this week than last. If fit, he should be good enough to repeat his top-3 finish in his other start this year and maybe this will be the week that Loren Roberts slips up.
Brad Bryant to win 33/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Ladbrokes
Bryant has played in only one pro-am event on this Tour and that was here last year. It is difficult to gauge from that performance how well he is suited to these type of events as it was an event ruined by the weather and reduced to 36 holes. However, he was in 3rd position after the 1st round and though he finished 16th after the weather disruption it is enough to suggest that he can master this course. And in term of current form, there are plenty of signs that he can do so. In two starts this year, he has finished 17th in the Turtle Bay Championship (his previous best was 23rd) and last week he fared far better than Don Pooley when the two of them entered the final round in joint first position with Loren Roberts. He ultimately finished in 2nd place, his best finish on the Tour to date, so should take a lot of confidence into this week's event.
Matchup plays (2pts)
Jay Haas to beat Hale Irwin -137 @ Centrebet
Hard to argue with Irwin's course form at the TPC of Tampa Bay, but what he has proved over the past year or so is that he is nowhere near as consistent as he once was. He had played poorly in the first two events of the year and trailed Haas home by twelve and ten shots respectively, but he rediscovered some form last week before throwing away the tournament at the last hole. Haas didn't play last week and so has still beat Irwin in each of their last four common events which ties in with last October when Haas realised that he should concentrate fully on this Tour and he has been a model of consistency ever since - two wins and no worse than 7th in six starts. That level of consistency should beat Irwin most weeks despite the course advantage.
Morris Hatalsky to beat Fuzzy Zoeller -128 @ Pinnacle
Zoeller may have finished 6th last week and six shots ahead of Hatalsky, but it must be remembered that this is the only time in the last 12 months that he has finished ahead of Hatalsky (20 events). That's not a very good rate of victory and considering that Hatalsky was very unfortunate not to win this event last year, there really should a great deal of value on Hatalsky win at these odds.
Jay Haas to beat Hale Irwin -137 @ Centrebet
Hard to argue with Irwin's course form at the TPC of Tampa Bay, but what he has proved over the past year or so is that he is nowhere near as consistent as he once was. He had played poorly in the first two events of the year and trailed Haas home by twelve and ten shots respectively, but he rediscovered some form last week before throwing away the tournament at the last hole. Haas didn't play last week and so has still beat Irwin in each of their last four common events which ties in with last October when Haas realised that he should concentrate fully on this Tour and he has been a model of consistency ever since - two wins and no worse than 7th in six starts. That level of consistency should beat Irwin most weeks despite the course advantage.
Morris Hatalsky to beat Fuzzy Zoeller -128 @ Pinnacle
Zoeller may have finished 6th last week and six shots ahead of Hatalsky, but it must be remembered that this is the only time in the last 12 months that he has finished ahead of Hatalsky (20 events). That's not a very good rate of victory and considering that Hatalsky was very unfortunate not to win this event last year, there really should a great deal of value on Hatalsky win at these odds.
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-2; -4.00pts
McNulty 10th
Weibring dns
Bryant 26th
McNulty was in 1st place after the first round; he was in first place after the second round, but couldn't even finish in the places to earn a small return on these plays. Just sums up the current run. Three weeks ago I was disbelieving my luck when Scott Verplank turned in a 2nd place finish from nowhere and I stood +37pts from 39 plays on the 2006 season. I reckon I've more than paid back my share of good luck that week as I'm now down 50pts on the last three weeks with player after player throwing away golden chances to win and scarcely even earn a place return. Pretty hard to take.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1; -0.74pts
Haas/Irwin LOST by 11
Hatalsky/Zoeller WON by 12
A resounding win and a resounding defeat, but overall a loss.
Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 2-9; -10.25pts
Matchups: 6-4; +2.08pts
McNulty 10th
Weibring dns
Bryant 26th
McNulty was in 1st place after the first round; he was in first place after the second round, but couldn't even finish in the places to earn a small return on these plays. Just sums up the current run. Three weeks ago I was disbelieving my luck when Scott Verplank turned in a 2nd place finish from nowhere and I stood +37pts from 39 plays on the 2006 season. I reckon I've more than paid back my share of good luck that week as I'm now down 50pts on the last three weeks with player after player throwing away golden chances to win and scarcely even earn a place return. Pretty hard to take.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1; -0.74pts
Haas/Irwin LOST by 11
Hatalsky/Zoeller WON by 12
A resounding win and a resounding defeat, but overall a loss.
Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 2-9; -10.25pts
Matchups: 6-4; +2.08pts
I feel your pain Stan Had Mcnulty also @ Sky as well plus a place double with he and Ochoa--for a double fckin.
Been hit severe case of posting jinx of late along with you.
I can pretty well figure if I cull one pick from post it will be the one that hits and wins outright of late.
sabb last week
Nissan Open Win and Place
AU$10.00
- Winner : Sabbatini, Rory Place Fixed
Settled 1 02-20
11.00
Punter Win
Bet Status:
Punter Win
AU$110.00
Bet taken on:
Tue 02-14 10
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Tripp and Meena Lee this week
F130884 02/21/06 F Chrysler Classic of Tucson - Top 5 - Kirk Triplett 13/1
date event type bet result odds
Thu 06-02-23 18:15 Fields Open
place 1-2-3-4-5 LPGA Tour Lee Meena +1300
+1300
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
however Cbet did force me with win only option on Lee @ 50/1 prior to 4th rd for a little satisfaction---
Single Bets
STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Paid Fields Open in Hawaii - Tournament - Winner - LEE, Meena Win 51.00 10.00 510.00 LEE, Meena
(Winner)
Am seriously considering a different venture and reduce picks to don best lines books only.
Been hit severe case of posting jinx of late along with you.
I can pretty well figure if I cull one pick from post it will be the one that hits and wins outright of late.
sabb last week
Nissan Open Win and Place
AU$10.00
- Winner : Sabbatini, Rory Place Fixed
Settled 1 02-20
11.00
Punter Win
Bet Status:
Punter Win
AU$110.00
Bet taken on:
Tue 02-14 10
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Tripp and Meena Lee this week
F130884 02/21/06 F Chrysler Classic of Tucson - Top 5 - Kirk Triplett 13/1
date event type bet result odds
Thu 06-02-23 18:15 Fields Open
place 1-2-3-4-5 LPGA Tour Lee Meena +1300
+1300
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
however Cbet did force me with win only option on Lee @ 50/1 prior to 4th rd for a little satisfaction---
Single Bets
STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Paid Fields Open in Hawaii - Tournament - Winner - LEE, Meena Win 51.00 10.00 510.00 LEE, Meena
(Winner)
Am seriously considering a different venture and reduce picks to don best lines books only.
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