Wedensday's Winners

WayneWonder

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Atlanta +8.5

Atlanta has played Philadelphia well this season splitting two games back in December with the 76ers. Allen Iverson returns tonight and it couldn't come at a better time for Philadelphia, who has struggled to four straight losses. His return should be a boost for Philadelphia, but it will be hard for him to improve upon his past games against the Hawks. He scored 39 and 53 against Atlanta in two games this season. Atlanta covered in both games,winning one SU, due to their lights out shooting performances. They shot 49.4% in a 5-point road loss and 54% in a 3-point home victory.

The Sixers have been very generous in the fourth quarter of recent contests, allowing the Sonics and Raptors to overcome third quarter deficits with abysmal fourth quarter performances. They have been outscored in 3 of their last 4 final quarters and are averaging only 20 points in the fourth quarter of their last five games. This continues a season long trend for Philadelphia. Even if they enter the fourth quarter leading against the Hawks, due to their recent play I feel confident the Hawks can keep it within 8.

Atlanta, while only 7-25 this season on the road, has actually covered in 7 of their L8 road games, with the only hiccup being an overtime loss to the Knicks. Over the L5 road games they have lost each contest by an average of 3.2 points, with a high of 7 to mighty Detroit. While Iverson might inspire the team to victory, I think 8.5 is just too high a number for a struggling Philadelphia team to cover.

Nuggets +115 ML

No write-up here, HappyHippo did a great job of breaking the game down in his post if you want to see reasoning behind this play.

Cavaliers -6.5 First half
Cavaliers -12


Not too much statistical info to back me up on this one, but it seems as though the Cavs are a great first half team. I have many memories of them being up comfortably at halftime only to crap away the game in the second half. Charlotte, in their last two games playing on no rest, have scored just 39 and 42 points in the first halves. Their 1st half def. avg. over L5 games is 52.4 pts. Cavs are coming in well rested and I look for a lot of energy from them early on against a weary Charlotte team. Charlotte was only able to muster 39 2nd-half points against Orlando and have to travel to Cleveland to face a Cavs team that hasn't played since a Sunday afternoon home game.

**Cavs are 3-1 ATS as a fave of 11-13.5 this season.
**Cavs are 9-3 ATS when playing on 2 days rest this season.
 
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Happy Hippo

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WW

great write up on the Hawks - I like them too

I like the cavs, too, but I don't like to bet on big spreads - might do it though - seems like a great spot for them -


Good Luck tonight
 

WayneWonder

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A few more positive trends for the Hawks tonite:

# Hawks are 4-0-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
# Hawks are 4-0-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
# Hawks are 7-1-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
# Hawks are 9-4-0 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
# Hawks are 11-5-0 ATS in their last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.

# 76ers are 2-10-0 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Southeast.
# 76ers are 0-3-0 ATS in their last 3 games as a favorite.
# 76ers are 0-3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games.
# 76ers are 0-3-0 ATS in their last 3 vs. Eastern Conference.
 

WayneWonder

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2nd half...Hawks -2.5

More of a play against the Sixers than on the Hawks. Philly is shooting almost 63%...Atlanta only needs to get this to 16...I can't remember the last time the Sixers beat ANYBODY by 16.
 

Happy Hippo

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WayneWonder said:
NY/Orlando Over 99.5 2ND HALF

Both teams shooting better than 55% in first half.


??? wouldn't you think they would shoot less % for the second half??? just wondering....
 

WayneWonder

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Hippo, typically it would make sense but we are dealing with two teams who know the only way to win is to score,score,score. In second half of three ORL/NY games they comb'd for 102,102 amd 104 points.
 

Happy Hippo

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nice call - they are both out of the playoffs too so it makes sense they just want to score

GL
 

WayneWonder

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Shaping up to be a pretty dissapointing evening :cry: :cry:

Should've taken my own advice about the Cavs crapping away the game in the 2nd half. :cursin:

Orlando and New York just stopped playing after the game had been decided after three quarters.

Another tough beat with the Hawks tonite...got it down to 9...Two nights in a row lose a game by half a point...A tough pill to swallow. :banghead:

Was able to stop the bleeding somewhat hitting on Cavs 1st half and Atlanta 2nd half. :shrug: :shrug:

So far 2-3...heres hoping Denver comes to play :mj09: :mj09:
 
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