Subway Fresh 500 Phoenix, cold cut combo

Looselugs

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I`ve got 2 early leans. Kurt Busch and Greg Biffle.

Kurt won here in the spring last year,led the most laps but was kick out of the race in the fall by Roush.

Biffle started 3rd in the spring ,ran into Bliss on pit road and punch a hole in his radiator,finished 41st.Came back in the fall and finished 2nd after leading the most laps.

These two was class of the field in the spring running 1 and 2 most of the race.

These two also turned some solid lap times yesterday at Richmond,which is a similar track to Phoenix.Kurt was 1st in the first practice and Biffle was 2nd in the 2nd practice.I think alot of drivers bring the same car they practice with at Richmond to Phoenix.There is two more days of testing at Richmond and I may wait to choose the one that has a solid practice there.Both drivers are a solid 9-1 at this point. Who do you like?
 

toastonastick

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I was going the same Direction for outrights with Biffle and Kurt, I might even throw Dale Jr. in the mix too. I hate betting on the 8 though as his numbers seemed to get slammed by the public. Betting Jr. can be like betting the Yankees in Baseball. Too much chalk.

I think I found something with very good value with an early race matchup. Waiting on some chasis info.

I've learned my lesson about posting plays before I bet them. You post a play then the numbers move. I dont know if the books look at our posts or not, but it seems like there is always some line movement after a play is posted. Maybe I'm just being paranoid :shrug:
 

Looselugs

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Just checking around abit at some odds and vip has Biffle at 12-1.

I think william uses this book.I`d have to take a swing at it at this price.Everywhere else I`ve seen has him at 9-1.

I know what your mean about with them line moves,I`m just waiting on Biffle and Busch to drop to 8-1.
 

toastonastick

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I'm laying off mears win bets. He's cost me to much. Shoulda listened to lugs earlier this year.


Burton is interesting. RCR is on up and up lately..
 

Looselugs

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william,

If I was going to play Mears then I`d just wait one more week until they go to Talledaga. At Daytona this year, he was 50-1 qualified 14th, his odds went to 80-1 and finished 2nd in the race. Mears loves to go fast and 200mph+ is more his speed.I just think you got a better shot at Talledaga than Phoenix on Mears. JMO.

Burton, no opinion.

toast,for some reason when I seen that matchup with Martin and Hamlin,I knew you would put that feather in your hat.Hamlin used to race here at a local short track, 5/8 mile track. He was a top five car at best. I never really thought he would make cup.He has alot of short track experience but the 1.5 track is where he seems to shine, I think Gibbs has alot to do with that. Martin should cover for ya. GL
 

toastonastick

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Win Bets:

K.Harvick +2000 1/2 unit
G. Biffle +800 1 unit
K. Kahne +2200 1/2 unit

Kinda bit it on the early matchups. I still like em all
 

Looselugs

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thanks for the info toast.I just came in from a small vacation,and I`m as lost as a bat in a christmas tree.

following your lead with Kahne and Harvick, I can`t take Biffle at 5-1. When I should have got him at 10-1 last week.

Did find this tho Gregg Biffle over Tony Stewart -115 at sia played it for 2 units. Have seen this at -150 at other sites.

I`ve missed qual and all practices and it sucks when it comes to capping these .
 

william13

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ytd +31 ... putting 7 units on jeff burton -165 over robby gordon ... 1 on the 48 to win +1000 .. both at pinacle... g/l
 

william13

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nice ..
+6 for race.. burton looked to easy alittle nervous about it .. also coat tailed toast on the 29 for a unit +1600 .. great call toast ... well done toast $$$$$$
 

Looselugs

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:toast: dance2 Excellent call toast!!

Thanks for your help.I was in the dark on this race.


nice work william!! :clap:
 
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