First round Big 12 Tournament: My picks

Jayhawk_Thor

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Getting ready to head out to Mazatlan tomorrow morning (have to get up at 3:30 A.M., ugh...). Hopefully I will be able to steal some time to watch some of these games, and maybe get on and cap the second or third round games. Will probably end up spending the week in a drunk stupor, however :scared

Updated record: (1 unit= $100)

Through 3-8-06
Big 12: 27-15-2 (+$1,575)
Other conferances: 11-7 (-$84)
Total: 38-22-2 (+$1,491)

Update from last time: Went 0-3. Still feel shafted by Mizzou's idiot forward who missed the front end of a 1-and-1 for the cover. Oh well. At least Kentucky showed up and gave Florida hell! :mj07:

Onto the picks:

Kansas St. -2.5 (TT), -103, 206/200
--- Texas Tech clocked KSU by 14 in February. What has changed? For one, this game won't be played in Lubbock, and two, this K. St. team finally appears to be gelling (last game against KU aside).
While Texas Tech has been putrid on the road this year, KSU is actually respectable ATS, with a 6-4 mark.
TT is playing for nothing, except the right to get their ass's kicked in the second round. KSU isn't playing for much more, but a win against TT will punch their ticket into a probable home-court first round game in the NIT, which for this squad is actually something to go after... and more so for Woolridge, whose job security is in question.

Baylor +8 (CU), +106, 250/265
--- Baylor is a cash cow. Honestly. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, and Sun Tzu and I have been padding our wallets with these lovable losers over the past month and a half.
This pick was too easy for me. Unless they move this one back to Boulder, I love this one.
Colorado is a fringe-NCAA tournament team, supposedly, which cracks me up everytime I see one of ESPN's experts talking about it. This team? Really? They are awesome in the altitude when their oppositions lungs are burning for 40 minutes. When they step outside those cosey confines, they are atrocious. So now we are going to give them a bid to the tournament and let them play on a neutral court? Let me say this right now: if the Buffs make the tournament, my GOY will probably take place. The house that I don't own will be on whoever they are playing.
Enough of the rant. I say this everytime I bet on Baylor, but they are surprisingly talented, are well coached, and play hard the entire game (probably because of an inferiority complex). They are weak inside, but they have very good guard play, and will give Colorado a run for their money. I would not be surprised in the least to see BU win this outright, or at least make Roby go off down the stretch to stave them off.

Iowa St. -1 (OSU), +108, 150/162
--- As the line suggests, this game is a crap-shoot.
Their are two obvious things going in each teams favor heading into this game: the Pokes are finally playing up to their potential at the end of the season, and the Cyclones play better on the road.
I will go with the team that mysteriously frequently played like dog crap at home, and played well on the road. ISU ended 6-3 ATS on the road this year.
Boggan will have to have a big game for OSU to knock off the 'Clones in this one.
Stinson and Blalock gun ISU to the win in this one.

Nebraska -4 (MU), -102, 102/100
--- :shrug:
Who knows? Mizzou is playing for nothing, and Collier will try desperately in the locker room to convince his guys that a first round win and a second round upset will catapult the Huskers into the dance and save his job.
I do know this: Mizzou has more talent than Nebraska, and if they decide they want to play, they will win this outright. However, they are 13-15 this year, and their season is over. Will they decide to duke it out with a tough Nebraska team for the right to get creamed the next day in round 2, and have their season end there? Obliviously, I am putting my money on the answer to that question being "no."
These teams split their regular season, with Mizzou winning by 1 at home, and Nebraska winning by 13 at home. Some people will think this game is a slam dunk on NU, I just don't see it that way.... Nebraska will probably be a big public play, and that almost convinced me to take a pass on this one. The line seems low. I will toss a unit on it, though.

Hope this helps some people. Been struggling the past week or so, here's to hoping that stops now. :sadwave:


Best of luck this week, guys. :SIB
 
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rock2

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GREAT JOB ON THE WRITE UPS,i live here in stlouis so i follow both KU. AND MIZZ. ALOT long year for MIZZ. AGAIN AND YEAH WE GOT SCREWED ON THOSE FREE THROWS oh well GLLLLL ON YOUR PLAYS
GETER DONE PEACE
 

HuskerPower

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this is gonna be a big game for both mizz and nu, with the hatrid for each other i know personally here at nebraska some of us are headed down tonight for the game in dallas, wilkinson is usually quiet about games but is very pumped for this game, so look for nebraska to get an early jump like against colorado
 

Jayhawk_Thor

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Dooley-

I looked over the odds, and I don't think there is any team worth backing.

09:30 AM 41 Texas -130
42 Oklahoma +738
43 Kansas +264
44 Texas A&M +1979
45 Oklahoma State +5000
46 Colorado +4283
47 Iowa State +5000
48 Nebraska +5000
49 Texas Tech +5000
50 Kansas State +6000
51 Missouri +12500
52 Baylor +15000

I believe Texas will win it, of course, but am I going to put -130 on that bunch? No. The only team with any semblance of value would be Oklahoma, but I think if they reach the championship (I think they will) I believe they will get pounded by UT again...

Let me know if you decide to take a side in this one. GL.
 

Jayhawk_Thor

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HP- Thanks for the info man... If Wilkinson brings it, that should be an easy cover.

Fade- I have been selling a point whenever I can to get the better side of vig. I chose the +106 for +8 instead of -112 for +9. This has been very effective for me, and I implore you to give it a chance.
 

Dr. Fade

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Jayhawk_Thor said:
BTW Fade, I do live in a house in Lawrence, yes.

Not a frat house, mind you. Just a house.


Oh O.K. I was just curious if you were in a duplex, apartment, dorm or house. I'm glad we cleared that up- I will rest easier tonight.
 

Jayhawk_Thor

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Dr. Fade said:
Oh O.K. I was just curious if you were in a duplex, apartment, dorm or house. I'm glad we cleared that up- I will rest easier tonight.

Interestingly enough, I have lived in all four of those during my time here. I gotta quit moving so much :nono:

We got a spot on the couch if you are ever too drunk to drive back to KC. :com:
 

Dr. Fade

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Jayhawk_Thor said:
Interestingly enough, I have lived in all four of those during my time here. I gotta quit moving so much :nono:

We got a spot on the couch if you are ever too drunk to drive back to KC. :com:


Appreciate the offer- I try and plan my drunken escapades in Larryville. I usually stay @ The Eldridge. I'm buddies w/Bobby Douglas' son, Ryan-who played @ Mizzou oddly enough (owner.) My cousin is a EX up there is why I was asking.
 

Jayhawk_Thor

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I am about to head out. Gotta hate 6:30 AM flights.

The resort has satellite TV and internet, which is very fortunate. It also has a huge bar.

Just a side not: public money, as expected has gone on OSU and Colorado.

I added another half unit on Baylor, I couldn't help myself:

Baylor +8 (Col), +110, 50/55

Also, as expected, the public is hitting Nebraska. The line has only budged slightly though... I have the feeling I am on the sucker side of that one. Oh well. A lot can change when the game tips off.

Good luck guys!
 

lowell

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Jul 6, 2003
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good luck. won't texas tech get into nit or do you have to have a winning record?
 
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