UNDER SUNDAY

Happy Hippo

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Mar 2, 2006
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64-56-3 overall
3-8 last night
Spreads: 35-32-1
O/Us: 26-19-2
MLs: 1-2
1st half: 1-1
Team totals: 1-3


really sucked it up last night, but mostly because i bet on team totals AND 1st half AND game total for the Nugs-Suns game and of course it is the only total i lost yesterday :shrug: and the one I choose to go big on, but that's the way it goes sometimes...especially if you make all your bets on one play!!! well i lost all my money i made on the nugs in the past two days, so now i'm back to being disciplined...

on another note, my new OVER/UNDER program seems to be working rather well, going 16-11-1 since I implemented it, with a win-loss percentage of 59.26% which is right around where I expected... so i am not providing any explanation any more for my O/U plays - the calculator explains itself....

starting with totals first and then I'll be out in a little with spreads - yesterday i was trying too hard to find plays since there were so few games - today I see lots on the board.....


UNDER SUNDAY



1) HORNETS-LAKERS UNDER 194 loss
2) KNICKS/WOLVES UNDER 196 win
3) BOBCATS/GRIZZLIES UNDER 194 loss
4) CAVS/ROCKETS UNDER 177 loss


also calculated but not playing (discipline, discipline):

CLIPPERS/BLAZERS UNDER 190.5
SIXERS/PACERS UNDER 193 win
WARRIORS OVER 206

Finally, I'm not going to make a play on the Sixers-Pacers spread, because I think either team could win the game and I'm not betting on the Pacers until they show some consistency, but if the games goes UNDER as I capped it, there are some interesting stats supporting a Pacers cover today:

IF the games goes UNDER,

Pacers 14-3-1 ATS at home when allowing less than 90 points
Pacers 19-7-1 ATS at home when allowing less than 100

Sixers are 6-13 ATS away when scoring less than 100 points

and also

Pacers are 4-1 ATS during day games
Sixers are 3-5 ATS during day games


GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
 
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Happy Hippo

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SUNDER CONTINUES

SUNDER CONTINUES

5) Nets-Pistons UNDER 178 win
 
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Happy Hippo

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thanks for the encouragement - i needed it after such a horrible night!!

here's my spread plays for the day -- i have started posting here in March (been reading posts for awhile before that...) and i started my new capping system at the beginning of January... i am posting my capping record since then below (spreads only - just recently started betting O/Us) in case you are interested in which teams i am better at capping......

PLAYS FOR TODAY:

RAPTORS +5 loss
BULLS +5 win +ML
WARRIORS +7.5 win +ML
ROCKETS +4 win
MAGIC -7 push


TEAM W-L W-L%

ATLANTA HAWKS 18-12 60.0%
BOSTON CELTICS 12-19 38.7%
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS 18-12 60.0%
CHICAGO BULLS 18-11 62.1%
CLEVELAND CAVS 22-14 61.1%
DALLAS MAVERICKS 16-20 44.4%
DENVER NUGGETS 16-16 50.0%
DETROIT PISTONS 18-16 52.9%
GOLDEN STATE 22-8 73.3%
HOUSTON ROCKETS 20-10 66.7%
INDIANA PACERS 21-8 72.4%
L.A. CLIPPERS 18-17 51.4%
L.A. LAKERS 19-16 54.3%
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 18-15 54.5%
MIAMI HEAT 15-14 51.7%
MILWAUKEE BUCKS 21-13 61.8%
M. TIMBERWOLVES 17-17 50.0%
NEW JERSEY NETS 19-9 67.9%
NOK HORNETS 16-14 53.3%
NEW YORK KNICKS 23-11 67.6%
ORLANDO MAGIC 19-17 52.8%
PHILLY SIXERS 18-14 56.3%
PHOENIX SUNS 16-14 53.3%
PORTLAND BLAZERS 12-16 42.9%
SACRAMENTO KINGS 18-13 58.1%
SAN ANTONIO SPURS 16-13 55.2%
SEATTLE SONICS 21-12 63.6%
TORONTO RAPTORS 22-8 73.3%
UTAH JAZZ 23-19 54.8%
WASH. WIZARDS 16-18 47.1%

TOTAL: 274-208 57.05% - edit actually 56.8%
+66 UNITS

**this is the statistics for all games i have capped since Jan 3 that were "playable". i always cap the games before looking at the spreads and if my cap is within 1-3 points of the spread, then it is not playable**


GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
 
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WayneWonder

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Hippo...great info on the Pacers game...I wish I had seen it before making my play on the Sixers. Had to spend a basketball free afternoon with the g/f and her folks today. I had to keep excusing myself to check my bets on my cell.
 

Happy Hippo

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yeah - i actually convinced myself and placed a wager on the pacers

they played great D in the 2nd half


decided to play this one after all.........

WARRIORS/KINGS OVER 205
 

Happy Hippo

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final 3 plays:

CLIPPERS/BLAZERS UNDER 192 (i'm not showing much discipline after all - just looks too good....) win
BLAZERS +7 loss
HORNDOGS +7 loss - personally my worst of the year since i capped a lakers cover and then bet on the horndogs?????? too much :weed:
 
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