- Mar 2, 2006
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I have been tracking playoff trends to try to improve my horrific playoff record in the past two years, and found some interesting trends so far...... make of them what you will.....
Joe Public is 10-20 (33.3%) :mj03: (i didn't count the bulls-heat game from 4/24 or the Bucks-Pistons game from last night, because they pushed against the final line) in all bets (ATS & OU) so far in the playoffs (based on bets placed from six different online sports books). The public is 5-9 ATS (35.7%). The betting ATS has been surprisingly even per game however, with 59% avg on the public side of the spread.
O/Us:
The public is 5-11 O/U (31.25%) so far in the playoffs.
Perhaps the most interesting public trend is that the public has been on only TWO UNDERS :scared during the whole playoffs, which was the first Kings-Spurs game (that went OVER) and the Bucks-Pistons game last night (that went OVER). Otherwise, the public has been on the OVER in every other game so far. The Under has hit 9 out of 16 (56.25%) times so far. It is interesting to note that in the 5 games that the public was correct (these games all went OVER), the public betting percentage was particularly heavy - 73% on the OVER. In comparison, for all 16 games, the O/U bets so far, 33.9% of bets placed have been on the UNDER and 66.1% on the OVER. So in the most heavily bet OVER games, the public has been correct.
The public is liking the roadies so far today.... and of course the OVERs
Nets @ Pacers (59% Nets) (72% OVER)
Heat @ Bulls (68% Heat) (66% OVER)
Clippers @ Nuggets (58% Clippers) (65% OVER)
Could be worth a small play against the public in every game if these trends continue :shrug: - I'll take a 66.7% win percentage anyday....
I'll see if I can dig up some more interesting stats today if I have time....
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
Joe Public is 10-20 (33.3%) :mj03: (i didn't count the bulls-heat game from 4/24 or the Bucks-Pistons game from last night, because they pushed against the final line) in all bets (ATS & OU) so far in the playoffs (based on bets placed from six different online sports books). The public is 5-9 ATS (35.7%). The betting ATS has been surprisingly even per game however, with 59% avg on the public side of the spread.
O/Us:
The public is 5-11 O/U (31.25%) so far in the playoffs.
Perhaps the most interesting public trend is that the public has been on only TWO UNDERS :scared during the whole playoffs, which was the first Kings-Spurs game (that went OVER) and the Bucks-Pistons game last night (that went OVER). Otherwise, the public has been on the OVER in every other game so far. The Under has hit 9 out of 16 (56.25%) times so far. It is interesting to note that in the 5 games that the public was correct (these games all went OVER), the public betting percentage was particularly heavy - 73% on the OVER. In comparison, for all 16 games, the O/U bets so far, 33.9% of bets placed have been on the UNDER and 66.1% on the OVER. So in the most heavily bet OVER games, the public has been correct.
The public is liking the roadies so far today.... and of course the OVERs
Nets @ Pacers (59% Nets) (72% OVER)
Heat @ Bulls (68% Heat) (66% OVER)
Clippers @ Nuggets (58% Clippers) (65% OVER)
Could be worth a small play against the public in every game if these trends continue :shrug: - I'll take a 66.7% win percentage anyday....
I'll see if I can dig up some more interesting stats today if I have time....
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
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