Highday Friday

Happy Hippo

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55-46-3 overall
Spreads: 33-29-1
O/Us: 21-16-2
MLs: 1-1
5-5 last night


here's for starters... probably more later -------

:weed: :weed: :weed:


1) Sonics-Nuggets OVER 219 win
2) Nuggets -8 win

:weed: :weed: :weed:

The Sonics have the 2nd best offense on the road in the league, averaging 99.4 ppg. This is exactly the same number of points the Nuggets allow at home, as the 8th worst home defensive team. The Sonics are the worst defensive team on the road, allowing 108.3 ppg, and the Nugs are the 3rd best home offensive team, averaging 104.7 ppg.

In their last ten, the Nuggets have scored an average of 9.91 more ppg than what their opponents allow (at home or on the road) and the Sonics have scored an average of 11.04 more ppg than their opponents allow.

The Sonics cannot play defense - they are not only the worst team in the league on the road defensively, but they are also the worst in the league at fg% (allow 49.5% from the field), while the Nuggets are 4th best in the league at home in fg% (47.3%). The Nuggets are also 4th in the league in free throw attempts at home, so it is obvious that they like to drive the ball and pick up easy layups or fouls, and the Sonics cannot defend this type of play. The Nuggets are 3rd in the league in assists/game and have the 4th best assist/TO ratio. They are second in the league in steals and fifth in the league in blocked shots at home. Carmelo has been averaging 31.7 ppg in his last ten, including 32 against Bowen & the Spurs. If Bowen can?t guard him, who is going to guard him from the Sonics?

I am from Colorado, so I have been watching the Nuggets play all year long, and they are definitely at the peak of their game right now. I expect Carmelo to drop a cool 40 bomb on the Sonics :bigun:

final score prediction: 124-106 actual final 117-104

Smoke'em Nuggets
 
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Happy Hippo

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3) Sonics/Nuggets 1st Half OVER 111.5 :Yep: win :Yep:
 
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Happy Hippo

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4) Bucks +5.5 win

The Bucks are a better road team than home team. They average 4.3 points less a home than the league average and 2 points more than the league average on the road. They are 19-13-2 ATS away this year and 3-1 in their last 4 away. I think this game is dependent on the Bucks scoring, and they have been able to score well on the road recently, scoring 102.2 ppg in their last 6. The Bucks are 7th in the league in fg attempts/game on the road The Bucks are 9-3 ATS when scoring more than 100 points.

The Lakers are 9-16 ATS when allowing their opponents 90+ points and 1-10 ATS when allowing opponents 100+ points. They allow 96.8 ppg at home and give up 45.1% from the field. The Lakers are 13-20 ATS at home and 1-3 in their last 4 home games.

The Bucks have not played well historically against the Lakers, but this is the last game of their road trip and they are only 1 game behind the Pacers, with a good chance to gain ground tonight. The Lakers have played up and down to their competition all year, and although the Bucks are an OK teams, I think the Lakers will not come out as strong as they did against the Kings.
 
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shamrock

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like the plays HH, but would move the play on Milwaukee, conditional --- Indiana loss.

Good luck kid
 

Happy Hippo

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thanks shamrock - good luck to you too

shamrock said:
like the plays HH, but would move the play on Milwaukee, conditional --- Indiana loss.

i'm not exactly sure what you're trying to say about "move" the play - all i'm saying is that IF the Pacers lose (which i think is a good possibility) and IF the Bucks win, then they will be tied for the 6th spot in the east, and all these teams know it will be a lot nicer to play the Nets than the Pistons or Heat, so it is more motivation for them - probably more for Indy too, but they are playing a better team.......
 

shamrock

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I agree with you 100 percent, no doubt bucks will be kept abreast on Indy score tonight, since Pacers play at 7 Eastern game will be over before Milwaukee takes floor at Staples Center. If Indy loses, look for a huge extra effort from buck s on their final game of Trip.
 

Happy Hippo

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JUST COULDN'T REALLY RESIST

7) NUGGETS TOTAL POINTS SCORED OVER 113 win

:weed: :142smilie :weed:
 
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